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Poll
Question: Rate Vermont for Governor in 2020
#1
Toss-Up/Tilt Dem
#2
Toss-Up/Tilt Scott
#3
Lean Scott
#4
Likely Scott
#5
Safe Scott
Show Pie Chart
Partisan results

Author Topic: Rate Vermont  (Read 1970 times)
ElectionsGuy
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Posts: 21,102
United States


Political Matrix
E: 7.10, S: -7.65

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« on: April 24, 2020, 10:49:15 PM »
Vote or change vote in previous threads here:

MT NH NC

Ratings



No Election: 46.6% of population, 20 states
Safe Dem: 2.6% of population, 2 states
Likely Dem: 3.2% of population, 1 state
Lean Dem:
Toss-Up/Tilt Dem:
Toss-Up/Tilt Rep: 0.3% of population, 1 state
Lean Rep:
Likely Rep: 0.4% of population, 1 state
Safe Rep: 1.2% of population, 2 states
No Election: 41.0% of population, 19 states

Predictions



Democratic: 52.4% of population, 23 states
Republican: 42.9% of population, 23 states
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KaiserDave
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E: -5.81, S: -5.39

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« Reply #1 on: April 24, 2020, 10:49:39 PM »
Likely/Safe Scott
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It’s so Joever
Forumlurker161
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« Reply #2 on: April 24, 2020, 11:57:05 PM »
Scott isn’t losing this unless he murders a four year old on live television.
He’s a popular incumbent in a State with a moderate Republican tradition.
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
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E: -6.84, S: -0.17


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« Reply #3 on: April 25, 2020, 03:37:46 AM »
Safe Scott
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President Johnson
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E: -3.23, S: -4.70


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« Reply #4 on: April 25, 2020, 04:30:00 AM »
Bordering likely to safe Scott.

I think Scott gets reelected by about ten points; and he deserves to win. The best Republican governor, tied with Charlie Baker.
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Lechasseur
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E: -0.52, S: 3.13

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« Reply #5 on: April 25, 2020, 04:34:32 AM »
Likely R
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Frenchrepublican
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« Reply #6 on: April 25, 2020, 05:25:42 AM »
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smoltchanov
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« Reply #7 on: April 25, 2020, 07:58:34 AM »
Likely R. Scott is popular, and he will NOT run with Sanders as Democratic presidential candidate too.
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VPH
vivaportugalhabs
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E: -4.13, S: -0.17

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« Reply #8 on: April 25, 2020, 08:05:47 AM »
Likely Scott, but I can't rule out a Democratic win if Trump is losing particularly badly.
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
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« Reply #9 on: April 26, 2020, 04:26:41 AM »
Quote from: VPH on April 25, 2020, 08:05:47 AM
Likely Scott, but I can't rule out a Democratic win if Trump is losing particularly badly.

Sununu, not Scott would lose in a wave
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President Johnson
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« Reply #10 on: April 26, 2020, 04:35:33 AM »
Quote from: VPH on April 25, 2020, 08:05:47 AM
Likely Scott, but I can't rule out a Democratic win if Trump is losing particularly badly.

Doubtful. He won handily in 2018 despite Trump backlash and Bernie on the ticket. Vermont obviously likes him. Scott even supported impeachment.
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
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« Reply #11 on: April 26, 2020, 06:44:20 AM »
Scott is a lifer Gov
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President Punxsutawney Phil
TimTurner
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« Reply #12 on: April 26, 2020, 06:58:42 AM »
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Fuzzy Bear
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« Reply #13 on: April 26, 2020, 08:25:15 AM »
Scott's not a Trump supporter.  I know people from Vermont, old friends from school, who loathe Trump and are liberal Democrats who think Phil Scott is great.  So he's far from "done".  I consider him a favorite because he's viewed in an apolitical light, and he's already won in a Democratic Wave year.
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Xing
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E: -6.52, S: -3.91

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« Reply #14 on: April 27, 2020, 01:52:47 PM »
Likely R, closer to Safe than Lean.
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
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« Reply #15 on: April 27, 2020, 02:41:06 PM »
Safe
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andjey
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« Reply #16 on: April 30, 2020, 01:26:50 PM »
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
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« Reply #17 on: April 30, 2020, 01:28:59 PM »
Dems are targeting Sununu and he is vulnerable when the NH Senate race gets in full swing. Scott will have this seat indefinitely or until he retires
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Quincy Kelley
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« Reply #18 on: April 30, 2020, 02:48:01 PM »
Scott wins very easily by double digits in November: he'll be Governor as long as he wants.
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