Can Obama fail? Sure. His judgment could prove faulty, and his liberalism can conceivably go too far. He could be the recipient of some incredible misfortune. That said, his personality seems right for the role, and he gets much leeway after a bad President. Right now it seems just as likely that Obama will win re-election in an Eisenhower-style landslide or be defeated.
Take 100 electoral votes from Obama's 2008 victory and he ends up with 265 EV and a loss; add 100 and he ends up with 465 EV and a huge landslide.
You're a smart individual.
The changing demographics. The 18-29 voters. Part of that group that will, for Election 2012, move into 30-44 while new 18-29 voters emerge. The fact that all age groups except those 65 and over … voted, in Election 2008, for Barack Obama. Men, too. And, yet, reduced overall support in party indentification for the GOP who were exposed, via the Bush administration, for the empty shells they are…
Some people here are doing a whole lotta
fantasizing. They're dreaming there's a movement back to Republican Party rule while the country is realigning against the GOP.
