Wisconsin Megathread

[KingSweden]

Brutal anti-Walker ad using his own words.

I would just run this ad every day until November, several times a day. There's no comeback to that.

[KingSweden]

Burke's jobs platform was plagiarized.

Wow. Walsh, Wehby, and now Burke???

This is in no way comparable to Walsh's academic plagiarism. More comparable to when Republicans laughed at Mary Landrieu's website for copy and pasting stuff from Michelle Nunn's like a year ago. In other words, no impact whatsoever.

Agreed, not nearly as bad, but still not good by any means. Thankfully this is happening on September 19 and not October 19. This should be a non-issue by Nov, I'd imagine.

[KingSweden]

Not good for Bradley in April, certainly depends on R vs D turnout in the presidential primary, but the total D leaning vs R leaning vote here was a 55/45 split. A Bradley defeat would be a total blow to Scott Walker.

Side Note: This was the first election where I actually voted. A pretty lame first vote

Congratulations on your first vote. My first time was the 2010 general - I had filled out my primary ballot that summer and then forgot to mail it

[KingSweden]

So are Dems in Wisconsin just complacent losers? I'm at a loss for words.

This sounds like something that would happen in Alabama.

Hard to find candidates willing to throw themselves into the Priebus/Walker machine's way. The whole state Dem party looks and acts completely spineless. It's not going to take long before moderates/swing voters start getting used to voting R by default.

Looks like Wisconsin Democrats are becoming more and more like Florida Democrats.

The WI Dems have been between a rock and a hard place in the gubernatorial races because a majority of their base wanted to refight Act 10 (the union thing) but the swing voters were/are tired of it. Therefore they've had to either make everything about Act 10 (Barrett) or vapidly pretend it doesn't exist (Burke). If they do the former, they'd tick off swing voters and if they do the latter their base wouldn't be enthusiastic. Thus, the predicament.

Interesting. Explains a lot

[KingSweden]

Breaking: Ron Kind will NOT run for Governor in 2018

Welp. There goes the best recruit.

Thoughts on Parisi? A County Exec is usually a good stepping stone to Governor

[KingSweden]

Dane County Executive Joe Parisi will not run for Governor

Well that sucks. He was a top candidate

[KingSweden]

Flaming Hot Take here: I have more hope in the Iowa race than Wisconsin.

Indeed. Any of Boulton, Pritchard or Leopold seem solid

[KingSweden]

Evers is a good get. Still have this as Lean R though

[KingSweden]

What are the rough outlines of state legislature offensive opportunities for Democrats?

[KingSweden]

Tim Burns follows me on Twitter so I'm, whether I like it or not, obligated to give him my full moral support. Is he favored to receive a higher % vs. Dallet?

There’s an outside chance (unlikely IMO) both liberals advance. My read is that Dallet is favored, though.

[KingSweden]

The generally conservative Wisconsin State Journal endorses Rebecca Dallet.

Nice

[KingSweden]

Why can't Scott Walker obey the law?

The news even said he's scared of Democrats winning after the last special election and the Koch brothers told him no.

No as in “no more special elections” or “no more money for you”?

[KingSweden]

Why can't Scott Walker obey the law?

The news even said he's scared of Democrats winning after the last special election and the Koch brothers told him no.

No as in “no more special elections” or “no more money for you”?

I would have to verify with the bill but I think it was to stop all special elections as being a waste of money and "against the voice of the people".

There are a variety of special election laws around the country, and I’m ambivalent about which model is Best. That being said, what WI was up to was very capricious.

[KingSweden]

Don’t see how Screnock wins this. Dallet by 6-8 IMO.

Let’s not overread early turnout reports...

[KingSweden]

My body is ready

[KingSweden]

This is telling:

You must be logged in to read this quote.

This should send cold chills down Republican spines.

That’s a good way to phrase it

[KingSweden]

Who’s the likeliest LG choice for Dems?

[KingSweden]

Assuming Ryan’s retirement leads to a closer WI-01 race, and reduced morale, how much should Walker worry?

I can't imagine this has much bearing on Walker's chances. If anything, Walker's performance is more likely to have an effect on WI-1.

^^^

[KingSweden]

Not sure how much we actually have to worry about Paul Soglin winning the nomination:

https://twitter.com/MollyBeck/status/994617883790598146

Great news

[KingSweden]

!!!

Foxconn to cut back initial investment in $10bn Wisconsin plant

This'll roll over well.

[KingSweden]

Soglin is a no go. He strikes me as a potential power hungry tyrant in the mold of Hugo Chavez. The homeless thing really made the hair on the back of my neck stand up.
Mitchell definitely has my vote.

I mean Soglin is horrible for a variety of reasons but comparing him to Hugo Freaking Chavez seems a stretch.

[KingSweden]

Soglin is a no go. He strikes me as a potential power hungry tyrant in the mold of Hugo Chavez. The homeless thing really made the hair on the back of my neck stand up.
Mitchell definitely has my vote.

I mean Soglin is horrible for a variety of reasons but comparing him to Hugo Freaking Chavez seems a stretch.

Okay I shouldnt have compared him to Chavez but what I meant is that I think he's blowing smoke and mirrors. 

I don’t disagree.