2022 Primary Election Night Coverage Megathread (9/13 - GRAND FINALE - DE, NH, RI) (user search)
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  2022 Primary Election Night Coverage Megathread (9/13 - GRAND FINALE - DE, NH, RI) (search mode)
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Author Topic: 2022 Primary Election Night Coverage Megathread (9/13 - GRAND FINALE - DE, NH, RI)  (Read 83198 times)
LAB-LIB
Dale Bumpers
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« on: March 01, 2022, 08:15:31 PM »

Interesting story at the Southern Border, more than half the vote in from Hidalgo County, and Abbott is about ten points above where he is statewide while O'Rourke is about ten points below where he is statewide. It's not much but it could tell something.
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LAB-LIB
Dale Bumpers
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Posts: 598
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« Reply #1 on: May 03, 2022, 07:50:39 PM »


Vote for Houchin now, you can vote for Sodrel anytime!
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LAB-LIB
Dale Bumpers
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Posts: 598
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« Reply #2 on: May 10, 2022, 07:11:00 PM »

Mooney is winning by a bigger margin in his areas than McKinley is and a lot of this is early vote. I think Mooney is going to win.
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LAB-LIB
Dale Bumpers
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***
Posts: 598
United States


« Reply #3 on: May 10, 2022, 08:21:40 PM »

This is probably as good as it gets for Lindstrom and as bad as it gets for Herbster, but if this holds up it would be a repeat of the 1998 GOP Primary for Governor where the initial frontrunner, Congressman Jon Lynn Christiansen who was the furthest right candidate in the race, ended up in the middle of a scandal and came in third while the (relatively) pragmatic Mayor of Lincoln, Mike Johanns, went on to win.
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LAB-LIB
Dale Bumpers
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Posts: 598
United States


« Reply #4 on: May 10, 2022, 08:51:14 PM »

43% REPORTED
Candidate Votes Pct.
Brett Lindstrom
26,967 votes       37.5%
Jim Pillen
21,013 votes       29.2%
Charles Herbster
15,937 votes       22.1%

Just narrowed dramatically and Douglas County is all in, I think it's going to be Pillen, it could still be Herbster but it's looking harder than it was an hour ago.
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LAB-LIB
Dale Bumpers
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 598
United States


« Reply #5 on: May 10, 2022, 08:54:53 PM »

49% REPORTED
Candidate Votes Pct.
Brett Lindstrom
29,881 votes       35.6%
Jim Pillen
24,573 votes       29.3%
Charles Herbster
20,253 votes       24.1%

5% came in, Lindstrom went down 2, Pillen stayed the same, and Herbster went up 2. This is far from over for Herbster.
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LAB-LIB
Dale Bumpers
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 598
United States


« Reply #6 on: May 10, 2022, 09:21:09 PM »

Pillen now improving at a faster rate than Herbster. It's going to be closer, but I think it's going to be Pillen.
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LAB-LIB
Dale Bumpers
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 598
United States


« Reply #7 on: May 10, 2022, 09:37:15 PM »

Pillen takes the lead
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LAB-LIB
Dale Bumpers
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***
Posts: 598
United States


« Reply #8 on: May 17, 2022, 06:10:36 PM »

No surprise but Booker and Paul win in Kentucky. McGarvey has a 2-1 lead in KY-3.
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LAB-LIB
Dale Bumpers
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 598
United States


« Reply #9 on: May 17, 2022, 06:38:22 PM »

McCrory up by only five in Mecklenberg where he was Mayor of Charlotte, not a good start, Budd wins.
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LAB-LIB
Dale Bumpers
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Posts: 598
United States


« Reply #10 on: May 17, 2022, 06:48:47 PM »

NYTimes calls it for Beasley and Budd.
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LAB-LIB
Dale Bumpers
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Posts: 598
United States


« Reply #11 on: May 17, 2022, 07:55:02 PM »

NBC calls it for Fetterman along with NYTimes.
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LAB-LIB
Dale Bumpers
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Posts: 598
United States


« Reply #12 on: May 17, 2022, 08:04:30 PM »


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LAB-LIB
Dale Bumpers
Jr. Member
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Posts: 598
United States


« Reply #13 on: May 17, 2022, 08:08:30 PM »


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LAB-LIB
Dale Bumpers
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 598
United States


« Reply #14 on: May 17, 2022, 08:16:08 PM »


A little late here Dave.
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LAB-LIB
Dale Bumpers
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 598
United States


« Reply #15 on: June 07, 2022, 06:29:18 PM »

NJ is REALLY unfriendly territory for primary challenges. Gottheimer's challenger was endorsed by Sanders last time and still didn't come close. Donald Payne Jr. has a hard-boiled left challenger this time, while Republican Chris Smith is being challenged by Trumpers, and neither one seems to be in any danger.

Can confirm. It says a lot that even after the crap he pulled, Democrats still couldn't find anyone to take on Gottheimer this cycle.

Like not even a Squad-type who would get shellacked.
The county organization ballot line is a big part of it, but it's also really hard because to get on TV, you need to pay to be on the NYC media market, the Philly media market, or in the case of a statewide race, both.
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LAB-LIB
Dale Bumpers
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***
Posts: 598
United States


« Reply #16 on: June 07, 2022, 07:52:20 PM »

It's only 2% in but Congressman Michael Guest is behind 47%-41%. I expect it to change but I'm keeping my eye on this one.

EDIT: Also Steven Palazzo is well below 50%, he's at 37.6% with Ezell at 28%. Still early, but the ethics charges have him on my radar.
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LAB-LIB
Dale Bumpers
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***
Posts: 598
United States


« Reply #17 on: June 07, 2022, 08:48:40 PM »

None of Rankin is in yet, and it is expected to be possibly close to a majority of the remaining votes.
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LAB-LIB
Dale Bumpers
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 598
United States


« Reply #18 on: June 07, 2022, 10:40:09 PM »

Axne's seat was probably Lean R no matter who the nominee was. It's an R district with a not-at-all strong incumbent.

Yeah, Lean R is a totally fair rating but the rationale here is stupid. It's not like they're going to move Malinowski to Lean D just because he won his primary with 95% of the vote.
They probably have wanted to move it for a little while, they're just using this as an excuse.
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LAB-LIB
Dale Bumpers
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 598
United States


« Reply #19 on: June 14, 2022, 06:59:32 PM »

Also worth noting in South Carolina there is an open statewide election in the Superintendtant of Education that is looking competitive
Isn't Maness the more reasonable Republican? Quick search shows she was endorsed by Spearman who if I'm correct is more of a moderate.
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LAB-LIB
Dale Bumpers
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 598
United States


« Reply #20 on: June 28, 2022, 09:17:13 PM »

Wow, Dem ahead by 5% in NE-01 with 71% in.

Only early votes reporting from every county.  ABC News says 35% reporting, which makes more sense.

https://abcnews.go.com/Politics/nebraska-2022-primary-election-results/story?id=84596290

That would still make more sense. Found the NYT results page and they have it at 42% in.

Regardless is Pansing Brooks can keep it somewhat close it would be a big surprise.
Knew it was too good to be true.
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