The Official Obama Approval Ratings Thread
       |           

Welcome, Guest. Please login or register.
Did you miss your activation email?
October 20, 2021, 06:18:06 AM

  Talk Elections
  Election Archive
  Election Archive
  2012 Elections
  The Official Obama Approval Ratings Thread
« previous next »
Pages: 1 ... 253 254 255 256 257 [258] 259 260 261 262 263 ... 410
Author Topic: The Official Obama Approval Ratings Thread  (Read 1086381 times)
Skill and Chance
Concerned Citizen
*****
Posts: 7,906
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #6425 on: October 04, 2010, 01:56:57 PM »

Today he is at 48% approve, 51% disapprove which does suggest some modest upward movement over the past week toward more of a 50-50 landscape.

Strongly approve is 28% and Strongly disapprove is 42%.
Logged
J. J.
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 32,904
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #6426 on: October 04, 2010, 02:03:48 PM »


Rasmussen Obama (National)

Approve 48%, u.

Disapprove 51%, -1.

"Strongly Approve" is at 29%, u.  "Strongly Disapprove" is at 42%, -2.


Logged
Poundingtherock
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 917
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #6427 on: October 04, 2010, 03:58:54 PM »

Gallup: 46/48
Logged
Skill and Chance
Concerned Citizen
*****
Posts: 7,906
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #6428 on: October 05, 2010, 09:50:16 AM »

He's still at 48/51 today.  Strongly approve is up 1 to 30% and strongly disapprove is down one to 41%
Logged
Clamdick McClaw
HockeyDude
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 11,068
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #6429 on: October 05, 2010, 10:50:36 AM »

Nice to see that less Americans are blaming Barack Obama for the outcome of the economic policies of the U.S. since about 1980. 
Logged
Edu
Ufokart
Concerned Citizen
*****
Posts: 7,429
Argentina


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #6430 on: October 05, 2010, 12:50:31 PM »

So this is the 5th straight day that Obama's numbers have improved. Nice.
Logged
Poundingtherock
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 917
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #6431 on: October 05, 2010, 02:26:01 PM »

Not according to Gallup: 45/48
Logged
J. J.
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 32,904
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #6432 on: October 05, 2010, 05:02:28 PM »


Rasmussen Obama (National)

Approve 48%, u.

Disapprove 51%, u.

"Strongly Approve" is at 30%, +1.  "Strongly Disapprove" is at 41%, -1.


Logged
tmthforu94
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 22,337
United States


Political Matrix
E: 2.97, S: -1.57

P P P
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #6433 on: October 05, 2010, 06:47:27 PM »

PPP - Hawaii

Approve - 51%
Disapprove - 38%
Not Sure - 11%

http://www.dailykos.com/polling/2010/10/2/HI-1/11/5ZR4S

No real surprises in the cross-tabs. Obama's approvals are worse in 18-45 than they are 45+. Who would have thought that with all the youth support Obama had in 2008?
Logged
Dgov
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 1,558
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #6434 on: October 05, 2010, 08:24:11 PM »

No real surprises in the cross-tabs. Obama's approvals are worse in 18-45 than they are 45+. Who would have thought that with all the youth support Obama had in 2008?

The Youth vote has been all over the place lately.  I think it's just dueling turnout models really.
Logged
Clamdick McClaw
HockeyDude
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 11,068
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #6435 on: October 05, 2010, 08:25:24 PM »

No real surprises in the cross-tabs. Obama's approvals are worse in 18-45 than they are 45+. Who would have thought that with all the youth support Obama had in 2008?

The Youth vote has been all over the place lately.  I think it's just dueling turnout models really.

Probably.  I don't think they put a ton of college-aged people in the "likely voters" category. 
Logged
pbrower2a
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 25,508
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #6436 on: October 05, 2010, 10:04:51 PM »
« Edited: October 05, 2010, 10:11:49 PM by pbrower2a »

Arizona (Rasmussen, 40% approval). For entertainment purposes only.



