FL-Mason Dixon: Crist (R) leads Meek (D) by wide margins

[Tender Branson]

GOP Primary (all GOP voters)

Crist: 51%
Rubio: 23%

GOP Primary (GOP voters who recognize both Crist and Rubio)

Crist: 33%
Rubio: 31%

DEM Primary:

Meek: 27%
Brown: 12%

General Election:

Crist (R): 48%
Meek (D): 26%

Crist (R): 55%
Brown (D): 24%

This poll was conducted by Mason-Dixon Polling & Research, Inc. of Washington, D.C. from June 24 through June 26, 2009. A total of 625 registered voters were interviewed statewide by telephone. All stated they vote regularly in state elections.

This survey also includes an over-sampling of 300 likely Democratic primary voters and 300 likely Republican primary voters.

http://www.ronsachs.com/docs/floridasenatepoll62909.pdf

[CARLHAYDEN]

Fascinating.

Thanks for the data.

The more the Republican voters know about Rubio, the more they like him.

[Gustaf]

Fascinating.

Thanks for the data.

The more the Republican voters know about Rubio, the more they like him.

It's not the only possible interpretation though, since the causality could be reversed. Everyone in Florida knows about Crist, but of course a Rubio supporter must have heard of Rubio and it is also likely that people who don't like Crist to begin with are more likely to gather information about other candidates.

[Alcon]

Fascinating.

Thanks for the data.

The more the Republican voters know about Rubio, the more they like him.

It's not the only possible interpretation though, since the causality could be reversed. Everyone in Florida knows about Crist, but of course a Rubio supporter must have heard of Rubio and it is also likely that people who don't like Crist to begin with are more likely to gather information about other candidates.

Exactly.  Would you say "the more voters know about Cynthia McKinney, the more they like her" using similar data?  Probably going to be true of virtually any low-recognition candidate, especially those who appeal to activists/the base.

[Badger]

Assuming the Crist-Rubio race closes somewhat, it'll be interesting when polls start doing head-to-head match-ups between the Democratic candidates vs. Crist and vs. Rubio instead of just Crist. It'll be even more interesting to see what effect that has on the GOP primary race. Could be a real momentum killer for Rubio I suspect.

[pogo stick]

Rubio must drop out. Crist is our only hope in this race.

[Kaine for Senate '18]

Rubio must drop out. Crist is our only hope in this race.

You're lucky, then, that Crist will win the primary.

[Franzl]

I'd like to see Crist in the Senate...I hope he does hold his ground against Rubio.

[You kip if you want to...]

I'd like to see Crist in the Senate...I hope he does hold his ground against Rubio.

Chances are that he will. I really want him to win actually, Crist is an actually likeable Republican.

[CARLHAYDEN]

Rubio must drop out. Crist is our only hope in this race.

If you like Crist, you probably loved Specter.

[sg0508]

I do like Charlie. I went to the Univ. of Florida and I'm a moderate republican.  He's perfect for the demographics of FL.

[pogo stick]

I do like Charlie. I went to the Univ. of Florida and I'm a moderate republican.  He's perfect for the demographics of FL.

I agree.

I like Rubio better, but Crist is the only hope for the GOP in Florida..unfortunately

[DownWithTheLeft]

JewishConservative, why the hell can't Rubio win?  Hell, Mel Martinez won and he was an awful candidate

[King]

JewishConservative, why the hell can't Rubio win?  Hell, Mel Martinez won and he was an awful candidate

That was 5 years ago.  In Florida, 5 years is a long time with all those senior citizen voters dying off/moving in.