The Official Obama Approval Ratings Thread

[Rowan]

Gallup will be back down to 52/41 within a week, don't get too excited.

[Vepres]

The analysis by Gallup of their poll says the bump will probably be gone by next week.

[Rowan]

Gallup

Approve 52%(-4)
Disapprove 39%(+3)

BYE BYE BOUNCE!

[ChrisJG777]

Gallup

Approve 52%(-4)
Disapprove 39%(+3)

BYE BYE BOUNCE!

It never stood a chance. 

[Sam Spade]

Sometimes you get one of those samples.  No biggie.

Technically though, right now (starting in mid-September) to the next few months is when Obama should be bouncing.  At least that's what the chart is telling me.

[pbrower2a]

Gallup

Approve 52%(-4)
Disapprove 39%(+3)

BYE BYE BOUNCE!

Just as I told people. Legislative achievements (or their lack) and economic conditions would matter more.

[DariusNJ]

I haven't seen these posted on the last 2 pages, sorry if these already have been.

Tennessee Obama Approval (MTSU): 46% approve, 48% disapprove

Florida Nobel Prize: (Insider Advantage)
33% think he deserves it
47% think he does not

New Jersey Approval and Nobel Prize: (PPP)
46% approve, 45% disapprove
30% think he deserves the prize, 56% think he does not

Maine Approval (Pan Atlantic): 58% approve, 38% disapprove

Pennsylvania Approval (Susquehanna): 50% approve, 37% disapprove

www.pollster.com


There's good news for both Democrats and Republicans. His approval in Tennessee is surprisingly high, while in New Jersey it's surprisingly low.

[Rowan]

Nice try MTSU. He's not even at 40% in TN. Thanks for playing.

[Eraserhead]

There's good news for both Democrats and Republicans. His approval in Tennessee is surprisingly high, while in New Jersey it's surprisingly low.

This is almost certainly because both of the polls are way off.

[Rowan]

There's good news for both Democrats and Republicans. His approval in Tennessee is surprisingly high, while in New Jersey it's surprisingly low.

This is almost certainly because both of the polls are way off.

Well the NJ poll is of 2009 likely voters so it makes sense when you take that into account(considering the sample was Obama +4).

[Vepres]

Gallup

Approve 52%(-4)
Disapprove 39%(+3)

BYE BYE BOUNCE!

It never stood a chance. 

Well, if it had adequate health insurance it may have survived

[Tender Branson]

There's also a new PA poll by Rasmussen:

51% Approve
48% Disapprove

http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/elections2/election_2010/election_2010_state_toplines/pennsylvania/toplines_2010_pennsylvania_senate_election_october_13_2009

Marist National Poll (RV):

53% Approve
41% Disapprove

http://maristpoll.marist.edu/wp-content/misc/usapolls/us091007/Obama_HC_Economy/Obama%20Approval%20Rating%20Trend%20Table.pdf

[ChrisJG777]

Gallup

Approve 52%(-4)
Disapprove 39%(+3)

BYE BYE BOUNCE!

It never stood a chance. 

Well, if it had adequate health insurance it may have survived

It did, but then the insurance company cut it off over the most minor of technicalities. 

[Eraserhead]

57% Job Approval in NJ according to Rasmussen:

http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/elections2/election_2009/new_jersey/election_2009_new_jersey_governor

His visit should be fairly helpful to Corzine.

[pbrower2a]

It's a college poll (Mid-Tennessee State University) in a state that has been little polled:
 


Tennessee. If that state is close (really a statistical tie), then there should be some interesting polls coming up. If the poll shows a genuine move in popular support for Obama, then we ought to see much more green appear (CO, FL, IA, MO, MT, NC  -- maybe IN and NE-02 again).

Of course it is a college poll, and it might have some limitations.

[Tender Branson]

New Jersey (Quinnipiac)

55% Approve
40% Disapprove

From October 7 - 12, Quinnipiac University surveyed 1,264 New Jersey likely voters, with a margin of error of +/- 2.8 percentage points.

http://www.quinnipiac.edu/x1299.xml?ReleaseID=1385

[Tender Branson]

New Jersey (NY Times)

62% Approve
25% Disapprove

The latest New York Times poll of New Jersey is based on telephone interviews conducted Oct. 9 to 14 with 987 adults throughout the state.

http://www.nytimes.com/2009/10/16/nyregion/16jersey.html

[fezzyfestoon]

New Jersey (NY Times)

62% Approve
25% Disapprove

The latest New York Times poll of New Jersey is based on telephone interviews conducted Oct. 9 to 14 with 987 adults throughout the state.

http://www.nytimes.com/2009/10/16/nyregion/16jersey.html

Hahaha, what??

[Tender Branson]

New Jersey (NY Times)

62% Approve
25% Disapprove

The latest New York Times poll of New Jersey is based on telephone interviews conducted Oct. 9 to 14 with 987 adults throughout the state.

http://www.nytimes.com/2009/10/16/nyregion/16jersey.html

Hahaha, what??

Go a few posts north. Even Rasmussen has him @ 57% among LV. Quinnipiac at 55%. And the NYT poll isn't even from RV, but from all state adults and this includes many Hispanics, Blacks etc. who are not likely voters, but who approve.

[Rowan]

Yeah, but they don't have a +37 net.

[Tender Branson]

Yeah, but they don't have a +37 net.

That's because they measure "likely" voters: Notice that in the 2008 election only 58% of all New Jersey adults went to the polls and voted for Obama with 57%. So what do we know about the other 42% that did not go to the polls ? They could be a really Obama-friendly but silent crowd and that's pushing up his numbers among adults.

[Alexander Hamilton]

Yeah, but they don't have a +37 net.

That's because they measure "likely" voters: Notice that in the 2008 election only 58% of all New Jersey adults went to the polls and voted for Obama with 57%. So what do we know about the other 42% that did not go to the polls ? They could be a really Obama-friendly but silent crowd and that's pushing up his numbers among adults.

Or it could just be more NYT BS.

[Tender Branson]

Iowa (R2000/DailyKos)

55% Favorable
36% Unfavorable

The Research 2000 Iowa Poll was conducted from October 12 through October 14, 2009. A total of 600 likely voters who vote regularly in state elections were interviewed statewide by telephone.

http://www.dailykos.com/statepoll/2009/10/14/IA/398

Delaware (R2000/DailyKos)

64% Favorable
32% Unfavorable

The Research 2000 Delaware Poll was conducted from October 12 through October 14, 2009. A total of 600 likely voters who vote regularly in state elections were interviewed statewide by telephone.

http://www.dailykos.com/statepoll/2009/10/14/DE/395

[pbrower2a]

Iowa:




Not since 1976 has the Democratic Presidential nominee won election without Iowa.

[Farage]

Iowa:




Not since 1976 has the Democratic nominee won election without Iowa.

hmm you wish it was favorables