What party will the first woman president be from?
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  What party will the first woman president be from?
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Poll
Question: (Read post first) The first woman elected president is more likely to be a .....
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Democrat
 
#2
Republican
 
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Total Voters: 75

Author Topic: What party will the first woman president be from?  (Read 16082 times)
Padfoot
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« on: July 15, 2009, 01:23:56 AM »

Regardless of your opinions of Sarah Palin, please assume for the purposes of this poll that she will not be running in 2012.  Also, if you have a particular candidate in mind, please list her name and the year or years you think she is most likely to be elected.
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Antonio the Sixth
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« Reply #1 on: July 15, 2009, 04:45:43 AM »

Probably democratic, since the only woman who's likely to get nominated by the GOP will never be elected.
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Marokai Backbeat
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« Reply #2 on: July 15, 2009, 07:48:34 AM »

Democrat, without a doubt in my mind.
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DariusNJ
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« Reply #3 on: July 15, 2009, 11:06:27 AM »

Democrat.
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zclark1994
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« Reply #4 on: July 15, 2009, 12:18:46 PM »

Susan Collins from the GOP in Maine.
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JewishConservative
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« Reply #5 on: July 15, 2009, 01:11:52 PM »

Sarah Palin in 2016, GOP
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JerryBrown2010
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« Reply #6 on: July 15, 2009, 02:16:46 PM »

Democrat.
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Ogre Mage
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« Reply #7 on: July 15, 2009, 02:37:43 PM »
« Edited: July 15, 2009, 02:48:36 PM by Ogre Mage »

The Democratic Party.  It has a much larger pool of prominent women politicians to draw from.

Not only does the Republican party have far fewer prominent women, but they are mostly pro-choice:  Olympia Snowe, Susan Collins, Kay Bailey Hutchison, Lisa Murkowski, Jodi Rell and Linda Lingle.  That's a non-starter for a GOP Presidential candidate.

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« Reply #8 on: July 15, 2009, 07:10:22 PM »

The Democratic Party.  It has a much larger pool of prominent women politicians to draw from.

Not only does the Republican party have far fewer prominent women, but they are mostly pro-choice:  Olympia Snowe, Susan Collins, Kay Bailey Hutchison, Lisa Murkowski, Jodi Rell and Linda Lingle.  That's a non-starter for a GOP Presidential candidate.



Hutchinson is loved by southerners , even though she is pro-choice
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Daniel Z
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« Reply #9 on: July 15, 2009, 07:50:14 PM »

Could easily be either, but it is slightly more likely to be a Democrat. The Republicans current field of women is very weak, but ten plus years from now that may not be the case.
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Devilman88
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« Reply #10 on: July 15, 2009, 11:28:41 PM »

 Kay Bailey Hutchison in 2012 Cheesy
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Ogre Mage
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« Reply #11 on: July 16, 2009, 02:30:42 AM »
« Edited: July 16, 2009, 03:17:48 AM by Ogre Mage »

The Democratic Party.  It has a much larger pool of prominent women politicians to draw from.

Not only does the Republican party have far fewer prominent women, but they are mostly pro-choice:  Olympia Snowe, Susan Collins, Kay Bailey Hutchison, Lisa Murkowski, Jodi Rell and Linda Lingle.  That's a non-starter for a GOP Presidential candidate.



Hutchinson is loved by southerners , even though she is pro-choice

Unfortunately (and to my surprise), polls suggest that Rick Perry is loved more (among Republicans).
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MASHED POTATOES. VOTE!
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« Reply #12 on: July 16, 2009, 08:31:35 PM »

Susan Collins from the GOP in Maine.

Party base voiting in primary for pro-choice, pro-stimulus member of the gang of 14? Maybe in dreams...
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Vepres
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« Reply #13 on: July 16, 2009, 09:28:08 PM »

Honestly, I think the Republicans. Most of the prominent female Democrats are uncharismatic and don't really stand out from a policy perspective. In my opinion, we probably won't have a female President for a few more decades.

If the GOP moderates on social issues, a definite yes. If not, a possibly.
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JewishConservative
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« Reply #14 on: July 16, 2009, 11:36:22 PM »

The Democratic Party.  It has a much larger pool of prominent women politicians to draw from.

Not only does the Republican party have far fewer prominent women, but they are mostly pro-choice:  Olympia Snowe, Susan Collins, Kay Bailey Hutchison, Lisa Murkowski, Jodi Rell and Linda Lingle.  That's a non-starter for a GOP Presidential candidate.



Hutchinson is loved by southerners , even though she is pro-choice

Unfortunately (and to my surprise), polls suggest that Rick Perry is loved more (among Republicans).

I ian't one of those republicans. KBH 2010
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Psychic Octopus
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« Reply #15 on: July 17, 2009, 01:24:15 AM »

Too early to tell. There just isn't enough of a pile to draw from in my opinion.
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
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« Reply #16 on: July 22, 2009, 02:18:26 PM »

Democrat, women are blue collar and Democrat swings to blue-collar Americans. Gillibrand, Sotomayor.
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Psychic Octopus
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« Reply #17 on: July 22, 2009, 02:19:00 PM »

Democrat, women are blue collar and Democrat swings to blue-collar Americans. Gillibrand, Sotomayor.


Sotomayor for President?Huh?
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Bleeding heart conservative, HTMLdon
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« Reply #18 on: July 22, 2009, 02:23:08 PM »

Democrat, as most of our solid Republican women wouldn't make it through a primary.
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Badger
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« Reply #19 on: July 22, 2009, 04:38:47 PM »

Probably a Democrat. I have long believed that, in the abstract, the likelihood would be for a Republican woman. It's been said that their party communicates strength and willingness to be agressive in foriegn policy, while their gender communicates a more nuturing empathetic side. In other words, the perfect compassionate conservative.

