2020 Presidential Election Results & Exit Polls commentary thread

[Alcibiades]

Trump won Delaware County Ohio by about 5 points. Does anyone have any insight on whether that's a good or bad sign for Biden in Michigan and Pennsylvania?

Well that’s a Biden +10 swing, so a good sign.

[Pyro]

This election is not 1980-it's 1976.

Is Lillian Carter gonna show up and reveal her Biden Won 2020 t-shirt?

[politics_king]

The Hispanic swings don't seem to be extending into NM and CO. Biden may keep NV after all.

Is anyone doubting that?

There were several posters in here earlier - - all now curiously silent - - crowing that Biden was doomed in Nevada based on his collapse of Hispanic support in the Rio Grande Valley.

Does anyone have a reason for why this may be the case? Are Hispanics in Nevada/New Mexico more likely to be of a certain ethnicity?

Mexican voters vote different than Cuban voters.

[ultraviolet]

118-102 Biden.

What is this

[Fmr. Gov. NickG]

1976 redux?

Actually I was thinking something similar. Definitely not the 413 landslide, RIP to that dream. But a win is a win.

Yeah. Back to the 290 map.

AZ will be a good win, just in case Biden loses WI or MI.
But if he just loses PA, then we have a tie (with NE-02 and ME-02 counted for trump).
Uggggg.

Why would you count NE-02 for Trump?

[Calthrina950]

This election is not 1980-it's 1976.

Is Lillian Carter gonna show up and reveal her Biden Won 2020 t-shirt?

I'd wish, but no.

[Alcibiades]

CBS move AZ from toss-up to Lean Biden.

[Storr]

The dooming went so far in this thread that some people started overcorrecting and predicting outrageous things like Trump winning Nevada and Minnesota....

I finally realized I just needed to ignore the dooming (but more importantly the troll-dooming).

[President Punxsutawney Phil]

Cooper wins re-election

NC-GOV was always the easiest of all the NC races for Dems.

[Hope For A New Era]

All eyes on Orange and Guilford.

[exopolitician]

118-102 Biden.

What is this

Illinois

[Kuumo]

Atlas keeps thinking Trump can pull an upset in Virginia, and Georgia should be called for Trump, not considering the well-known counting biases of these states. Never change, Atlas.

[wbrocks67]

Trump won Delaware County Ohio by about 5 points. Does anyone have any insight on whether that's a good or bad sign for Biden in Michigan and Pennsylvania?

Well that’s a Biden +10 swing, so a good sign.

Good sign, since Biden just needs to improve by 1 in WI, MI, and PA to win them lol.

[Alben Barkley]

The dooming went so far in this thread that some people started overcorrecting and predicting outrageous things like Trump winning Nevada and Minnesota....

That’s why you gotta keep a cool head when dealing with messy things like that, remain calm and collected even when things aren’t going as expected. Otherwise you are prone to start thinking very irrationally.

[Dr. MB]

if trump wins then fuck politics we’re hopeless

[͘]

Guys, I think Biden might lose. pardon my doomery.

[Beet]

Anyone remember this story?

Biden organizers say campaign is 'suppressing the Hispanic vote' in Florida, mistreating staff


https://thehill.com/homenews/campaign/509039-internal-letter-says-biden-campaign-is-suppressing-the-hispanic-vote-in

[Alcibiades]

Biden’s chances in NC have improved a bit on the NYT needle (although Trump still heavy favourite).

[GP270watch]

what was obama able to do in fl that biden and clinton weren't?

Turn out black voters, democratic Latino voters, young voters, and be popular enough with suburbanites.

[Alben Barkley]

I said I’d almost rather win Iowa than Texas to stick it to the “trends” worshippers. Looks possible now.

[͘]

if trump wins then fuck politics we’re hopeless

You are reaching dangerous levels of doomery.

[Splash]

https://twitter.com/JonathanTamari/status/1323831202919362560

[Hope For A New Era]

Biden’s chances in NC have improved a bit on the NYT needle (although Trump still heavy favourite).

Beat me to it.

Now watch this go 306-232 in the opposite direction from 2016, lol.

[lfromnj]

Minnesota seems pretty good for Biden

Anoka county is only Trump +1 at 93% in, its suburban Minneapolis but more working class and it trended R in 2016. Was Trump +10.

[President Punxsutawney Phil]

The dooming went so far in this thread that some people started overcorrecting and predicting outrageous things like Trump winning Nevada and Minnesota....

I finally realized I just needed to ignore the dooming (but more importantly the troll-dooming).

Happiness or: How I learned to stop worrying and ignore the dooming