French presidential election, 2022

[VPH]

The portion of the Zemmour announcement listing off "le pays de ____" is literally just like this far-right video from Institut Iliade that went viral a few years ago called "Ni Lampedusa, ni Bruxelles, être Européen".

[VPH]

Like Rivière, he was an increasingly marginal figure in the RN (him going from a national deputy to a MEP could be seen as a demotion) and is more representative of the traditional FN electorate of Southern France than the recently conquered electorate of deindustrialized North.

Imo Zemmour's platform and appeal is more "old FN" than "new FN". Less post-industrial than Le Pen's appeal. I could be wrong, but I think that will show in the results too.

[VPH]

Am I reading that correctly--of the Macron leaners, nearly 20% would second preference Le Pen or Zemmour?

[VPH]

I wonder how this would look with ranked-choice voting.

[VPH]

Lassalle made a point of abstaining, although I doubt he necessarily dragged voters with him. More likely he served as a vehicle for protest votes.