Orange County by City/Town

[HAnnA MArin County]

For some context to this thread, here are the results by city from 2016 in Orange City (write-ins included in all). Bold indicates cities that flipped from Romney in 2012 to Hillary in 2016:

Santa Ana: D+ 52.32
Stanton: D+ 31.90
Irvine: D+ 29.22
Laguna Beach: D+ 25.82
Garden Grove: D+ 22.79
Anaheim: D+ 22.49
Tustin: D+ 20.35
Buena Park: D+ 19.70
Westminster: D+ 15.37   
Fullerton: D+ 14.44   
La Habra: D+ 13.84
La Palma: D+ 12.99
Aliso Viejo: D+ 10.64
Costa Mesa: D+ 10.20
Laguna Woods: D+ 06.56
Cypress: D+ 06.20
Orange: D+ 02.69   
Los Alamitos: D+ 02.02
Seal Beach: D+ 00.45
Fountain Valley: D+ 00.31
Placentia: D+ 00.06
Lake Forest: R+ 00.76
Laguna Hills: R+ 01.36
Laguna Niguel: R+ 01.72
Brea: R+ 03.62
Mission Viejo: R+ 05.97
Huntington Beach: R+ 06.37
Rancho Santa Margarita: R+ 07.48
Dana Point: R+ 08.26
San Juan Capistrano: R+ 09.66
Newport Beach: R+ 14.10   
San Clemente: R+ 14.41   
Yorba Linda: R+ 23.99
Villa Park: R+ 31.36

[HAnnA MArin County]

OFFICIAL 2020 Orange County, CA Presidential Election Results

Santa Ana: Biden 68.43% — Trump 29.52% = D+ 38.91
Irvine: Biden 64.35% — Trump 33.58% = D+ 30.77
Laguna Beach: Biden 63.48% — Trump 34.69% = D+ 28.79
Tustin: Biden 60.82% — Trump 36.91% = D+ 23.91   
Anaheim: Biden 58.67% — Trump 39.26% = D+ 19.41
Fullerton: Biden 57.37% — Trump 40.22% = D+ 17.15
Aliso Viejo: Biden 56.48% — Trump 41.30% = D+ 15.18
Buena Park: Biden 56.53% — Trump 41.50% = D+ 15.03
La Habra: Biden 56.35% — Trump 41.48% = D+ 14.87
Costa Mesa: Biden 56.03% — Trump 41.46% = D+ 14.57
Stanton: Biden 56.25% — Trump 41.87% = D+ 14.38
La Palma: Biden 55.94% — Trump 42.42% = D+ 13.52
Laguna Woods: Biden 54.76% — Trump 44.33% = D+ 10.43
Cypress: Biden 53.23% — Trump 44.70% = D+ 08.53
Orange: Biden 52.46% — Trump 45.20% = D+ 07.26
Lake Forest: Biden 52.40% — Trump 45.42% = D+ 06.98
Los Alamitos: Biden 51.63% — Trump 45.75% = D+ 05.88
Laguna Hills: Biden 51.98% — Trump 46.13% = D+ 05.85
Placentia: Biden 51.83% — Trump 46.19% = D+ 05.64
Laguna Niguel: Biden 51.42% — Trump 46.72% = D+ 04.70
Brea: Biden 50.53% — Trump 47.55% = D+ 02.98
Seal Beach: Biden 50.38% — Trump 48.12% = D+ 02.26   
Mission Viejo: Biden 49.97% — Trump 48.00% = D+ 01.97   
Garden Grove: Biden 49.67% — Trump 48.58% = D+ 01.09   
Rancho Santa Margarita: Trump 49.89% — Biden 47.92% = R+ 01.97
Huntington Beach: Trump 50.48% — Biden 47.25% = R 03.23
Dana Point: Trump 50.71% — Biden 47.36% = R+ 03.35
San Juan Capistrano: Trump 50.91% — Biden 47.36% = R+ 03.55
Fountain Valley: Trump 50.99% — Biden 47.13% = R+ 03.86   
Westminster: Trump 53.82% — Biden 44.67% = R+ 09.15   
Newport Beach: Trump 53.98% — Biden 44.16% = R+ 09.82
San Clemente: Trump 53.94% — Biden 44.05% = R+ 09.89
Yorba Linda: Trump 57.83% — Biden 40.34% = R+ 17.49
Villa Park: Trump 60.14% — Biden 37.91% = R+ 22.23

FLIPS (2016-2020)
Trump 2016/Biden 2020
Brea
Laguna Hills
Laguna Niguel
Lake Forest
Mission Viejo
Clinton 2016/Trump 2020
Fountain Valley
Westminster

