Rate Montana

[ElectionsGuy]

Ratings

No Election: 46.6% of population, 20 states
Safe Dem: 2.6% of population, 2 states
Likely Dem:
Lean Dem:
Toss-Up/Tilt Dem:
Toss-Up/Tilt Rep:
Lean Rep:
Likely Rep:
Safe Rep: 1.2% of population, 2 states
No Election: 41.0% of population, 19 states

Predictions

Democratic: 49.2% of population, 22 states
Republican: 42.2% of population, 21 states

[MT Treasurer]

Toss-up with an ever-so-slight Tilt to the GOP, but no one should be surprised if Cooney wins.

[S019]

Pure tossup


Tilt D with Gianforte

Lean R with Fox

[President Punxsutawney Phil]

tossup with an extremely small GOP edge

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

I thought Cooney would win, by MT is trending R

[SnowLabrador]

Open seat, Montana is trending R, will vote Trump by 15+ points...I'll be bold and say Likely R.

[Frenchrepublican]

Tilt Republican

Also why does IN is not Safe R ? Holcomb will likely win by a even larger margin than Trump, that doesn't make any sense.

[Lechasseur]

Pure Toss Up

I also think Montana is the only real toss up state in this year's gubernatorial elections.

That's because in the other states it's all incumbents running for re-election (except Utah, which is Safe R at all levels) and I believe the incumbent governors this year will all be reelected (with different degrees of confidence in that ofc)

[Frenchrepublican]

Pure Toss Up

I also think Montana is the only real toss up state in this year's gubernatorial elections.

That's because in the other states it's all incumbents running for re-election (except Utah, which is Safe R at all levels) and I believe the incumbent governors this year will all be reelected (with different degrees of confidence in that ofc)

Yeah, I guess that if a poll was done as of now, every governor would have a positive approval rate.

[Farmlands]

Lean R. Not an incumbent governor and Bullock was only elected with a very small margin the first time he ran, in a good year. Plus, we have Gianforte once again being looked over, when we all saw what happened the first time with the predictions of assaultgate dooming his chances.

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Toss-up with an ever-so-slight Tilt to the GOP, but no one should be surprised if Cooney wins.

Dems should not forget about the 279 states and forgo MT, VT and NH Gov are more winnable than MT. Since Sununu is running in the same state as Shaheen and his polls collapsed in 2018

[Esteemed Jimmy]

Tilt R

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Daines and Rs are gonna sweep

[I’m not Stu]

Could Tim Fox win the GOP primary?

[MT Treasurer]

Could Tim Fox win the GOP primary?

He could, especially given his (relative) strength with older voters and his ground game, but he’s certainly not favored. I feel like Gianforte would win by 10 points or so if the primary election was held tomorrow.

[Xing]

Tilt R, with either Fox or Gianforte.

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Change Tilt D for S.Bullock

[RussFeingoldWasRobbed]

My bold prediction? Gianforte wins by .01 in 2020 but loses in 2024

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Cooney is gonna win on the back of Steve Bullock, Govs have high approvals in states, that's why MT is a tossup

[Sir Mohamed]

Tilt R with Gianforte

Lean R with Fox.

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Leans R

[Epaminondas]

Cooney is gonna win on the back of Steve Bullock, Govs have high approvals in states, that's why MT is a tossup

Leans R

What happened?

[President Johnson]

With Gianforte, who is likely to win the Republican nomination: Tilt Democratic.

I think Mike Cooney is a very strong candidate.

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

With Gianforte, who is likely to win the Republican nomination: Tilt Democratic.

I think Mike Cooney is a very strong candidate.

He was losing big in the last poll

[Suburbia]

Lean D