West African Crisis (user search)
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Author Topic: West African Crisis  (Read 11486 times)
lfromnj
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« on: July 28, 2023, 10:00:47 PM »



If successful, this would be Niger's fifth coup - on the face of it, not an exception to their historical norm. Fortunately, it's too early to declare the coup a success, and the deposed government might retain more grassroots support than previously couped regimes, on account of it not being another dictatorship. There has only been one successful coup against a democratic government in Niger, and the coupists' rule ended three years later with their assassination in another coup, followed by elections.

One of Niger's coups in 2010 actually was to enforce term limits and the junta did willingly give up power as soon as realistically possible.
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lfromnj
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« Reply #1 on: August 01, 2023, 09:21:20 AM »

Hasn’t Mali dumped French as their Official language just these days or so?



Mostly symbolic. If you have "13" official languages there isn't really an official one.
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lfromnj
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« Reply #2 on: August 01, 2023, 10:19:06 AM »



Aren't all the realistic paths to export going through ECOWAS countries?
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lfromnj
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« Reply #3 on: August 05, 2023, 10:40:12 PM »

So it seems like the Nigerian senate has ruled out military intervention. Pretty humiliating for Tinubu. A diplomatic solution obviously won't work (we literally have three recent examples in the same region to know that it won't) which means that ECOWAS will now have four suspended member-states (Mali, Burkina Faso, Guinea and Niger). Four members is probably enough to create a "coup d'état" union between themselves lol. Poor ECOWAS, that organization is pretty much useless at this point.

This is over unless France decides to intervene.

Hopefully it won't come to that. My housemate, an IR person, suggested the generals may be willing to talk concessions or power-sharing at some point given that they haven't killed or exiled Bazoum.

France bribes the generals directly and offers them exile in peace?
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