The Official Obama Approval Ratings Thread (user search)
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  The Official Obama Approval Ratings Thread (search mode)
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Author Topic: The Official Obama Approval Ratings Thread  (Read 1220483 times)
I spent the winter writing songs about getting better
BRTD
Atlas Prophet
*****
Posts: 113,033
Ukraine


Political Matrix
E: -6.50, S: -6.67

P P
« on: January 23, 2009, 01:16:04 AM »

The Minnesota numbers look fine to me (the subsamples don't but they're always way off due to the extreme MoE.) Obama's at about the max approval ANYONE can have in Minnesota due to polarization. Minnesota has so many hardcore left-wingers and hardcore right-wingers that the ceiling for approval for anyone is relatively low.
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I spent the winter writing songs about getting better
BRTD
Atlas Prophet
*****
Posts: 113,033
Ukraine


Political Matrix
E: -6.50, S: -6.67

P P
« Reply #1 on: January 25, 2009, 02:37:20 PM »

They ask the question in a different manner too. Please don't start the hackfest already. kthanx

And they use a different weighting model which brings it closer to the center. We all know how hackish I can be and the whole "Rasmussen is a Republican pollster" crap annoys even ME.
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I spent the winter writing songs about getting better
BRTD
Atlas Prophet
*****
Posts: 113,033
Ukraine


Political Matrix
E: -6.50, S: -6.67

P P
« Reply #2 on: March 17, 2009, 12:57:59 PM »

Obama's approvals will inevitably fall below 50%. The only question is whether it comes in June, July, August, September, etc.

The more relevant question is when he gets out of it.
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I spent the winter writing songs about getting better
BRTD
Atlas Prophet
*****
Posts: 113,033
Ukraine


Political Matrix
E: -6.50, S: -6.67

P P
« Reply #3 on: August 12, 2009, 12:44:41 AM »

Do you think Barack Obama was born in the United States?

54% Yes, 26% No

That's pretty embarassing considering the "Yes" is only a few points higher than the percentage that voted for him.
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I spent the winter writing songs about getting better
BRTD
Atlas Prophet
*****
Posts: 113,033
Ukraine


Political Matrix
E: -6.50, S: -6.67

P P
« Reply #4 on: August 12, 2009, 02:13:21 AM »

Do you think Barack Obama was born in the United States?

54% Yes, 26% No

That's pretty embarassing considering the "Yes" is only a few points higher than the percentage that voted for him.

Actually not. Only the electorate of the Republican Party is embarrassing.

Not all of us are loons.

Well then you should be embarassed by those poll numbers.
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I spent the winter writing songs about getting better
BRTD
Atlas Prophet
*****
Posts: 113,033
Ukraine


Political Matrix
E: -6.50, S: -6.67

P P
« Reply #5 on: December 18, 2009, 08:43:15 PM »

NC has plenty of conservative Democrats, numbers seem a bit too D heavy but not as much as is being said.
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I spent the winter writing songs about getting better
BRTD
Atlas Prophet
*****
Posts: 113,033
Ukraine


Political Matrix
E: -6.50, S: -6.67

P P
« Reply #6 on: December 18, 2009, 08:48:55 PM »

CNN exit poll in 2008 for NC was 42D-31R.
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I spent the winter writing songs about getting better
BRTD
Atlas Prophet
*****
Posts: 113,033
Ukraine


Political Matrix
E: -6.50, S: -6.67

P P
« Reply #7 on: December 31, 2009, 03:00:23 PM »

ARG = joke. Everyone seems to have forgot their wretched track record.
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I spent the winter writing songs about getting better
BRTD
Atlas Prophet
*****
Posts: 113,033
Ukraine


Political Matrix
E: -6.50, S: -6.67

P P
« Reply #8 on: February 16, 2010, 02:14:00 PM »

He's been doing better on gallup as well. Up to 53% now after being consistently below 50 for a while.

Gallup has some problems, including some fairly wide swings.  Rasmussen is has been uber stable.

The two use completely different methodologies. Rasmussen is always going to be more stable.
Logged
I spent the winter writing songs about getting better
BRTD
Atlas Prophet
*****
Posts: 113,033
Ukraine


Political Matrix
E: -6.50, S: -6.67

P P
« Reply #9 on: May 19, 2010, 10:01:07 AM »

Too bad that's a junk uni poll, though Franken having higher approvals than Pawlenty is very amusing.
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