He's at 29% amongst independents and most LV polls have shown Romney leading. Alot of people are registered to vote but only 55%-60% will actually do so. Recent polls have been bad news for the president but on election day his approval rating will likely be his percentage of the popular vote plus or minus a point.
LV polls don't matter in Juky. People aren't gonna be guaranteed to vote in the middle of summer. Most credible pollsters poll registered voters until about October. Besides, you can only vote once. Likely voters are to hard to determine.
Likely voters matter in November though and if he doesn't work to get their votes or things don't change then there will be alot of voters likely to vote against him. I'll give you that it's early, but polling likely voters is going to be more accurate at anytime during the year. Thank you for welcoming me. Another factor for polling that most sources don't reveal is how many members from each party are being polled. I can't remember now the sources but there were polls in the summer of 2008 that showed over 60% of people being polled as Democrats.
