The Official Obama Approval Ratings Thread

[J. J.]

Rasmussen Obama (National)

Approve 46%, u.

Disapprove 53% u.


"Strongly Approve" is at 26%, -1.  "Strongly Disapprove" is at 44%, u.

[J. J.]

Rasmussen Obama (National)

Approve 44%, -2.

Disapprove 55% +2.


"Strongly Approve" is at 27%, +1.  "Strongly Disapprove" is at 44%, u.


Still well within range.

[J. J.]

Rasmussen Obama (National)

Approve 43%, -1.

Disapprove 55% +2.


"Strongly Approve" is at 27%, u.  "Strongly Disapprove" is at 44%, u.

Sill within range, though there is some slumping of Obama's numbers.  Noise?

[J. J.]

Rasmussen Obama (National)

Approve 43%, u.

Disapprove 56% u.


"Strongly Approve" is at 26%, -1.  "Strongly Disapprove" is at 44%, u.

Sill within range, though there is some slumping of Obama's numbers.  If this is a bad sample (it probably is) it should drop off tomorrow.

[J. J.]

Rasmussen Obama (National)

Approve 43%, u.

Disapprove 56% u.


"Strongly Approve" is at 25%, -1.  "Strongly Disapprove" is at 45%, +1.

It is still within range, but there might be a drop in Obama's numbers.

[J. J.]

Rasmussen Obama (National)

Approve 45%, +2.

Disapprove 55% -1.


"Strongly Approve" is at 25%, u.  "Strongly Disapprove" is at 44%, -1.

Arguably still in range.

[J. J.]

Rasmussen Obama (National)

Approve 44%, -1.

Disapprove 56% +1.


"Strongly Approve" is at 25%, u.  "Strongly Disapprove" is at 45%, +1.

Obama's numbers seem to have declined slightly.  In four out of the last five days, his Approve numbers have been below his Strongly Approve numbers.

[J. J.]

Rasmussen Obama (National)

Approve 46%, +2.

Disapprove 53%, -3 .


"Strongly Approve" is at 27%, +2.  "Strongly Disapprove" is at 42%, -3.

A bit of a bounceback.

[J. J.]

Rasmussen Obama (National)

Approve 46%, u.

Disapprove 54%, +1 .


"Strongly Approve" is at 27%, u.  "Strongly Disapprove" is at 43%, +1.

[J. J.]

Rasmussen Obama (National)

Approve 44%, -3.

Disapprove 56%, +3 .


"Strongly Approve" is at 25%, -1.  "Strongly Disapprove" is at 45%, +3.

 In the last month Obama's numbers range has been:


Approve:  42-49 (or 45.5% +/-  3.5)

Disapprove: 50-56 (or 53.0% +/- 3.0)

Strongly Approve: 24-28 (or 26.0 +/- 2.0)

Strongly Disapprove:  39-45 (or 42.0 +/-3.0)

There is less variability that in June.

[J. J.]

Rasmussen Obama (National)

Approve 44%, u.

Disapprove 55%, -1 .


"Strongly Approve" is at 25%, u.  "Strongly Disapprove" is at 44%, -1.

[J. J.]

Rasmussen Obama (National)

Approve 45%, +1.

Disapprove 54%, -1 .


"Strongly Approve" is at 26%,+1.  "Strongly Disapprove" is at 43%, -1.

[J. J.]

Rasmussen Obama (National)

Approve 46%, +1.

Disapprove 53%, -1 .


"Strongly Approve" is at 27%,+1.  "Strongly Disapprove" is at 42%, -1.

[J. J.]

Rasmussen Obama (National)

Approve 46%, u.

Disapprove 53%, u.


"Strongly Approve" is at 27%, u.  "Strongly Disapprove" is at 42%, u.

[J. J.]

Rasmussen Obama (National)

Approve 46%, u.

Disapprove 54%, +1.


"Strongly Approve" is at 28%, +.  "Strongly Disapprove" is at 42%, u.


Strongly Approve is at the upper end of range.  Keep an eye on it.

[J. J.]

Rasmussen Obama (National)

Approve 47%, +1.

Disapprove 53%, -1.