Key:


<40% with Disapproval Higher: 40% Orange (50% if 60%-69% or higher disapproval); 90% red if >70%
40-43% with Disapproval Higher: 50% Yellow  
44% with Disapproval Higher: 40% Yellow  
45-49% with Disapproval Higher: 30% Yellow  
<50% with Approval Equal: 10% Yellow (really white)

<50%  Approval greater: 30% Green
50-55%: 40% Green
56-59%: 60% Green
60%+: 80% Green
DC, what else could you expect?


Months (All polls are from 2010):

A -  January     G -  July
B -  February   H -  August
C -  March        I -  September
D -  April          J  -  October
E -  May           K -  November
F -   June         L -   December

 

S - suspect poll (examples for such a qualification: strange crosstabs, likely inversion of the report (for inversions, only for polls above 55% or below 45%...  let's say Vermont 35% approval or Oklahoma 65% approval), or more than 10% undecided. Anyone who suggests that a poll is suspect must explain why it is suspect.

Partisan polls and polls for special interests (trade associations, labor unions, ethnic associations) are excluded.

Z- no recent poll

MY CURRENT PREDICTION OF THE 2012 PRESIDENTIAL ELECTION

(before any campaigning begins in earnest)Sad

assuming no significant changes before early 2012 -- snicker, snicker!




District of Columbia, assumed to be about a 90% win for Obama, 3                  
deep red                  Obama 10% margin or greater  129
medium red              Obama, 5-9.9% margin  81
pale red                   Obama, margin under 5% 108
white                        too close to call  48
pale blue                  Republican  under 5%   6
medium blue             Republican  5-9.9% margin  20
deep blue                 Republican over 10%   140  



44% approval is roughly the break-even  point (50/50) for an incumbent's win.  I add 6% for approval between 40% and 46%, 5% at 46%, 4% between 47% and 50%, 3% for 51%, 2% for 52% or 53%, 1% for 54% and nothing above 55% or below 40% for an estimate of the vote.

 This model applies only to incumbents, who have plenty of advantages but not enough to rescue an unqualified failure.



Logged
Sam Spade
SamSpade
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 27,558


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #6437 on: October 05, 2010, 10:35:14 PM »

This is the time of year when the most approval ratings hit - and now pbrower goes off to hide.  what a surprise.
Logged
Small Business Owner of Any Repute
Mr. Moderate
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 13,445
United States


WWW Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #6438 on: October 06, 2010, 07:15:45 AM »

This is the time of year when the most approval ratings hit - and now pbrower goes off to hide.  what a surprise.

Well, we've already called the 2012 race for Obama, so I think he's off working on his 2016 maps.
Logged
J. J.
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 32,904
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #6439 on: October 06, 2010, 09:35:51 AM »


Rasmussen Obama (National)

Approve 48%, u.

Disapprove 52%, +1.

"Strongly Approve" is at 29%, -1.  "Strongly Disapprove" is at 41%, u.

Logged
Dgov
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 1,558
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #6440 on: October 06, 2010, 01:11:53 PM »

Gallup: 43-50
Logged
pbrower2a
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 25,508
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #6441 on: October 06, 2010, 07:29:20 PM »

An Achilles heel -- mostly healed:

http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/current_events/healthcare/health_care_law


Monday, October 04, 2010


The number of voters who favor repeal of the health care law has fallen to its lowest level since the bill was passed by Congress in late March.

The latest Rasmussen Reports national telephone survey of Likely Voters shows that 50% still favor repeal of the bill, including 41% who Strongly Favor repeal.

Forty-four percent (44%) now oppose repeal of the law, with 34% who Strongly Oppose repeal.

The percentage of voters who favor repeal of the bill is down seven points from last week and is the lowest level measured since March. Prior to the latest survey, support for repeal ranged from a low of 53% to a high of 63%. Meanwhile, the number that Strongly Opposes repeal is the highest level reached since late March.

