NYT LIVE POLL THREAD:

[America Needs a 13-6 Progressive SCOTUS]

Icespear needs to stop with the trolling overreactions.

[America Needs a 13-6 Progressive SCOTUS]

Abagail higher than the margin of error!

[America Needs a 13-6 Progressive SCOTUS]

Their WV-03 poll shows about a tie in party registration even though Democrats lead heavily in the area in that statistic.

Edit: I was confused. I was looking at the Party field and did not notice that there was a separate field for Party Registration.

[America Needs a 13-6 Progressive SCOTUS]

If Will Hurd wins re-election in 2018, then Republicans are definitely holding their House majority easily.

[America Needs a 13-6 Progressive SCOTUS]

In fact, the only race where they've massively deviated from the "consensus" so far is MN-03, in the Dems' favor.

Currently, they are also showing Republicans leading by a large margin in TX-23, which is a District that Democrats must win if they are to have any chance at flipping the House.

[America Needs a 13-6 Progressive SCOTUS]

Something extremely puzzling about the WI-01 poll is that apparently, it indicates that there are people who simultaneously believe that the Mueller investigation is a politically motivated witch hunt, while also believing that the investigation should continue.

[America Needs a 13-6 Progressive SCOTUS]

A poll that is heavily skewed towards Republicans is showing a Democrat leading beyond the margin of error lol.

[America Needs a 13-6 Progressive SCOTUS]

Honestly, I think the Pennsylvania gerrymander map as it was before the state supreme court invalidated it was probably the most vulnerable to being broken in a wave election. If it were the Ohio or North Carolina maps that got struck down instead, I think it would have actually had a bigger impact on the national situation, while it probably would have had the same impact if the Michigan map was struck down instead.

North Carolina and Ohio have extremely durable gerrymanders, that probably simultaneously resulted in Republicans winning multiple additional seats compared to what they would have won in a fair map, and kept all of the seats quite secure.