Austrian Elections & Politics 5.0 (Burgenland state election - January 26)

[Oryxslayer]

I just saw a tweet online, where a guy posted the results of a town in Burgenland (and then deleted it again after 5 minutes, because he could be sentenced for posting results early).

If those results are true, we could see some surprises ... (the town only has 1.000 eligible voters though).

I realize it might be illegal for you to post the numbers in this thread, but would it be illegal for you to send them to me in a PM?

I won't risk it.

Right...

Then let me ask you another question, what sort of fruits would the people of a small town in Burgenland prefer, Black Berries, Red Apples, Blue Berries, Limes, Pink Cherries, or do they not care about the sort of fruit as long as they get it NOW?

The delivery driver spilled a box full of 100 fruits in that town, consisting of 50 apples, 32 black berries, 9 limes, 6 blue berries, 2 pink cherries and 1 banana.

During the previous food delivery, the box contained 53 apples, 27 black berries, 12 blue berries, 3 pink cherries, 2 limes and 3 other fruits.

We spain now.

[Tender Branson]

The live election coverages have started:

ORF

PULS 4

ATV

ServusTV

Ö24 TV (will have their own "exit poll" soon)

[jaichind]

Any links to real results ?

[Walmart_shopper]

I just saw a tweet online, where a guy posted the results of a town in Burgenland (and then deleted it again after 5 minutes, because he could be sentenced for posting results early).

If those results are true, we could see some surprises ... (the town only has 1.000 eligible voters though).

I realize it might be illegal for you to post the numbers in this thread, but would it be illegal for you to send them to me in a PM?

I won't risk it.

Right...

Then let me ask you another question, what sort of fruits would the people of a small town in Burgenland prefer, Black Berries, Red Apples, Blue Berries, Limes, Pink Cherries, or do they not care about the sort of fruit as long as they get it NOW?

The delivery driver spilled a box full of 100 fruits in that town, consisting of 50 apples, 32 black berries, 9 limes, 6 blue berries, 2 pink cherries and 1 banana.

During the previous food delivery, the box contained 53 apples, 27 black berries, 12 blue berries, 3 pink cherries, 2 limes and 3 other fruits.

We spain now.

Honestly, that's pretty much what anyone expected, with a more pronounced FPO drop and maybe a more significant bump for the Greens. All it really does is sweeten appeal for Kurtz to pivot left and gives the Greens a significant bite of the apple...or lime...or whatever.

[Tender Branson]

Any links to real results ?

Link

[Tender Branson]

Ö24 exit poll should come in ca. 10 minutes, 15 minutes before polls close ...

[Tender Branson]

"At FPÖ-headquarters, nobody is picking up the phones anymore ..."

[Keep Calm and ...]

Ö24 exit poll should come in ca. 10 minutes, 15 minutes before polls close ...

Isn't that illegal?

[Tender Branson]

Ö24 exit poll should come in ca. 10 minutes, 15 minutes before polls close ...

Isn't that illegal?

No, it only applies to specific election results being released early.

Their exit poll might not even be an exit poll, but some online survey conducted today or the last few days ...

[Double Carpet]

So it's an exit poll not a partial vote count as in France?

[Keep Calm and ...]

Ö24 exit poll should come in ca. 10 minutes, 15 minutes before polls close ...

Isn't that illegal?

No, it only applies to specific election results being released early.

Their exit poll might not even be an exit poll, but some online survey conducted today or the last few days ...

Thanks

[Tender Branson]

So it's an exit poll not a partial vote count as in France?

ORF/SORA's on 5pm is a projection based on a partial vote count.

Ö24/Research Affairs is unclear what method they use.

[Tender Branson]

OK, the Ö24 pollster just said it's in fact a classical exit poll done today with 750 people +250 people by phone.

[Tender Branson]

Wolfgang Fellner and his Ö24 are really painful to watch ... so embarrassing.

[Tender Branson]

Woah, looking at the actual results, ÖVP wins districts in Upper Styria that the SPÖ won with 60% once ...

[FredLindq]

Exit poll OE24

37% ÖVP +5,5
23% SPÖ -3
17% FPÖ -9
12% Greens +8
 8% NEOS +3
 2% NOW -2
1% Others -2

[Tender Branson]

Zell am See:

FPÖ cut in half, SPÖ-3%, ÖVP+10%, Greens+6%, NEOS+2%, Pilz out.

https://wahl19.bmi.gv.at/50628.html

[parochial boy]

ORF

ÖVP - 37,2%
SPÖ - 22,0%
FPÖ - 16,0%
NEOS - 7,4%
Green - 14,3%
Jetzt - 1,8%

Not bad, Grünen...

[Oryxslayer]

https://twitter.com/EuropeElects/status/1178325227102769153

https://twitter.com/EuropeElects/status/1178324423755145217

https://twitter.com/EuropeElects/status/1178323727534178304

This means that OVP-Greens could have a majority on its own, no need for NEOS. So OVP would seriously have a choice of partners.

[Tender Branson]

[Tender Branson]

Greens+Pilz could finish ahead of the FPÖ ... LOL.

[Cranberry]

Much better than expected! Even third place for the FPÖ is not yet 100% secure.

[Oryxslayer]

OVP+Greens, OVP+SPO, OVP+FPO all have working majority. No govt can be realisitically formed without OVP, not that such a fact was unexpected.

[Tender Branson]

There was a sign in the ÖVP victory crowd which says "Vienna is turquoise".

Might not be wrong with this margin, but we'll have to wait ...

[Tender Branson]

Besides FPÖ+SPÖ+Pilz, the big losers are the pollsters this time.

I knew there was some herding going on ...