GA-SEN 2022 Megathread: Werewolves and Vampires

[Atlas Force]

https://twitter.com/Redistrict/status/1600317857081872384?s=20&t=GjMElbK_kCy...

[Alben Barkley]

[Utah Neolib]

Game, set, match.

https://twitter.com/Redistrict/status/1600317857081872384?s=20&t=GjMElbK_kCy...

THE HOLY WORDS

[Gass3268]

Bartow is done +1.2 to Walker.

[Darthpi – Anti-Florida Activist]

Warnock will almost surely win Georgia by more than Clinton 1992, which again was instacalled at poll close.

I miss the boldness of network calls back than.

As with so many other things, blame Florida

[Hope For A New Era]

[Alben Barkley]

[Attorney General & PPT Dwarven Dragon]

Herschel Walker
Republican 1,456,629 +50.17%50.17%
Raphael Warnock*incumbent
Democrat 1,446,720 +49.83%49.83
Total reported
2,903,349

[Not Me, Us]

On MSNBC just heard that Fulton will dump all of their remaining EV's at the top of the hour and finalize counting sometime around 1:00 AM to 2:00 EM Eastern Time...

The top of the hour should be enough for me to break out the bourbon.

Already sipping my Canadian Whiskey and my wife her Tito's Vodka....

All these election threads have shown how much more sophisticated drinkers Atlas users are than me.

[Alben Barkley]

"I done told you once, you son of a bitch, I'm the best there's ever been!" - Warnock to The Donald

[KaiserDave]

[Interlocutor is just not there yet]

I don't care for Wasserman at all, but I am somewhat amused that despite all the detailed analysis and updates about how things aren't looking bad at all and how folks need to stop freaking out, the moment he sends 'that tweet', the dooming/glooming instantly ends and the fireworks/celebrating/memeing begins

Again, like the needle, folks just want a simple sign for reassurance.

[Gracile]

Warnock will almost surely win Georgia by more than Clinton 1992, which again was instacalled at poll close.

This is partly because media reporting standards have changed massively because of the Florida 2000 debacle tbf. And even in the 90s, the networks messed up calls (Wyche Fowler was incorrectly called the winner in GA in 1992 by the networks, but his race ended up going to a runoff).

[Interlocutor is just not there yet]

On MSNBC just heard that Fulton will dump all of their remaining EV's at the top of the hour and finalize counting sometime around 1:00 AM to 2:00 EM Eastern Time...

The top of the hour should be enough for me to break out the bourbon.

Already sipping my Canadian Whiskey and my wife her Tito's Vodka....

All these election threads have shown how much more sophisticated drinkers Atlas users are than me.

Not to mention, wealthier than me.

[Kamala's side hoe]

For Warnock to only win by 1 would be a major disappointment, if obviously still a win in the end. Walker is barely coherent, and would lose by 20 without racial and partisan tribalism. It would be a sobering signal that Georgia ultimately still has a clear Republican lean.

Needle has jumped to Warnock +1.8. Seems to be adjusting to strong metro ATL margins for Warnock. Call me foolish, but I honestly still think it leans too far towards Walker. Currently they're predicting the Gwinnett and Chatham (Savannah) E-Day vote to be near even. While that could happen, it still seems not so plausible.

(adding this quote for posterity, this is around when I first opened the NYT tab)

Does anyone know what dropped that caused the needle to swing towards Walker?

Needle was turned off and the race was virtually tied at 64% of the vote in when I started checking this thread. Reverend and Quarterback have been trading leads for the last hour or so, right now it's 50.07-49.93 Walker at 82% in. 18:46 edit: nvm I see the needle now, it puts Warnock's chances of winning at >95%. Walker's lead has increased to 50.15-49.85 (8.7k raw vote margin)

Not following this too closely because I’m at a holiday party but based on skimming Twitter it looks like Warnock is massively underperforming??

That's a lie.  Atlas'ers don't go to parties

But y'all go on a ton of (in-person) dates- and if the LGBT caucus is any indication, clearly aren't lacking in sexual partners.

[President Punxsutawney Phil]

[Horus]

I guess the Kanye endorsement didn't pay off.

[Dani Rose]

Tonight, General Sherman...does not smile down from Heaven, because smiling is not a thing General Sherman does, but he looks down from Heaven with stern approval.

[Not Me, Us]

"I done told you once, you son of a bitch, I'm the best there's ever been!" - Warnock to The Donald

Not the Primus version, sadge.

[Alben Barkley]

The brass balls on Wasserman to call a race with the victorious candidate still technically "down."

If only the rest of the media shared them!

[Gass3268]

Hall County in Walker +1

[Sol]

"Atlanta is the cultural leader of the United States." - Rachel Maddow

Um... I mean it's a great city and all but New York still exists among other things.

No sun belt city has ever been a cultural leader along any dimension. The only exception is LA, which is a cultural leader in a bad way.

I see you do not listen to music.

[President Punxsutawney Phil]

I guess the Kanye endorsement didn't pay off.

Kan ye imagine that?

[ProudModerate2]

THE NEEDLE IS BACK!

And it's off the charts that Warnock is going to win.

[Oryxslayer]

Houston done (pronounced how-ston) Warner Robins.


Margin shifts from 55-43 Walker to 54-46 Walker lol. Warnock lost about 1K from November, Walker, 3K.