New Hampshire Primary Thread (polls close at 6-7 CT)
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Author Topic: New Hampshire Primary Thread (polls close at 6-7 CT)  (Read 51736 times)
Lourdes
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« Reply #325 on: February 11, 2020, 05:14:42 PM »


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Bleach Blonde Bad Built Butch Bodies for Biden
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« Reply #326 on: February 11, 2020, 05:16:19 PM »
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American2020
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« Reply #327 on: February 11, 2020, 05:16:33 PM »
81% voters angry about Trump Administration
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Hindsight was 2020
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« Reply #328 on: February 11, 2020, 05:17:15 PM »
Quote from: Lourdes on February 11, 2020, 05:14:42 PM



Saint Bernard in a landslide
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Matty
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« Reply #329 on: February 11, 2020, 05:17:23 PM »
Mixed numbers so far

Abc exit poll has 52% saying sanders too liberal
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2016
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« Reply #330 on: February 11, 2020, 05:18:29 PM »
NBC/MSNBC Exit Poll

54 % say Age was a Factor in their Vote, 46 % said it wasn't.
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Mr. Morden
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« Reply #331 on: February 11, 2020, 05:20:52 PM »
https://twitter.com/you_trend/status/1227355646812618753
https://twitter.com/you_trend/status/1227356140327047168
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Bleach Blonde Bad Built Butch Bodies for Biden
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« Reply #332 on: February 11, 2020, 05:21:07 PM »
 PETE BUTTIGIEG DECLARES VICTORY IN NEW HAMPSHIRE

(yes this is a joke)
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RFK Jr.’s Brain Worm
Fubart Solman
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« Reply #333 on: February 11, 2020, 05:22:46 PM »

That second picture could be big for Klobuchar and Buttigieg.
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Gass3268
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« Reply #334 on: February 11, 2020, 05:23:52 PM »
Only 11% 18-29 in the first wave of polling.
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Former Dean Phillips Supporters for Haley (I guess???!?) 👁️
The Impartial Spectator
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« Reply #335 on: February 11, 2020, 05:24:02 PM »
Quote from: American2020 on February 11, 2020, 05:16:33 PM
81% voters angry about Trump Administration

Do we have a gender breakdown on that?
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Fmr. Pres. Duke
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« Reply #336 on: February 11, 2020, 05:24:24 PM »
I think we're tracking towards a Biden 5th place finish. I bet Amy received a good portion of those who made up their minds recently.
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2016
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« Reply #337 on: February 11, 2020, 05:24:28 PM »
A whopping 69 % (nearly 7 in 10 Voters) decided in January/February.
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Dr. Arch
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« Reply #338 on: February 11, 2020, 05:25:07 PM »
Quote from: Canis on February 11, 2020, 05:12:59 PM
Quote from: Arch on February 11, 2020, 04:42:21 PM
1) When do polls close (all of them)?
2) Good map to watch as results come in (outside of the pay-walled NYT)?
1) 7-8pm ET
2) https://www.cnn.com/election/2020/primaries-and-caucuses

Thanks! It's weird, though. When I click on "Full State Details," the map disappears. Maybe it's because they haven't plugged anything in yet?
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Mr. Morden
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« Reply #339 on: February 11, 2020, 05:25:22 PM »

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The Other Castro
Castro2020
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« Reply #340 on: February 11, 2020, 05:26:05 PM »
Quote from: 2016 on February 11, 2020, 05:24:28 PM
A whopping 69 % (nearly 7 in 10 Voters) decided in January/February.

Nice
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Horatii
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« Reply #341 on: February 11, 2020, 05:26:28 PM »
All the viable candidates are a nightmare, the only thing I'm hoping for is Biden below 10.
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Mehmentum
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« Reply #342 on: February 11, 2020, 05:26:35 PM »
Quote from: Gass3268 on February 11, 2020, 05:23:52 PM
Only 11% 18-29 in the first wave of polling.


This will go up.

For reference it was 19% in 2016.
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cvparty
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« Reply #343 on: February 11, 2020, 05:27:12 PM »
Quote from: 👁️👁️ on February 11, 2020, 05:24:02 PM
Quote from: American2020 on February 11, 2020, 05:16:33 PM
81% voters angry about Trump Administration

Do we have a gender breakdown on that?
women 100%
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Former Dean Phillips Supporters for Haley (I guess???!?) 👁️
The Impartial Spectator
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« Reply #344 on: February 11, 2020, 05:28:29 PM »
Quote from: Gass3268 on February 11, 2020, 05:23:52 PM
Only 11% 18-29 in the first wave of polling.



1) It was the same in Iowa - young voters generally vote later in the day, so they don't get picked up in the first exit polls as much.
2) In general, exit polls are fairly trashy/noisy (especially early waves) and they end up getting adjusted to be matched to actual results. Keep in mind that because Sanders won in 2016 by so much, that also means the exit polls likely were "adjusted" then to inflate the young voter share also, so as to match the results.
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Tintrlvr
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« Reply #345 on: February 11, 2020, 05:29:15 PM »
Quote from: Mehmentum on February 11, 2020, 05:26:35 PM
Quote from: Gass3268 on February 11, 2020, 05:23:52 PM
Only 11% 18-29 in the first wave of polling.


This will go up.

For reference it was 19% in 2016.

Yeah, some of that is the nature of early exits since young people tend to vote later.
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Horsemask
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« Reply #346 on: February 11, 2020, 05:31:49 PM »
I have a feeling that young vote number will go up, but I'm curious to see by how much.
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Matty
boshembechle
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« Reply #347 on: February 11, 2020, 05:32:12 PM »
Quote from: Tintrlvr on February 11, 2020, 05:29:15 PM
Quote from: Mehmentum on February 11, 2020, 05:26:35 PM
Quote from: Gass3268 on February 11, 2020, 05:23:52 PM
Only 11% 18-29 in the first wave of polling.


This will go up.

For reference it was 19% in 2016.

Yeah, some of that is the nature of early exits since young people tend to vote later.

True, but will there be enough young surge in evening to get it to 19%?
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Hollywood
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« Reply #348 on: February 11, 2020, 05:33:45 PM »
Quote from: Gass3268 on February 11, 2020, 05:23:52 PM
Only 11% 18-29 in the first wave of polling.



BS. BS. BS.  The initial exit polls in Iowa were at 14 or 16%, and then it went all the way up to 24% at the end of the night.  
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Interlocutor is just not there yet
Interlocutor
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« Reply #349 on: February 11, 2020, 05:34:02 PM »
I have a (very) nagging feeling that there's gonna be a bunch of "bUt ThE yOuNg PeOpLe ArE gOnNa VoTe LaTeR" comments if Bernie doesn't win tonight.

Preparing to revist this thread later in the week if that's the case
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