Virginia Mega Thread: The Youngkin Administration

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https://twitter.com/WAVY_News/status/1337686132528721930

Democrats are favored either way but in good and bad news for Democrats Amanda Chase will be seeking the Republican nomination for Governor instead of running as an independent.

Can she beat Kirk Cox?

Tt's possible.  Ken Cuccinelli and E.W. Jackson were both nominated through conventions so I think it could very well happen that she is nominated but then again with things like her being kicked out of a county party maybe she won't.

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Yeah I have to agree.  To say a former Governor touting his experience is a racist dogwhistle is just ridiculous.  I'm undecided but labelling this racist turns me off from Carroll Foy.

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https://twitter.com/vpapupdates/status/1339210624602091520?s=20
Pete Snyder: businessman, active in GOP politics, founded the "Virginia 30 day fund" for loans to small businesses, outspoken on opening back up schools.   Seems he could have a good chance for the nomination if he jumps in.

He was the odds-on favorite for Lt. Governor in 2013, but then the convention delegates heard EW Jackson give a speech about Lighting a Flame for Liberty or some such, and flocked to him instead. He had these little plastic torches or candles.

I voted against him in all 4 rounds because I knew he'd be general election poison, but the nature of these things is that they only attract die-hards and crazy people. Because nobody else wants to spend an entire Saturday in some arena while they try to count votes.

So I'd say Amanda Chase's odds are pretty good with that crowd.

Chase was convinced she couldn't win if it went to convention.  Plus her threat to run third-party I think will not sit well with people either.

yea, can someone explain this to me? It seems to me that a convention plays to her advantage so why would she have thought it was an attempt to torpedo her campaign?

I got the impression there are a lot of influential people in the party she just does not get along with at all, but I don't know the details.

This is my understanding.  It's not necessarily her views that will hurt her, it's the fact that she's pissed off enough party members with influence.

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Pete Snyder set to join the race today.

https://www.washingtonpost.com/local/virginia-politics/businessman-pete-snyder-joins-race-for-virginia-governor/2021/01/25/91f4dabc-5036-11eb-b96e-0e54447b23a1_story.html

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I admit I don't understand Snyder or Youngkin.  I get Kirk Cox (generic republican), de la Pena (conservative but was military), and Chase but what are Snyder and Youngkin's lanes?  Are they just trying to portray themselves as business conservatives or is there something more?

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I think this will be close.

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I think there's some truth to the idea that Nova is less isolationist than the rest of the country but Afghanistan is a very different situation and I do not think many people here care much about the withdrawal.

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I'm still kind of surprised Ayala was nominated.  It feels like she's invisible at the moment.  Of course, so is Herring but he's the incumbent.

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Current T Mac ads: nurses, doctors, masks, women talking about abortion rights.

Current Youngkin ads: him fumbling through a grocery store + non stop ads featuring a bunch of really old white male cops.

Pretty obvious to everyone but MT Treasurer and THG who is running the better campaign here.

I only see youngkin signs in Fairfax but I think it may be because he is winning the extreme wealthy and Democrats are more likely to live in condos, townhouses or apartments thag forbid signs?

Not sure how that is possible.  He does have a lot of signs, he had them in the GOP "primary" as well.  But I see more TMac signs.  Are you only driving through exclusive parts of Great Falls or something?

I think I see more Youngkin signs between Alexandria and Fort Hunt.  Now that may be confirmation bias at work, but I'll try to take a count today.

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https://www.13newsnow.com/article/news/politics/virginia-house-candidate-blasted-tweet/291-023fb29d-8830-4866-8baf-1ca1d3ab6090

Virginia House candidate blasted for insulting tweet about House Speaker

I saw it and I'm not sure if it is actually anti-Semitic (I had no idea she is Jewish and her names are not stereotypically Jewish in my mind) but it was bad regardless. 

Also the whole "apology' was even worse.  I have more respect for someone that makes a bad insult and then defends it than someone that says it was wrong and then tries to deflect blame.

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Do you think Mac would be doing better if he went by Terence? 

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McAuliffe/Ayala/Herring signs popping up everywhere in Fort Hunt.

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This thread reminds me I really need to go vote.

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It’s getting worse in loudon. This isn’t daily wire anymore reporting it

It’s actual local news

I honestly hope the school board members sleep in absolute terror tonight and even urinate in their beds thinking about how bad it is going to get for them in the coming days

https://mobile.twitter.com/WTOP/status/1451338174328881160

This is an awful story and everyone that is involved should probably lose their job, but I don't understand how this is a state-wide issue.

The school board is non-partisan (and I have no idea what their beliefs are), the Sheriff is a Republican, and I have no idea what the principal is.  Maybe I'm missing something but is there any reason why this relates to the gubernatorial election?

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Wow, a Democratic staffer has made his Twitter private after Twitter sleuths noticed he bears a striking resemblance to one of the tiki torch guys

https://mobile.twitter.com/TrumpJew2/status/1454148274319933448

Alternatively, Trump supporters were sending him death threats so he went on private.

Yes, I agree.  He's been accused of something and is probably getting a lot of heat.  It's pretty reasonable that he'd go private whether or not he did it.

Now he may or may not be the guy in the picture but him going private is not proof of anything because he has reason to do it whether or not he is guilty.

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Interesting anecdote from poll worker training: a prospective worker raised some objections to the option of not showing ID and instead swearing that you are who you say you are.  This person was pretty quickly shut down by the Republican member of the local board of elections who told her point-blank that the system is secure and there is no fraud.

It was an interesting little experience.

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Clinton-Biden-Youngkin voters will exist. The question is to what extent do they exist? Are they just a small group or a sizable minority? If Youngkin can capture even 5-10% of Clinton-Biden voters, that's probably a good sign for him.

I think it's a fairly sizable group.  Government or government-adjacent workers that didn't like Trump's bombast and saw him as a potential threat to their jobs.  Perhaps many of them even voted for Trump in 2016 but switched to Biden in 2020.  Now, seeing what's happened under Biden they are looking for a moderate, business-friendly Republican.  Youngkin is no Bill Weld, but he comes off as a fairly reasonable person.  I don't think this is 15% of the population, but I could see it being enough to flip the election.  But who knows, I might be way off.

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Lol, this is the official Council of DC Twitter:

https://twitter.com/councilofdc/status/1455708493164523525

They're talking mad sh**t for a group that doesn't even have full control over their entire city.

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Bruh....
https://twitter.com/JeffOnTheRight/status/1455932052650479618?s=20

This is indeed what the youths of today call a " brother moment ".

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Here’s a fact

If winsome Sears was a democrat, her candidacy would have been part of media discourse for months

A Jamaican immigrant who arrived on our shores basically destitute

You will never, ever convince me otherwise that the media only treats candidacies of minorities as historic when they are liberal

This is unfortunately true.

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Imagine voting on June 20, 2023

This post made by Alexandria gang

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Anyone else get the Youtube ad with the creepy whispering saying that if you have any problems at the polling station to call some number? The whispering was bizarre.