Does Miami-Dade swing to the right in 2020? (user search)
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  Does Miami-Dade swing to the right in 2020? (search mode)
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Poll
Question: Will Donald Trump improve on his 2016 margin in Miami-Dade county, Florida?
#1
Yes
 
#2
No
 
Show Pie Chart
Partisan results

Total Voters: 59

Author Topic: Does Miami-Dade swing to the right in 2020?  (Read 1943 times)
pbrower2a
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Posts: 26,860
United States


« on: June 27, 2019, 04:17:05 PM »

I don't think Trump can just cry socialism and all the sudden Cubans who voted for Hillary are in Trump's camp. This is partly a generational shift and a long term problem for the Republicans in Florida. So while it could get slightly more Republican in 2020, I doubt it's by a substantial margin or by a margin that makes or breaks the state at large.

Yeah people think because they bounced back in 2018 from 2016 that its gonna swing R in 2020.

Reminder that I am pretty sure Obama either lost or only narrowly won FL 27th in 2008 which is now Clinton +20 after going to around Obama +8 in 2012 I think?

More Latin-Americans in the electorate (recent Cuban immigrants are not right-wing, in contrast to those who fled Castro's revolution) means more Democratic votes.

The 2018 election suggests that voters are already taking things out on Donald Trump.
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