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  Talk Elections
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  2012 Elections
  The Official Obama Approval Ratings Thread
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Author Topic: The Official Obama Approval Ratings Thread  (Read 1043792 times)
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MagneticFree
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« Reply #9900 on: August 27, 2012, 02:00:04 pm »

None of this matters.  Elections are not decided based on national approval ratings or national popular votes.  It is only electoral votes that matters and given current polling in the 12 states that matter, Romney has only a 16% chance of getting enough electoral votes to win.  NerdWallet's presidential election statistics page does the math very clearly: Romney has 181 safe votes & Obama has 201 so Romney needs 89 of 156 that are left and probably can't get them.  Approval ratings do not matter.
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J. J.
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« Reply #9901 on: August 27, 2012, 06:21:39 pm »

None of this matters.  Elections are not decided based on national approval ratings or national popular votes.  It is only electoral votes that matters and given current polling in the 12 states that matter, Romney has only a 16% chance of getting enough electoral votes to win.  NerdWallet's presidential election statistics page does the math very clearly: Romney has 181 safe votes & Obama has 201 so Romney needs 89 of 156 that are left and probably can't get them.  Approval ratings do not matter.

They become less important closer to the election, but they are still a good historical measure.
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J. J.
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« Reply #9902 on: August 28, 2012, 09:06:10 am »


Rasmussen Obama (National)

Approve 50%, u.

Disapprove 49%, u.

"Strongly Approve" is at 27%, -1.  "Strongly Disapprove" is at  40%, u.

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J. J.
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« Reply #9903 on: August 28, 2012, 06:29:09 pm »



http://www.gallup.com/poll/124922/Presidential-Job-Approval-Center.aspx

Approve: 43% -2

Disapprove: 48% +1

Gallup is still weird.
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diskymike44
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« Reply #9904 on: August 29, 2012, 03:31:25 am »

If Obama gets reelected how will his approval ratings look on the day of his 2nd swearing in?
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J. J.
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« Reply #9905 on: August 29, 2012, 08:52:36 am »


Rasmussen Obama (National)

Approve 50%, u.

Disapprove 50%, +1.

"Strongly Approve" is at 25%, -2.  "Strongly Disapprove" is at  40%, u.

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J. J.
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« Reply #9906 on: August 29, 2012, 08:55:33 am »

If Obama gets reelected how will his approval ratings look on the day of his 2nd swearing in?

Probably, again for historical comparisons, and if Rasmussen still publishes them.

If Romney is elected, I expect the a new thread on him.
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change08
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« Reply #9907 on: August 29, 2012, 10:37:01 am »

If Obama gets reelected how will his approval ratings look on the day of his 2nd swearing in?

Probably, again for historical comparisons, and if Rasmussen still publishes them.

If Romney is elected, I expect the a new thread on him.

Feels weird that i've followed this thread religiously for nearly 4 years now.
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J. J.
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« Reply #9908 on: August 29, 2012, 12:19:27 pm »
« Edited: August 29, 2012, 12:23:29 pm by J. J. »


http://www.gallup.com/poll/124922/Presidential-Job-Approval-Center.aspx

Approve: 43% u

Disapprove: 47% -1

It looks like the approve number has dropped over the past week, even if this is a bad sample.

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J. J.
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« Reply #9909 on: August 30, 2012, 01:51:29 pm »


http://www.gallup.com/poll/124922/Presidential-Job-Approval-Center.aspx

Approve: 44% +1

Disapprove: 47% u

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J. J.
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« Reply #9910 on: August 31, 2012, 08:53:33 am »


Rasmussen Obama (National)

Approve 49%, u.

Disapprove 51%, u.

"Strongly Approve" is at 26%, +3.  "Strongly Disapprove" is at  39%, u.

Missed yesterday.


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J. J.
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« Reply #9911 on: August 31, 2012, 12:10:41 pm »



http://www.gallup.com/poll/124922/Presidential-Job-Approval-Center.aspx

Approve: 45% +1

Disapprove: 46% -1

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King
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« Reply #9912 on: August 31, 2012, 04:52:22 pm »

How long until we expect to see any convention bump? Was there any?
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J. J.
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« Reply #9913 on: August 31, 2012, 05:30:49 pm »

How long until we expect to see any convention bump? Was there any?

Probably not until mid week.  It's a holiday weekend, so I don't know if the 'bots will be calling.
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The Vorlon
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« Reply #9914 on: August 31, 2012, 08:59:26 pm »

How long until we expect to see any convention bump? Was there any?

Probably not until mid week.  It's a holiday weekend, so I don't know if the 'bots will be calling.

Long weekend polling is always a bit of a "funky" matter, Even if the 'Bots are going full bore, not quite sure I trust what they generate anyway....

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J. J.
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« Reply #9915 on: September 01, 2012, 08:46:26 am »

Rasmussen Obama (National)

Approve 48%, -1.

Disapprove 52%, +1.

"Strongly Approve" is at 25%, -1.  "Strongly Disapprove" is at  41%, +1.

It could be random, or beginning to catch a bounce.
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Lief 🐋
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« Reply #9916 on: September 01, 2012, 10:39:03 am »

Romney should be at the height of his convention bounce this weekend:

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J. J.
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« Reply #9917 on: September 01, 2012, 12:14:10 pm »



http://www.gallup.com/poll/124922/Presidential-Job-Approval-Center.aspx

Approve: 45% u

Disapprove: 46% u


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J. J.
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« Reply #9918 on: September 02, 2012, 10:27:05 am »


Rasmussen Obama (National)

Approve 48%, u.

Disapprove 51%, -1.

"Strongly Approve" is at 27%, +2.  "Strongly Disapprove" is at  42%, +1.

Random, though the horse race poll is capturing a bounce.
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J. J.
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« Reply #9919 on: September 02, 2012, 12:02:56 pm »


http://www.gallup.com/poll/124922/Presidential-Job-Approval-Center.aspx

Approve: 43% -2

Disapprove: 48% +2

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J. J.
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« Reply #9920 on: September 03, 2012, 08:53:10 am »



Rasmussen Obama (National)

Approve 48%, u.

Disapprove 52%, +1.

"Strongly Approve" is at 25%, -2.  "Strongly Disapprove" is at  43%, +1.

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J. J.
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« Reply #9921 on: September 03, 2012, 01:26:19 pm »


http://www.gallup.com/poll/124922/Presidential-Job-Approval-Center.aspx

Approve: 45% +2

Disapprove: 48% u


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J. J.
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« Reply #9922 on: September 04, 2012, 08:44:37 am »


Rasmussen Obama (National)

Approve 48%, u.

Disapprove 51%, -1.

"Strongly Approve" is at 27%, -2.  "Strongly Disapprove" is at  42%, -1.
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sentinel
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« Reply #9923 on: September 04, 2012, 02:50:12 pm »

gallup is saying that Romney didn't get a bounce at all
http://www.gallup.com/poll/157262/romney-gets-no-bounce-last-week-gop-convention.aspx
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J. J.
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« Reply #9924 on: September 04, 2012, 08:53:08 pm »


I'd still like to wait a day or so for Gallup.  It's tracking poll showed a slump for Obama in terms of approval. 
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