SWINGS (2016-2020)
Villa Park: D+ 09.13
Mission Viejo: D+ 07.94
Lake Forest: D+ 07.74
Laguna Hills: D+ 07.21
Brea: D+ 06.60
Yorba Linda: D+ 06.50
Laguna Niguel: D+ 06.42
San Juan Capistrano: D+ 06.11
Placentia: D+ 05.58
Rancho Santa Margarita: D+ 05.51
Dana Point: D+ 04.91
Orange: D+ 04.57
Aliso Viejo: D+ 04.54
San Clemente: D+ 04.52
Costa Mesa: D+ 04.37
Newport Beach: D+ 04.28
Laguna Woods: D+ 03.87
Los Alamitos: D+ 03.86
Tustin: D+ 03.56
Huntington Beach: D+ 03.14
Laguna Beach: D+ 02.97
Fullerton: D+ 02.71
Cypress: D+ 02.33
Seal Beach: D+ 01.81
Irvine: D+ 01.55
La Habra: D+ 01.03
La Palma: D+ 00.53
Anaheim: R+ 03.08
Fountain Valley: R+ 04.17
Buena Park: R+ 04.67
Santa Ana: R+ 13.41
Stanton: R+ 17.52
Garden Grove: R+ 21.70
Westminster: R+ 24.52

[HAnnA MArin County]

Don't think Trump got 47.77% in Coachella, probably a typo.  Do you mean 17.77%?

Trump got 19.77% in Coachella (including write-ins).

Interlocutor, do the 2016-2020 swings you have for Riverside and San Bernardino counties include write-ins by municipalities for those two counties? In 2016, I don't think Riverside and San Bernardino published their write-ins by municipalities, but it looks like they have for 2020 is why I asked.

[HAnnA MArin County]

I know this thread is supposed to be just for Orange County, but since Interlocutor posted Riverside and San Bernardino, let's move to Northern California and take a look at one of my favorite counties in California!

OFFICIAL 2020 San Mateo County, CA Presidential Election Results
East Palo Alto: Biden 86.59% — Trump 11.34% = D+ 75.25
Menlo Park: Biden 84.60% — Trump 13.40% = D+ 71.20
Portola Valley: Biden 80.34% — Trump 17.16% = D+ 63.18
Redwood City: Biden 80.48% — Trump 17.41% = D+ 63.07
Brisbane: Biden 79.74% — Trump 18.00% = D+ 61.74
San Carlos: Biden 79.64% — Trump 18.45% = D+ 61.19
Colma: Biden 79.42% — Trump 19.05% = D+ 60.37
Belmont: Biden 78.79% — Trump 19.08% = D+ 59.71
San Mateo: Biden 77.92% — Trump 20.18% = D+ 57.74
Burlingame: Biden 77.87% — Trump 20.33% = D+ 57.54
Daly City: Biden 77.20% — Trump 21.36% = D+ 55.84
South San Francisco: Biden 77.05% — Trump 21.40% = D+ 55.65
Pacifica: Biden 76.49% — Trump 21.36% = D+ 55.13
Foster City: Biden 76.27% — Trump 21.92% = D+ 54.35
Half Moon Bay: Biden 75.81% — Trump 21.89% = D+ 53.92
San Bruno: Biden 74.58% — Trump 23.55% = D+ 51.03
Woodside: Biden 73.01% — Trump 24.67% = D+ 48.34
Atherton: Biden 71.79% — Trump 25.80% = D+ 45.99
Millbrae: Biden 70.57% — Trump 27.31% = D+ 43.26
Hillsborough: Biden 68.31% — Trump 29.34% = D+ 38.97

FLIPS (2016-2020)
None

SWINGS (2016-2020)*
Hillsborough: D+ 06.90
Atherton: D+ 05.68
Woodside: D+ 05.00
San Carlos: D+ 04.78
Belmont: D+ 04.39
Portola Valley: D+ 04.26
Redwood City: D+ 03.83
Half Moon Bay: D+ 03.48
Foster City: D+ 03.27
Menlo Park: D+ 02.29
Burlingame: D+ 02.18
San Mateo: D+ 01.07
Pacifica: D+ 00.19
Brisbane: D+ 00.13
Millbrae: R+ 01.29
San Bruno: R+ 01.51
South San Francisco: R+ 04.29
East Palo Alto: R+ 06.38
Daly City: R+ 07.99
Colma: R+ 09.86
_{*Includes write-ins by municipalities for both 2016 and 2020}

[HAnnA MArin County]

Don't think Trump got 47.77% in Coachella, probably a typo.  Do you mean 17.77%?

Trump got 19.77% in Coachella (including write-ins).

Interlocutor, do the 2016-2020 swings you have for Riverside and San Bernardino counties include write-ins by municipalities for those two counties? In 2016, I don't think Riverside and San Bernardino published their write-ins by municipalities, but it looks like they have for 2020 is why I asked.

I'll be honest and say that the 2016 results did not. I can't find write-in votes for 2012 or 2016 from the state or county websites.

