I still don't understand why in 2012 people are looking anywhere else besides Rasmussen. They predicted 50/50 correctly in 2004 and only missed 4 states in 2008. Each election since their existence in 2003 they have been the most accurate. I know warm and fuzzy hope is nice for those who don't lead in polls, but let's grow up and be serious. Let's get real and seek what has been the standard bearer in recent elections. Most other polling places have lost their ways or become outdated.
Rasmussen was the worst pollster of the 2010 midterms.
No the tea party senate candidates lost steam and momentum at the end and so the numbers from the entire year as a whole seemed off. The final results and final polling were closer. Midterm Elections are tougher to predict to begin with because of the unpredictable turnout. What do you mean by worst?
When polling numbers were compared to the actual result, Rasmussen had the worst average error and a heavy bias toward GOP candidates in the midterms. It was not an issue of "losing steam." Rasmussen missed Hawaii by a margin of
40 points.
Nate Silver composed a good piece
here. We also had an Atlas member table all of the Rasmussen polls against the final results and again, there was a large deviation.
Time will tell to see if he's back on the ball on 2012.
