2020 Presidential Election Results & Exit Polls commentary thread

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Biden is leading the popular vote 5 to 0 with 1 precinct reporting. I don't want to react too much to early reports, but I think this means Biden might win unanimously.

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CNN Exit Poll: 45 College Educated/55 Non College Educated.

Is that good?

IF that's true (it isn't), we're can all go to bed early tonight.

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What I’m seeing so far suggests Biden is doing significantly better than Hillary with white people but worse with minorities, especially Latinos, and especially Cubans. Which some polls suggested all along. Good news is that means he probably takes back the “blue wall” in the midwest. Bad news is unless that includes Ohio, this might all come down to PA and be dragged out for days/weeks.

No he is not doing significantly better with white people.  You are trying to gaslight this forum as you have done for months, he is improving with white suburbans but rural white areas have swung harder right in Indiana and Kentucky in counties that are 95%+ reporting. Mr.Bidenmaywinelliot.

You need to chill. You are the only person in this thread being hostile, and it is unnecessary and unwanted.

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I warned you all.

We heard the first 15 times.

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Can someone give me a succinct breakdown of what's outstanding in MI, WI, and PA?  I can't find anything decent in the media.

In particular, in PA Biden is down by 13 with 26% of the vote left.  Is there any reason to believe that he can win the remaining vote 2-1?

The remaining vote in PA is mostly mail in votes from Philadelphia, I've got no problem believing that Biden could win that 2:1.

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Margin just dropped to 6.8% in Pennsylvania, which batch came in?

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I think we're going to end up with this.

Good chance that absolutely nobody predicted the correct map again this year. Crazy how that happens now, in a time where the existence of the internet means thousands and thousands of people can make their own predictions.

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PA lead drops again to 6.6%...

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https://twitter.com/IntelDoge/status/1324086185266917376?s=19

He can't, because I just declared myself the Emperor of Pennsylvania.

Kneel before me, puny candidates.

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Is the NYT site correct? They say Michigan has processed 1.4 mil absentee/mail ballots, but McDonald's site says there was 2.8mil?

McDonald's?

Michael McDonald

Oh, ok. Thought it might be a typo.

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Trump lead down to 6% in PA. I really think Biden is going to win it once all is counted.

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https://twitter.com/realDonaldTrump/status/1324108206801563650

I will be filing suit soon to rectify this. I have already declared, for all purposes, that I am the Emperor of Pennsylvania. There are simply no Electoral Votes to be gained here, as we no longer have a President. I know this because I declared it.

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Under 5% in PA

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So we know that Nevada and North Carolina will not be resolved tonight, and that Arizona is getting an update at 9:00. Do we know for sure if anything else is coming in from Pennsylvania or Georgia tonight?

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Not good at all, and the fact Atlas STILL hasn’t learned to not be an echo chamber is shocking.
After last night, I would expect at least a bit more caution.

The fact that Michigan was called for Biden I would think you a little more humble and aelf-aware, but apparently not.

The fact that Elliot county went for Trump by a greater margin might teach you a bit, but apparently not.

Did Alben Barkley sleep with your girlfriend or something? You have a problem.

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I need at least one of Georgia or Arizona or Pennsylvania to be called tonight. I'm hardly getting any work done because I keep stopping to check the state of the race.

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I think its clear at this point that the AP and FOX called too early. They still could end up being correct, but this isn't a state you can be sure of at this point.

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I don't care about the Trump campaign's nonsense, when are we getting the next set of results?

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This whole thread is just incredible...

https://twitter.com/mkraju/status/1324445099430940673?s=20

DMP was in tears during the call.

https://twitter.com/kirk_bado/status/1324445867663908870?s=20

I'm not sure about generally blaming the "liberal wing" of the party, but you have to admit their branding is God-awful. Progressives talk about how popular their ideas are, but progressives are often the ones that come up with these awful catchphrases. "Defund the police" is a guaranteed vote-loser, even if police reform is popular. Calling themselves "Democratic socialists" is a vote-loser, even if progressivism can be popular. I don't even understand that one, seeing as how they are social democrats at their leftmost.

Conservatives know how to dress up an unpopular idea and make it sound good. For some reason, Liberals and Leftists seem to want to take popular ideas and make them sound bad.

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This whole thread is just incredible...

https://twitter.com/mkraju/status/1324445099430940673?s=20

DMP was in tears during the call.

https://twitter.com/kirk_bado/status/1324445867663908870?s=20

I'm not sure about generally blaming the "liberal wing" of the party, but you have to admit their branding is God-awful. Progressives talk about how popular their ideas are, but progressives are often the ones that come up with these awful catchphrases. "Defund the police" is a guaranteed vote-loser, even if police reform is popular. Calling themselves "Democratic socialists" is a vote-loser, even if progressivism can be popular. I don't even understand that one, seeing as how they are social democrats at their leftmost.

I've been saying it for a while, but "ACAB" is such a failure of messaging. The sentiment behind it (even good people who are cops are part of an inherently racist system in need of reforming) is reasonable, but the phrase itself is just awful.

In fairness to the left-wing of the party, you don't really see many Democratic candidates chanting ACAB. If a group of protestors is doing that, there's really nothing you can do to stop it.

I agree though, there was a big messaging failure on police reform; even if the best policy proposals were coming from Democrats they weren't presented correctly.

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Trump will win imo.

He did win.

Notice how it's the blue precincts that always have election irregularities/just enough ballots in the end to magically put dems on the top:

I obviously would have liked it a lot more if Democrats had won the Senate and gotten a big win, but my one consolation prize is seeing you clowns trying and failing to cope with your king slowly slipping away. Your desperation is pathetic. Have some dignity, take the loss, and be happy you won the Senate like other Republicans on here.

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Any Republican reactions to that mess other than Hogan and Santorum? Marco Rubio is trying his best to have it both ways, but that's all a quick search found for me.

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Pennsylvania is under 64,000 now. Please finish this tonight.

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Al Gross in now saying he thinks he will win, not sure if he actually believes that though

Don't buy that for a second, but I would love for it to be true.

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Any word on when we can expect updates from any of the remaining states?