With that said, I guess you can just ignore my posts in this thread since they're inaccurate

Oh no I wasn't meaning it in a condescending way; I was just wondering because I haven't been able to find the 2016 write-in results by cities for a number of counties (but I have found a few), and was hoping that perhaps you DID have the write-ins. I've always been curious as to why the write-ins are not published by cities in the supplement that is published on the Secretary of State's website?

For 2016, I have the write-ins by cities for all of the following counties: Alameda, Amador, Butte, Calaveras, Colusa, Contra Costa, Del Norte, Fresno (missing Clovis), Glenn, Humboldt, Imperial, Inyo, Kern, Lassen, Marin, Mendocino, Merced, Modoc, Monterey, Napa, Nevada (missing Grass Valley), Orange, Placer, Plumas, San Benito, San Diego, San Francisco, San Joaquin, San Luis Obispo, San Mateo, Santa Barbara, Shasta, Sierra, Solano, and Yolo.

If anyone out there by chance has the write-ins by municipalities for El Dorado, Kings, Lake, Los Angeles, Madera, Mono, Riverside, Sacramento, San Bernardino, Santa Clara, Santa Cruz, Siskiyou, Sonoma, Stanislaus, Sutter, Tehama, Tulare, Tuolumne, Ventura, and Yuba counties, please DM me as I would love to have them if you’re in a sharing mood this holiday season:) <I emailed Los Angeles County a month or so ago and they still haven't responded.> Bah humbug.

[HAnnA MArin County]

Wow!

Surprising Atherton had any room to swing....

When I was working down in Silicon Valley was relatively Romney Country in '12, then Trump happened and swung DEM...

I guess that 26% that voted Trump '20 are the real 1% ers so hopefully we can look at their tax records because of business scams shifting jobs and $$$ overseas, while pretending to hide their business expenses under FED tax codes.

https://www.businessinsider.com/homes-of-tech-ceos-in-atherton-silicon-valley-2017-10#mega-mansions-line-nearly-every-block-many-homes-have-fences-or-landscaping-that-prevent-prying-eyes-from-looking-in-each-lot-feels-like-its-own-gated-community-2

Yeah, Atherton and Hillsborough were the only two San Mateo County municipalities that voted for Mitt Romney in 2012. The swings from 2012-2016 in those places were yuuuugggeee:

ATHERTON
2012 (R+ 04.89)
Mitt Romney 2,104 (51.48%)
Barack Obama 1,904 (46.59%)
Gary Johnson 47 (1.15%)
Jill Stein 18 (0.44%)
Write-ins 5 (0.12%)
Roseanne Barr 5 (0.12%)
Thomas C. Hoefling 4 (0.10%)
2016 (D+ 40.31)
Hillary Rodham Clinton 2,620 (66.18%)
Donald J. Trump 1,024 (25.87%)
Gary Johnson 247 (6.24%)
Jill Stein 34 (0.86%)
Evan McMullin 17 (0.43%)
Bernie Sanders 10 (0.25%)
Gloria E. La Riva 6 (0.15%)
Other Write-ins 1 (0.03%)
2020 (D+ 45.99)
Joe Biden 3,194 (71.79%)
Donald J. Trump 1,148 (25.80%)
Jo Jorgensen 81 (1.82%)
Rocky De La Fuente 14 (0.32%)
Howie Hawkins 6 (0.14%)
Gloria E. La Riva 5 (0.11%)
Write-ins 1 (0.02%)
SWING (12-16): D+ 45.20 (!!!)
SWING (16-20): D+ 05.68

HILLSBOROUGH
2012 (R+ 07.69)
Mitt Romney 3,118 (53.13%)
Barack Obama 2,667 (45.44%)
Gary Johnson 54 (0.92%)
Jill Stein 18 (0.31%)
Roseanne Barr 6 (0.10%)
Write-ins 4 (0.07%)
Thomas C. Hoefling 2 (0.03%)
2016 (D+ 32.07)
Hillary Rodham Clinton 3,757 (62.56%)
Donald J. Trump 1,831 (30.49%)
Gary Johnson 310 (5.16%)
Jill Stein 51 (0.85%)
Evan McMullin 23 (0.38%)
Bernie Sanders 21 (0.35%)
Gloria E. La Riva 11 (0.18%)
Other Write-ins 1 (0.02%)
2020 (D+ 38.97)
Joe Biden 4,915 (68.31%)
Donald J. Trump 2,111 (29.34%)
Jo Jorgensen 118 (1.64%)
Rocky De La Fuente 30 (0.42%)
Howie Hawkins 16 (0.22%)
Gloria E. La Riva 4 (0.06%)
Write-ins 1 (0.01%)
SWING (12-16): D+ 39.76 (!!!)
SWING (16-20): D+ 06.90

[HAnnA MArin County]

Here are some more results from plurality/majority Asian cities in the Bay Area that I’ve been able to find. (Write-ins included in all the percentages!) Looks like all of them swung to Trump with the exception of Foster City. Milpitas had the biggest swing at R+ 14.35! What happened there?!

