Who is the most vulnerable governor in America?

[Donerail]

Has there been any polls out showing LePage in trouble?

http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/pdf/2011/PPP_Release_ME_1102.pdf

[politicallefty]

LePage, unfortunately.

LePage is a poor fit politically idealogy wise for the state of Maine. If you are Olympia Snowe you might want to go and primary LePage. At least if your Snowe you don't have to deal with the Tea Party or Harry Reid if you are the Governor of Maine!

I'd gladly have her as Governor of Maine if we can get that Senate seat. Unfortunately, only big state Senators ever run for Governor (note Hutchison in Texas or Corzine in NJ, for example). Only in big states is it really a promotion.

[Joe Republic]

LePage, unfortunately.

LePage is a poor fit politically idealogy wise for the state of Maine. If you are Olympia Snowe you might want to go and primary LePage. At least if your Snowe you don't have to deal with the Tea Party or Harry Reid if you are the Governor of Maine!

I'd gladly have her as Governor of Maine if we can get that Senate seat.

You got that Senate seat already.

Unfortunately, only big state Senators ever run for Governor (note Hutchison in Texas or Corzine in NJ, for example). Only in big states is it really a promotion.

Sam Brownback?

[politicallefty]

LePage, unfortunately.

LePage is a poor fit politically idealogy wise for the state of Maine. If you are Olympia Snowe you might want to go and primary LePage. At least if your Snowe you don't have to deal with the Tea Party or Harry Reid if you are the Governor of Maine!

I'd gladly have her as Governor of Maine if we can get that Senate seat.

You got that Senate seat already.

For some reason, I read that as Susan Collins, not Olympia Snowe.

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Sam Brownback?[/quote]

Good point. I forgot about him. I suppose there are always exceptions.

[Wake Me Up When The Hard Border Ends]

D: Quinn or Malloy.
R: Scott, easily. If not him, then Corbett.

Can someone please fill me in as to what Haley has done that has hurt her standing?

[RogueBeaver]

D: Quinn or Malloy.
R: Scott, easily. If not him, then Corbett.

Can someone please fill me in as to what Haley has done that has hurt her standing?

She's been continually struggling with the Old Guard and the weak powers alloted to the governor, plus some missteps of her own.

[nolesfan2011]

LePage is as good as gone, possibly even a primary, he is just too far right for Maine.

Scott would put up a fight, I wouldn't mark him DOA, but he is certainly an underdog to be re-elected.

Kitzhaber may get a close race, I think Quinn is in some trouble, especially given how deep the IL Dems bench is.  Haley I think will do ok though.

Jan Brewer may actually get a hard race, Snyder I dunno, Corbett prolly ok even with PA being blue.

What is wrong with Chafee, Malloy and Abercrombie?

Here are my calls on a scale of 1-10, 1 being the least vulnerable, 10 being the most.

AZ: If Jan Brewer gets her dictatorship- 2
FL: 7, This is by no means a slam dunk. In a midterm year, with lower minority turnout, Scott could eke out a win. Also, Dems need a stronger candidate than Nan Rich or Charlie Crist. Rich lacks the state name recognition and Crist is damaged goods. If Crist runs, trust me that those Republicans will be a lot nastier about the gay rumors than the Dems ever were.
IA: 3 Branstad has an edge.
ME: 10, Whether its Cutler or a Dem, LePage is a goner
MI: 2 Snyder might be one of the strongest. He has avoided controversy for the most part.
OH: 5 This will be a tossup.
PA: 6 Corbett is stronger than Dems think, but still beatable.
SC: 7 Haley is not popular and will face a strong primary. Even if she gets through this it might batter her too much to beat her Dem opponent.
WI: 4 Dems hate him but I don't see Scott Walker going anywhere.
CA: 4 No Repub can win here, but Dems are getting tired of Jerry Brown.
CO: 2 It isn't likely, but he is actually not well liked in his own party. Hickenlooper will likely stay, but keep an eye on his interaction with the new ultra-Dem legislature.
CT: 4 Mallow is definitely vulnerable, but CT is too blue.
HI: 5 Abercrombie is not well liked.
IL: 5 Pat Quinn has demographics on his side but is woefully incompetent.
NH: 4 Maggie Hassan could be vulnerable we don't know yet.
RI: 8 Lincoln Chafee is in serious trouble

In order (most to least vulnerable)
Maine, Rhode Island, S. Carolina, Pennsylvania, Illinois, Ohio, Hawaii, Connecticut, New Hampshire, California, Wisconsin, Iowa, Colorado, Michigan

[CatoMinor]

I do not see how LePage is as screwed as you guys are making him out to be. His approvals are in the 40's, given that its Main there will likely be more than one person on the ballot against him. Its fair to say his re-elections chances should be at least 50/50 right now.

[nolesfan2011]

All sounds fine for an incumbent, but looking at the political climate in the state (Angus King romping, Pingree and Michaud both winning easy+Obama/Kerry/Gore)  it isn't great when a Dem nominee steps up 1v1 or whatever.

If LePage runs off the same right wing positions he did in 2010, he won't win against a moderate to left Dem. Especially when they start the attack campaign against him, dredging up all his past comments and tea party associations and the rest.

I do not see how LePage is as screwed as you guys are making him out to be. His approvals are in the 40's, given that its Main there will likely be more than one person on the ballot against him. Its fair to say his re-elections chances should be at least 50/50 right now.

[Maxwell]

If democrats just let Eliot Cutler run, then he would smash LePage.

[hopper]

If democrats just let Eliot Cutler run, then he would smash LePage.

Cutler was a Democrat at one point. I thinik he may have been a Republican for a little awhile after he was a Dem but switched to Indie after that.

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Quinn who will be primaried again perhaps bill Daley. Madigan will wait for an open seat.

[Maxwell]

If democrats just let Eliot Cutler run, then he would smash LePage.

Cutler was a Democrat at one point. I thinik he may have been a Republican for a little awhile after he was a Dem but switched to Indie after that.

then Cutler should just run for all the nominations haha.

[pbrower2a]

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Rick Snyder just became vulnerable by latching onto some provocative and unpopular stands. He has not yet established himself in Rick Scott territory permanently, but he could become eminently unelectable in 2014.

[Mister Mets]

LePage is likely the most vulnerable. He isn't a great fit for Maine, and won with under 40 percent last time.

Rick Scott is also fairly unpopular, and he faces a strong opponent in Charlie Crist.

Pat Quinn is a vulnerable Democrat, given his low approval ratings. But he's a man in his mid sixties who has been Governor since '09, so it's possible that he won't run for reelection, especially if the state Attorney General or a former White House Chief of Staff/ US Secretary of Commerce run in the primary against him.

[Bandit3 the Worker]

I think Rick Snyder is done.