VA-GOV 2017: It's a Wave (GE: Nov 7th - Thread #2)
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  VA-GOV 2017: It's a Wave (GE: Nov 7th - Thread #2)
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Author Topic: VA-GOV 2017: It's a Wave (GE: Nov 7th - Thread #2)  (Read 96186 times)
Yank2133
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« Reply #150 on: November 07, 2017, 10:40:18 AM »

If Gillespie loses the race, I'm looking forward to some post-Ossoff-like handwringing from Republicans who got their hopes up.

And, I seem to remember an election 52 weeks ago today in which the Democratic candidate had had a bit of bad news which lead to the Republican candidate surging in the polls. Around the final weekend, the polls suggested that the Democratic candidate had stabilized her position with a small, but, significant and persistent lead. The Republican candidate won.

If Gillespie wins tomorrow, some folks are going to be howling at the moon a night early.

Bob, Virginia doesn't have an Electoral College....

The RCP polling average for Virginia, and Michigan was what again???

Uh, 5% Hillary lol plz wipe your butt

Is he insinuating Hillary underperformed in VA because she most certainly did not.

Given Tim Kaine was on the ticket, and, Trump pulled out of Virginia while Romney did not, Hillary Clinton underperformed in Virginia badly.

lmao, what a load of nonsense.

Against a normal Republican, she would have won by the same margin Obama did in 2012. She over performed if anything.  
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TexArkana
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« Reply #151 on: November 07, 2017, 10:45:30 AM »

I might end up looking like a fool tonight, but my final prediction is:

Northam 51.2%
Gillespie 45.5%
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MAINEiac4434
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« Reply #152 on: November 07, 2017, 10:46:30 AM »

If Gillespie loses the race, I'm looking forward to some post-Ossoff-like handwringing from Republicans who got their hopes up.

And, I seem to remember an election 52 weeks ago today in which the Democratic candidate had had a bit of bad news which lead to the Republican candidate surging in the polls. Around the final weekend, the polls suggested that the Democratic candidate had stabilized her position with a small, but, significant and persistent lead. The Republican candidate won.

If Gillespie wins tomorrow, some folks are going to be howling at the moon a night early.

Bob, Virginia doesn't have an Electoral College....

The RCP polling average for Virginia, and Michigan was what again???

Uh, 5% Hillary lol plz wipe your butt

Is he insinuating Hillary underperformed in VA because she most certainly did not.

Given Tim Kaine was on the ticket, and, Trump pulled out of Virginia while Romney did not, Hillary Clinton underperformed in Virginia badly.
You can't keep on saying things that are not true as if they were true.
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Gass3268
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« Reply #153 on: November 07, 2017, 10:48:05 AM »
« Edited: November 07, 2017, 10:50:30 AM by Gass3268 »

Massive grain of salt as this guy is a Democratic operative, but:

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Terry the Fat Shark
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« Reply #154 on: November 07, 2017, 10:53:31 AM »



From Nate Cohn's twitter, the METER is back
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Jeppe
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« Reply #155 on: November 07, 2017, 10:54:04 AM »

Loudoun County (NOVA suburb): 10am check indicates 34,759 voters of 242,313 total reg voters. 14.34% turnout.
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Sir Mohamed
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« Reply #156 on: November 07, 2017, 10:55:34 AM »

So, Northam is expected to beneifit from high turnout? That would be a good sign. I hope he outperforms most polls and wins by more than five points.
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BudgieForce
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« Reply #157 on: November 07, 2017, 10:55:42 AM »

Would be funny if Quinnipiac is the most accurate pollster. Probably won't happen but...
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Gass3268
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« Reply #158 on: November 07, 2017, 10:56:11 AM »

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Fairfax County is already at 35.6% of 2013 turnout.


They just tweeted that this does not include the early vote. If you add that it goes to 49.2% of the 203 vote by 10am this morning.
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Gass3268
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« Reply #159 on: November 07, 2017, 10:57:27 AM »

Loudoun County (NOVA suburb): 10am check indicates 34,759 voters of 242,313 total reg voters. 14.34% turnout.

38.8% of the total 2013 turnout (not sure if this includes early vote)
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Hindsight was 2020
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« Reply #160 on: November 07, 2017, 11:01:05 AM »

Considering Northam trouble was always going to be motivating the base the high turnout suggests he's in a good position
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BigSkyBob
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« Reply #161 on: November 07, 2017, 11:02:29 AM »

If Gillespie loses the race, I'm looking forward to some post-Ossoff-like handwringing from Republicans who got their hopes up.

And, I seem to remember an election 52 weeks ago today in which the Democratic candidate had had a bit of bad news which lead to the Republican candidate surging in the polls. Around the final weekend, the polls suggested that the Democratic candidate had stabilized her position with a small, but, significant and persistent lead. The Republican candidate won.

If Gillespie wins tomorrow, some folks are going to be howling at the moon a night early.

Bob, Virginia doesn't have an Electoral College....

The RCP polling average for Virginia, and Michigan was what again???

Uh, 5% Hillary lol plz wipe your butt

Opps, had "Virginia" on the mind for some reason. I was thinking of Wisconsin.

