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Southern Senator North Carolina Yankee
North Carolina Yankee
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« on: June 13, 2009, 07:29:16 PM »

Maybe but Rob Portman is running statewide and this is his home turf, I expect him to win this are in landslide probably close to 70% to 75% of the vote in OH-02. He will also bring out a lot Republicans to vote in this area that might not otherwise. This should help Mean Jean Schmidt
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Southern Senator North Carolina Yankee
North Carolina Yankee
Moderators
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 54,123
United States


« Reply #1 on: June 14, 2009, 02:13:44 PM »

2006 and 2008 were insanely Democratic years. 2010(as of now) doesn't look like it will be.

Plus as Padfoot said, the controversy surronding her has died down somewhat. And as I said Portman will be running statewide and he used to pull percents in the 70's out of this district and I firmly expect his Senate totals in this district to match or exceed that. Unless his campaign collapses and he gives up of course.
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Southern Senator North Carolina Yankee
North Carolina Yankee
Moderators
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 54,123
United States


« Reply #2 on: June 14, 2009, 05:31:57 PM »

2006 and 2008 were insanely Democratic years. 2010(as of now) doesn't look like it will be.

Plus as Padfoot said, the controversy surronding her has died down somewhat. And as I said Portman will be running statewide and he used to pull percents in the 70's out of this district and I firmly expect his Senate totals in this district to match or exceed that. Unless his campaign collapses and he gives up of course.

I dont see Portman getting in the 70's in the district, but he should get around 65%.

I was just going by the margins he had won there. Of course when you factor in the 5 years since he left and the number who forgot about him I would say 65-69 would be fairly reasonable. But 70+ is not immpossible though.
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