Cupertino (63.15%) Santa Clara County
2016: Clinton 74.08% — Trump 19.98% = D+ 54.10   
2020: Biden 75.00% — Trump 22.90% = D+ 52.10
SWING: R+ 02.00

Milpitas (61.85%) Santa Clara County
2016: Clinton 72.99% — Trump 21.16% = D+ 51.83
2020: Biden 67.93% — Trump 30.45% = D+ 37.48
SWING: R+ 14.35

Daly City (55.09%) San Mateo County
2016: Clinton 79.61% — Trump 15.78% = D+ 63.83
2020: Biden 77.20% — Trump 21.36% = D+ 55.84
SWING: R+ 07.99

Union City (50.42%) Alameda County
2016: Clinton 77.94% — Trump 16.57% = D+ 61.37
2020: Biden 75.35% — Trump 22.96% = D+ 52.39
SWING: R+ 08.98

Fremont (50.30%) Alameda County
Will update this later once numbers are crunched. A big city = more numbers to crunch!

Hercules (44.89%) Contra Costa County
2016: Clinton 78.97% — Trump 15.58% = D+ 63.39
2020: Biden 78.50% — Trump 20.11% = D+ 58.39
SWING: R+ 05.00

Foster City (44.79%) San Mateo County
2016: Clinton 72.69% — Trump 21.61% = D+ 51.08
2020: Biden 76.27% — Trump 21.92% = D+ 54.35
SWING: D+ 03.27

Millbrae (42.52%) San Mateo County
2016: Clinton 69.43% — Trump 24.88% = D+ 44.55
2020: Biden 70.57% — Trump 27.31% = D+ 43.26
SWING: R+ 01.29

Sunnyvale (40.70%) Santa Clara County
2016: Clinton 74.39% — Trump 18.29% = D+ 56.10
2020: Biden 76.66% — Trump 20.93% = D+ 55.73
SWING: R+ 00.37

Santa Clara (37.38%) Santa Clara County
2016: Clinton 72.45% — Trump 20.22% = D+ 52.23
2020: Biden 74.38% — Trump 23.55% = D+ 50.83
SWING: R+ 01.40

South San Francisco (36.02%) San Mateo County
2016: Clinton 77.57% — Trump 17.63% = D+ 59.94
2020: Biden 77.05% — Trump 21.40% = D+ 55.65
SWING: R+ 04.29

American Canyon (32.18%) Napa County
2016: Clinton 70.70% — Trump 22.52% = D+ 48.18
2020: Biden 71.38% — Trump 26.65% = D+ 44.73
SWING: R+ 03.45

San Leandro (29.34%) Alameda County
2016: Clinton 77.25% — Trump 16.19% = D+ 61.06   
2020: Biden 77.14% — Trump 20.88% = D+ 56.26
SWING: R+ 04.80

[HAnnA MArin County]

Here are some more results from plurality/majority Asian cities in the Bay Area that I’ve been able to find. (Write-ins included in all the percentages!) Looks like all of them swung to Trump with the exception of Foster City. Milpitas had the biggest swing at R+ 14.35! What happened there?!

Milpitas (61.85%) Santa Clara County
2016: Clinton 72.99% — Trump 21.16% = D+ 51.83
2020: Biden 67.93% — Trump 30.45% = D+ 37.48
SWING: R+ 14.35

Probably some combination of fallout from the COVID-19 lockdowns, very good fake news proliferation, and low levels of social trust due to an unusually ethnically diverse population. Milpitas is 67% Asian according to Statistical Atlas, and it has almost the same number of Filipinos, Vietnamese, Chinese, and Indians (source: https://statisticalatlas.com/place/California/Milpitas/Ancestry)

It’s demographically more similar to my NationStates main than any other city in the US, if not the world (maybe there’s a better match in Australia?)

Thanks, Khuzifenq. Yeah, the percentages I have in my post are a little outdated (I used the 2010 Census data). I’m now very curious as to whether the Asian communities in Los Angeles County had similar swings to Trump, but as I mentioned in an earlier post in this thread, LA County doesn’t publish write-in results by municipalities like the aforementioned counties do. Write-ins were much, much smaller in 2020 (basically insignificant) compared to 2016 where you have an unusually high number of write-ins that can skew the percentages, margins of victory, and ultimately the swings. In some counties that do publish their write-ins by municipalities, in 2016 you had write-ins as a whole finishing ahead of Jill Stein in fourth place; that’s why I take the LACounty results with a grain of salt. Surely somebody out there in Atlas has to have these 2016 write-in numbers. 😩