In any case, those who wish to quibble about the Electoral College vs. popular vote I would only note that the pundits claimed Hillary Clinton had a lock on the Electoral College:

https://www.huffingtonpost.com/entry/polls-hillary-clinton-win_us_5821074ce4b0e80b02cc2a94
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Yank2133
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« Reply #162 on: November 07, 2017, 11:02:55 AM »

What are the reports coming from R areas?
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Jeppe
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« Reply #163 on: November 07, 2017, 11:05:10 AM »
« Edited: November 07, 2017, 11:06:50 AM by Bosse »

Prince George County, VA estimates 19% turnout @ 10am - SE of City of Petersburg and greater Richmond area

City of Alexandria at 10am - 26,285 total votes (includes 6,151 absentee) = 29.04% turnout #VirginiaElection #VAGov

Turnout for Albemarle County (surrounding City of Charlottesville) 9 AM turnout check was 14.02% of registered voters. #Election2017  #VAGov

City of Petersburg turnout @ 9 am was 12% (includes absentee’s) #VirginiaElection #VAGov

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BigSkyBob
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« Reply #164 on: November 07, 2017, 11:06:10 AM »

If Gillespie loses the race, I'm looking forward to some post-Ossoff-like handwringing from Republicans who got their hopes up.

And, I seem to remember an election 52 weeks ago today in which the Democratic candidate had had a bit of bad news which lead to the Republican candidate surging in the polls. Around the final weekend, the polls suggested that the Democratic candidate had stabilized her position with a small, but, significant and persistent lead. The Republican candidate won.

If Gillespie wins tomorrow, some folks are going to be howling at the moon a night early.

Bob, Virginia doesn't have an Electoral College....

The RCP polling average for Virginia, and Michigan was what again???

Uh, 5% Hillary lol plz wipe your butt

Is he insinuating Hillary underperformed in VA because she most certainly did not.

Given Tim Kaine was on the ticket, and, Trump pulled out of Virginia while Romney did not, Hillary Clinton underperformed in Virginia badly.
You can't keep on saying things that are not true as if they were true.

Virginia on Clinton ticket, none on Obama ticket.

Trump pulled out of Virginia.

Romney did not.

Which is untrue?
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Gass3268
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« Reply #165 on: November 07, 2017, 11:06:29 AM »

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MAINEiac4434
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« Reply #166 on: November 07, 2017, 11:07:02 AM »

Massive grain of salt as this guy is a Democratic operative, but:

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I just high-fived everyone around me.
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MAINEiac4434
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« Reply #167 on: November 07, 2017, 11:08:13 AM »

If Gillespie loses the race, I'm looking forward to some post-Ossoff-like handwringing from Republicans who got their hopes up.

And, I seem to remember an election 52 weeks ago today in which the Democratic candidate had had a bit of bad news which lead to the Republican candidate surging in the polls. Around the final weekend, the polls suggested that the Democratic candidate had stabilized her position with a small, but, significant and persistent lead. The Republican candidate won.

If Gillespie wins tomorrow, some folks are going to be howling at the moon a night early.

Bob, Virginia doesn't have an Electoral College....

The RCP polling average for Virginia, and Michigan was what again???

Uh, 5% Hillary lol plz wipe your butt

Is he insinuating Hillary underperformed in VA because she most certainly did not.

Given Tim Kaine was on the ticket, and, Trump pulled out of Virginia while Romney did not, Hillary Clinton underperformed in Virginia badly.
You can't keep on saying things that are not true as if they were true.

Virginia on Clinton ticket, none on Obama ticket.

Trump pulled out of Virginia.

Romney did not.

Which is untrue?
That Hillary Clinton underperformed in Virginia.

That is objectively false.
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MAINEiac4434
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« Reply #168 on: November 07, 2017, 11:09:40 AM »


Yup Gillespie gonna win. Minorities aren't voting
For christ's sake it's eleven.
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Oryxslayer
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« Reply #169 on: November 07, 2017, 11:12:12 AM »

Couple of weather reports - people should remember that voters could be heading to the polls early to escape the evening rain.

Roanoke: https://weather.com/weather/hourbyhour/l/USVA0659:1:US

Had showers earlier, and will probably get some later in the early evening.


Richmond: https://weather.com/weather/hourbyhour/l/USVA0652:1:US

Clear morning, strong rain in the evening.


Virginia Beach: https://weather.com/weather/hourbyhour/l/USVA0797:1:US

Clear morning, Showers showing up in the afternoon.


Fairfax: https://weather.com/weather/hourbyhour/l/22030:4:US

Had a clear morning, will be raining all day.
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Devout Centrist
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« Reply #170 on: November 07, 2017, 11:12:41 AM »

I see sh*t your pants syndrome is still endemic here.
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KingSweden
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« Reply #171 on: November 07, 2017, 11:14:08 AM »

Massive grain of salt as this guy is a Democratic operative, but:

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I think it’s wise to be skeptical of this kind of thing
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Attorney General, Senator-Elect, & Former PPT Dwarven Dragon
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« Reply #172 on: November 07, 2017, 11:14:56 AM »

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I implore the voters in Fairfax to stay home instead of braving the weather, so that Gillespie can win.
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Gass3268
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« Reply #173 on: November 07, 2017, 11:15:47 AM »

Massive grain of salt as this guy is a Democratic operative, but:

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I think it’s wise to be skeptical of this kind of thing

I agree, but the guy seems to be connected based on some of the stuff on his twitter.
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GeorgiaModerate
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« Reply #174 on: November 07, 2017, 11:16:46 AM »

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I implore the voters in Fairfax to stay home instead of braving the weather, so that Gillespie can win.

Voting for Republicans has been rescheduled for tomorrow.
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