NH-ARG: Hodes (D) leads Sununu (R) by 6

[Tender Branson]

Paul Hodes (D): 40%
John Sununu (R): 34%

The results are based on 558 completed telephone interviews among a statewide random sample of registered voters in New Hampshire.

Of the 558 interviews, 150 were among Republicans, 174 Democrats, and 234 undeclared voters. The interviews were conducted June 27 through 29, 2009.

The theoretical margin of error for the sample of 558 registered voters is plus or minus 4.2 percentage points, 95% of the time, on questions where opinion is evenly split.

http://americanresearchgroup.com/nhpoll/senate10/

[Ronnie]

It's not insurmountable...

[JohnnyLongtorso]

It's not insurmountable...

It's also ARG. They could release a poll next month showing Sununu up by 12, then the following month tied, then three months out Hodes by 27.

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Usually, office holders return to office with net plus approvals, with net minus approvals in the case of Sununu he will lose. Net plus approvals return like Shaheen.

[Mr.Phips]

Sununu not running.  http://blogs.cqpolitics.com/eyeon2010/2009/07/former-sen-sununu-passes-on-ne.html