Best I can figure out is that Bush "won" last nights sample by about 5.6% (5.8% if you "unweight" it and let party ID float)
That being said - probably only a 1/3rd or so of the interviews would have been "post debate"
The "bot" as always is the first poll out of the gate, and he has two rather strange samples dropping in the next two days. A strong Bush sample drops tomorrow, but then a strong Kerry sample drops the next day, so the "bot" will be 'a bounin' the next couple days in all likelyhood.
(The swings are much larger at the "unweighted" level and hence have big effects on the weighting factors when they drop of - Bush drops likely 1.5% tomorrow, but then back up the next day.. I think - unless I am wrong..
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No waranty expressed or implied, for entertainment purposes only, past performance is no guarantee of future returns, unwinding tracking polls involves risk, consult your financial professional before investing, please read the prospectus carefully... If symptoms persist, see your doctor. Simply blood test may be needed to check for liver problems. Small children may be injured by air bags, always use a car seat for kids under 60 lbs...Note! if you take 3 daily samples and average them, they do NOT equal the 3 day Rasmussen published results because the weighting factors are a bit different each day as party ID bounces around from sample to sample