In the abstract, that is. I would've also opined only a few years ago that America's first black president would be a conservative. Right now I'd say Democrat as it appears there are no viable female GOP candidates on the horizon for 2016. IIRC, all of the current female GOP senators or governors other than Palin--who I discount having any hope at the GOP nomination, let alone the presidency--are all pro-choice and, thus, essentially ineligible for their party's nomination for at least the next decade or two.

The Democrats, by contrast, have a number of electable female office holders who could be viable candidates in 2016, not even counting Hillary. Plus Biden almost surely won't run. My uneducated hunch is the party and country will both be ready for a female president then. Heck, we both are now, but just like the one we've currently got. :-)

For the GOP to have a viable presidential candidate by then will require either a first term gov or senator "pulling an Obama" (not likely), or I suppose at least one or two of the current female GOP candidates for governor next year 1) winning their nomination and 2) general election next year then 3) be reelected in 2012, making a second term governor at least a respectable jumping off point for a presidential run. Oh, and 4) have the inclination, temperment, record and broad political support to run a successful national campaign.

In short: On paper--GOP. Looking at actual prospective candidates for 2016, edge to the Dems.
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Hillary 2016
Marienne Boudreau
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« Reply #20 on: July 28, 2009, 10:49:53 PM »

You know, in the closest other countries to the U.S.A. -the UK and Canada- their only two female leaders were Margaret Thatcher and Kim Campbell and both were from the conservative party.

I think Margaret Thatcher is a good example of what America's first female president might be like.
I actually believe Mrs. Clinton came close to her image - regardless of how she started out, by the end of that primary she was perceived by blue collar Democrats as their champion, a tough "Iron Lady," if you will, and her campaign made sure people (especially here in Pa.) knew that she was ready on Day 1 to handle a national or international crisis...

If she's a Republican, she may probably be able to go to the right of Attila the Hun and win.  It worked for Margaret Thatcher, and everybody knows that woman didn't even try to be sweet.  I don't know- would something like that be electable in America?  I say it would.

So I'd like her to be a progressive Democrat who is also a tough, fearless stateswoman, and maybe a grandmotherly figure.  I always felt that Ann Richards would have been a very good first female President but the poor thing died too early, so now we'll never know.

I have this feeling though that either in 2012 or 2016 (most likely the latter) Sarah Palin will rise from being the right wing/populist radio princess to the base's nominee. In a race against Joe Biden, she could very well win.

On the Democratic side I can only see Mrs. Clinton... brilliant legal mind and children's health advocate, former First Lady of the United States, eight-year Senator from New York, two-term Secretary of State, strong on defense, strong on security, someone who's been through hell and back, been in the trenches, a true fighter, a good orator, a stateswoman's presence - plus, she was able to transform herself in the eyes of many people from the "shrill, socialist bitch" her opponents made her out to be to the beer-guzzling, hearty-laughing, lovable Mrs. Clinton, Mother of Blue Collar Working Class America, so she's a transformational figure in our politics.  I don't see any woman coming close.
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President Mitt
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« Reply #21 on: July 28, 2009, 10:51:43 PM »

You know, in the closest other countries to the U.S.A. -the UK and Canada- their only two female leaders were Margaret Thatcher and Kim Campbell and both were from the conservative party.

I think Margaret Thatcher is a good example of what America's first female president might be like.
I actually believe Mrs. Clinton came close to her image - regardless of how she started out, by the end of that primary she was perceived by blue collar Democrats as their champion, a tough "Iron Lady," if you will, and her campaign made sure people (especially here in Pa.) knew that she was ready on Day 1 to handle a national or international crisis...

If she's a Republican, she may probably be able to go to the right of Attila the Hun and win.  It worked for Margaret Thatcher, and everybody knows that woman didn't even try to be sweet.  I don't know- would something like that be electable in America?  I say it would.

So I'd like her to be a progressive Democrat who is also a tough, fearless stateswoman, and maybe a grandmotherly figure.  I always felt that Ann Richards would have been a very good first female President but the poor thing died too early, so now we'll never know.

I have this feeling though that either in 2012 or 2016 (most likely the latter) Sarah Palin will rise from being the right wing/populist radio princess to the base's nominee. In a race against Joe Biden, she could very well win.

On the Democratic side I can only see Mrs. Clinton... brilliant legal mind and children's health advocate, former First Lady of the United States, eight-year Senator from New York, two-term Secretary of State, strong on defense, strong on security, someone who's been through hell and back, been in the trenches, a true fighter, a good orator, a stateswoman's presence - plus, she was able to transform herself in the eyes of many people from the "shrill, socialist bitch" her opponents made her out to be to the beer-guzzling, hearty-laughing, lovable Mrs. Clinton, Mother of Blue Collar Working Class America, so she's a transformational figure in our politics.  I don't see any woman coming close.

?
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« Reply #22 on: July 28, 2009, 10:53:48 PM »

Democrat, women are blue collar and Democrat swings to blue-collar Americans.

This isn't 1975, sorry.
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liberalkid
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« Reply #23 on: August 03, 2009, 11:58:51 AM »

how can ANYONE think it's gonna be the GOP?!?!
they are not at ALL supported by women! it's impossib;e
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President Mitt
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« Reply #24 on: August 03, 2009, 12:19:25 PM »

how can ANYONE think it's gonna be the GOP?!?!
they are not at ALL supported by women! it's impossib;e


Care to share your Crystal Ball?
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