Eighty percent (80%) of Republicans and 51% of voters not affiliated with either party continue to favor repeal, while 69% of Democrats are opposed.
Logged
Associate Justice PiT
PiT (The Physicist)
Atlas Politician
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 29,588
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #6442 on: October 06, 2010, 11:27:33 PM »

     Given that Support-Oppose is still underwater, it's a bit early for Democrats to be celebrating.
Logged
Dgov
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 1,558
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #6443 on: October 07, 2010, 12:24:44 AM »

     Given that Support-Oppose is still underwater, it's a bit early for Democrats to be celebrating.

And given that this number has dropped wildly before and then immediately sprung back up, i wouldn't start partying yet.  Between Late May and Late June, support for repeal fell gradually each week from 63% to 52%, then in July shot back up to 62%
Logged
J. J.
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 32,904
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #6444 on: October 07, 2010, 10:29:42 AM »


Rasmussen Obama (National)

Approve 46%, -2.

Disapprove 53%, +1.

"Strongly Approve" is at 28%, -1.  "Strongly Disapprove" is at 41%, u.


Logged
Poundingtherock
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 917
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #6445 on: October 07, 2010, 01:58:28 PM »

CNN/Opinion Research Among registered voters

http://i2.cdn.turner.com/cnn/2010/images/10/06/topstate5.pdf

Nevada: 44/51
New York: 54/39
Connecitcut: 52/42
Missouri: 37/55
Logged
CatoMinor
Concerned Citizen
*****
Posts: 7,010
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #6446 on: October 07, 2010, 02:05:25 PM »

CNN/Opinion Research Among registered voters

http://i2.cdn.turner.com/cnn/2010/images/10/06/topstate5.pdf

Nevada: 44/51
New York: 54/39
Connecitcut: 52/42
Missouri: 37/55

When you look at the likely voters you see a rather large drop.
Logged
J. J.
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 32,904
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #6447 on: October 08, 2010, 08:48:45 AM »



Rasmussen Obama (National)

Approve 47%, +1.

Disapprove 52%, -1.

"Strongly Approve" is at 29%, +1.  "Strongly Disapprove" is at 41%, u.

Very stable, but Obama has had a slight medium term improvement.
Logged
Penelope
Scifiguy
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 1,524
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #6448 on: October 08, 2010, 06:32:10 PM »

Added Arizona and Hawaii



30% Or Lower: Red-9
40%-30% Approval: Red-5
40-44% Approval: Red-4
45-49% Approval: Yellow-3
50% Approval Equal: Yellow-1 (White)
50% Approval Greater: Green-3
50-55%: Green-4
56-59%: Green-6
60%+: Green-8
DC - Blue -

NOTE: I can't get the Maine/Nebraska lettering to work:

MAINE-RASMUSSEN
NEBRASKA-UNKNOWN

POLLING KEY:
R-Rasmussen Reports
PPP-Public Policy Polling
Q-Quinnipiac
U-Unknown*

*I'm only going to use this for ones that I took from pbrower's map, these will be disappearing soon enough.

I will NOT use any Media Polling - no MSNBC, CNN, or FOX.

2012

This tab will show the current likelihood of the GOP taking back the white house. I take the current leading GOP hopeful and current approval ratings to predict what the map may start out like before campaigning and polling. This map shows, essentially, what the situation would look like if the campaign began tomorrow.



Assured Obama - 6
Safe Obama - 124
Likely Obama - 28
Leaning Obama - 108

Tossup - 24
Leaning Romney - 0
Likely Romney - 107
Safe Romney - 103
Assured Romney - 15


Obama - 270
Romney - 244
Tossup - 24
Logged
Joe Republic
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 36,842
Kiribati


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #6449 on: October 08, 2010, 06:38:38 PM »

NOTE: I can't get the Maine/Nebraska lettering to work:

Change the year near the start of the code from 2008 to 1964.
Logged
Pages: 1 ... 253 254 255 256 257 [258] 259 260 261 262 263 ... 410  
« previous next »
Jump to:  


Login with username, password and session length

Terms of Service - DMCA Agent and Policy - Privacy Policy and Cookies

Powered by SMF 1.1.21 | SMF © 2015, Simple Machines

Page created in 0.133 seconds with 15 queries.