Kentucky 2023 gubernatorial election megathread

[Oregon Eagle Politics]

Likely R because even with a heavily unpopular governor, Beshear only won by the skin of his teeth.

TBF Bevin did not really have any earth-shattering scandals, and was unpopular only because of his policies, and had the full and complete support of Fmr. President Trump.

[Oregon Eagle Politics]

As I previously said Beshear, Presley, Manchin and Tester are WC D moderate on guns, D's do poorly in the S due in large part on guns no other social issues because Confederate flags are gone

Presley and Stein are competetive too Reeves up by 4 is the exact margin blks can make up the difference which is 4 and blks in MS are about 6% of population

Reeves won by 5 last time but didn't go against Brad Presley

Heidi Heitkamp too was moderate on guns, yet she lost by 10 points.

The reason why AG Cameron is currently trailing Beshear is because 52 % of voters have either a neutral or unknown vision of him so we have to wait until Cameron gets more known and the race will get tighter, increasing his chances to win

Beshear's stances are out of step with Kentucky. On taxes, he vetoed a bill reducing the state income tax to 4 percent and then got overrided. When the Kentucky legislature voted to allow Kentucky distilleries and breweries to qualify for a sales tax break on new equipment, Beshear vetoed the provision and he was overrided by the KY legislature

https://justfacts.votesmart.org/bill/32553/85124/156112/reduces-the-state-income-tax-to-4-percent#85124

https://news.bloombergtax.com/daily-tax-report-state/kentucky-legislators-override-vetoed-tax-break-for-distilleries

No one cares. Lots of very liberal dem governors won easily in 2022 because of incumbency. Even Laura Kelly in Kansas won. Beshear has +30% approval rating. He won't win by 30 because of polarization, and he will face GOP attacks, but he starts out as a favorite.