VA-GOV 2017: It's a Wave (GE: Nov 7th - Thread #2)

[swf541]

If Gillespie loses the race, I'm looking forward to some post-Ossoff-like handwringing from Republicans who got their hopes up.

Greedo will likely either be going off on everyone or *crickets chirp*

Oh Greedo's reaction will be what I'm looking forward to most tomorrow night

Can you guys at least wait until the race is called before you start bragging about your party's victory? It kinda makes the thread unreadable and also has little to nothing to do with the election itself.

I mean, we already have like ten threads for predictions.

Completely agreed

[swf541]

Massive grain of salt as this guy is a Democratic operative, but:

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I feel like I heard the same noise about Florida this time last year from Dem operatives, so I'm going to temper any excitement for a bit.

According to Daily Kos he is a well known virignia political blogger

[swf541]

If poll turnout is at 29% and absentee turnout is 8%, total turnout should be 37% right? Arlington is throwing me off a bit.

Yes

[swf541]

Can someone confirm to me: is dwarves dragon a troll or are his views all over the place?

The second

[swf541]

Sigh, looks like its going to rain for the rest of the day in Nova.

YES!!! SOME NORTHAM VOTERS STAY HOME, GILLESPIE HAS A SHOT!!!

no one cares. get a twitter for this kinda sh*t

[swf541]

turnout may be up in fairfax county but i've saw about 5 times more gillepsie signs than northam signs there. turnout being up is actually huge for gillepsie.

same with charloettesville. the silent majority doesn't want their confederate statues (history) taken down by radical leftists.

Northern Virginia is not the same culturally as rest of the state

Also remember when Ted cruz won md and pa in the primary he had more signs than trump......

[swf541]

turnout may be up in fairfax county but i've saw about 5 times more gillepsie signs than northam signs there. turnout being up is actually huge for gillepsie.

same with charloettesville. the silent majority doesn't want their confederate statues (history) taken down by radical leftists.

Northern Virginia is not the same culturally as rest of the state

Also remember when Ted cruz won md and pa in the primary he had more signs than trump......

He is being sarcastic.

Could not tell my apologies then

[swf541]

i'm messing around but don't treat the results that are in so far as a northam win just yet. wait until the results start rolling in later tonight.

100% agreed we know nothing til we actually have counts

[swf541]

I don't recall the media doing wall to wall coverage on off year elections during the Obama years.

Scott Brown's win was only mentioned on the scroller on most news sites.

These people are desperate to push a narrative that a dem win in VA tonight spells doom for trump.

Cnn had wall to wall coverage of Scott Brown race when it happened

[swf541]

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Nice and low, at least so far. Hopefully it stays that way.

Uh, only 48% of it voted in 2013 thats not low in comparison....

[swf541]

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Nice and low, at least so far. Hopefully it stays that way.

Go to hell

[swf541]

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Trump won it 59%-34%.

Excellent!

Stop hyping low turnout

[swf541]

Supposedly Tazewell county (82% Trump county) is having low turnout according to the county, cant find the numbers though

[swf541]

PittsburghSteel is a total democratic foot soldier who would love to see dead people if it meant dem victory
He was dancing in the streets when PR was hit by hurricane

People shouldnt root  for low turnout, its a disgrace to america and our democratic values

[swf541]

http://www.wvva.com/clip/13885960/2017/11/07/virginia-election-officials-say-turnout-less-than-expected?utm_medium=social&utm_source=twitter_phess_WVVA

Apparently numbers are in the video for a Trump county if anyone wants to see it, cant watch it atm

[swf541]

PittsburghSteel is a total democratic foot soldier who would love to see dead people if it meant dem victory
He was dancing in the streets when PR was hit by hurricane

its not cool to celebrate low turnout, but yeah Pittsburgh steel can be hackish at times

Bit beyond hackish imo

[swf541]

Supposedly Tazewell county (82% Trump county) is having low turnout according to the county, cant find the numbers though

Worth bearing in mind Tazewell is shrinking (as are most SWVA counties)

Supposedly it fell 5% or so since the last governor election

[swf541]

More on Arlington...

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So at this time there have already been more votes casted in 2017 than 2013?

Yeah, Arlington has surpassed 2013 numbers already and it isn't even 4 yet. I have a sister up there, and they usually see a rush of voters after 5 pm.

So this is encouraging news for Democrats.

Besides that, everything else seems relatively normally for a virginia election. No real suprises

[swf541]

"At this pace Ralph will be relying on the 35000 absentee edge alone by 5 pm.  It’s trending tighter as day goes on."

https://twitter.com/notlarrysabato/status/927999269851815939

D insider not impressed with turnout so far.

Why are we relying on people from twitter when we actually have numbers here we can crunch?

It looks like a normal va election turnout wise

[swf541]

Have to say the hot takes and panic in this thread is utterly ridiculous

Oh my god it's the election all over again?!

No people are being gullible to idiots on twitter

[swf541]

https://twitter.com/ElectProject/status/927992774615617536

Fairfax county at 36.6% at 2pm.

I believe we already had that number

[swf541]

The rain has not 'f$&ked everything up', we don't know how things will turn out yet. We don't know who is showing up where, we have almost nothing from Trumpland either way, and unless I'm mistaken we don't have anything from Hampton Roads either. Neither side should panic, there are mixed signals all over the place.

There will probably be a rush at the end of the day - it's coming up on 4 PM, I mean, who even votes at 4 PM? I'll bet that either side still has a chance but that Northam has the definite edge, same as he has had for months.

[swf541]

Yeah I don't think I'm going to rely on the guy on Twitter that went from wow Northam is going to win by the biggest margin since 1985 to he's relying on just absentees now over the course of a few hours.

Him also claiming to know the margin from the absentees seems like junk

[swf541]

Tribbett is very well connected the guy knows his #'s, if he says somethings wrong then you listen.

He was wrong in 13 and is acting like an idiot

[swf541]

I like this forum a lot. It is great for info and for interesting discussion about last and present political trends and events


But the Election Day threads are almost always complete cesspools of bellyaching, hair on fire paranoia, and unnecessary freak outs