"Strongly Approve" is at 30%, +2.  "Strongly Disapprove" is at 42%, u.


Strongly Approve is now the highest it has been in a month.  If it holds or improves through Monday (even above 29%), Obama has improved slightly.  If there is a big drop, it is merely a bad sample.

[J. J.]

Rasmussen Obama (National)

Approve 47%, +1.

Disapprove 53%, -1.


"Strongly Approve" is at 30%, +2.  "Strongly Disapprove" is at 42%, u.


Strongly Approve is now the highest it has been in a month.  If it holds or improves through Monday (even above 29%), Obama has improved slightly.  If there is a big drop, it is merely a bad sample.

Rasmussen Obama (National)

Possible explanation:

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Good news, or at least the absence of bad news (even if the bad news is the result of things for which the President is in no way culpable for, like the undersea oil spill resulting from Deepwater Horizon) is good for the President's approval rating.   

I think the positive coverage has tended to be higher.

[J. J.]

Rasmussen Obama (National)

Approve 48%, +1.

Disapprove 51%, -2.


"Strongly Approve" is at 30%, u.  "Strongly Disapprove" is at 41%, -1.

Tomorrow or Monday should show if this is a bad sample or movement toward obama.

[J. J.]

Rasmussen Obama (National)

Approve 48%, u.

Disapprove 51%, u.


"Strongly Approve" is at 31%, +1.  "Strongly Disapprove" is at 41%, u.

Three good days for Obama, and Thursday's number was at the upper edge of the normal range.  We should know tomorrow if this is a bad sample or if this is movement towards Obama.

[J. J.]

Rasmussen Obama (National)

Approve 48%, u.

Disapprove 51%, u.


"Strongly Approve" is at 31%, +1.  "Strongly Disapprove" is at 41%, u.

Three good days for Obama, and Thursday's number was at the upper edge of the normal range.  We should know tomorrow if this is a bad sample or if this is movement towards Obama.

Just watch the statewide polls that Rasmussen makes so many of. If some states on my map go from brown to orange or beige, beige to sand, sand to green, or from paler shades of  green to darker shades of green on my map of polls, then something is going on. Some states might be more volatile than others, especially those that have been at the top of their categories, and some states (CO? NC? NV? TX?) may be more volatile than others. Statewide polls tend to lag nationwide polls.

I'm looking nationally at this point and for trends.  It is a far cry from last year when Obama getting 48% is considered a very good number.

[J. J.]

Rasmussen Obama (National)

Approve 46%, -2.

Disapprove 52%, +1.


"Strongly Approve" is at 28%, -3.  "Strongly Disapprove" is at 43%, +2.

Good Obama sample dropped off.  The Strongly Approved number is at the high end of the normal range.

[J. J.]

Rasmussen Obama (National)

Approve 44%, -2.

Disapprove 55%, +3.


"Strongly Approve" is at 26%, -2.  "Strongly Disapprove" is at 45%, +2.

The numbers are within the same range before last weekend.  While Obama's numbers have shown a dramatic drop over the last two days, it is consistent with a good Obama sample dropping off.

Note, however, that Approve is lower than Strongly Disapprove (which is also consistent with the previous pattern).

[J. J.]

http://www.gallup.com/poll/124922/Presidential-Approval-Center.aspx

Let's just say that Gallup is a pretty favorable poll for Obama in the sense that it polls a ton of minorities.  The white vote more than likely isn't 70% of the sample in Gallup.

I cannot wait to watch Pbrower scream racisim when Palin is running up to 60% of the white vote on election day in 2012.

Gallup was really off in 2008, well outside of the MOE.

[J. J.]

Rasmussen Obama (National)

Approve 43%, -1.

Disapprove 56%, +1.


"Strongly Approve" is at 24%, -2.  "Strongly Disapprove" is at 46%, +1.

The Strongly Disapprove number is a bit outside of range from July 1, but by much.  It could just be a bad Obama sample.

[J. J.]

Rasmussen Obama (National)

Approve 45%, +2.

Disapprove 54%, -2.


"Strongly Approve" is at 25%, +1.  "Strongly Disapprove" is at 45%, -1.

The Strongly Disapprove number is back in range.