The Official Obama Approval Ratings Thread

[Devilman88]

Ok, what I did was took the national average approval rating and subtracted it from the approval rating of the said state. For Example:

Poll was taken on Feb 6, 2009 for a said state: On that date Obama had a 62% approval rating. So lets say the poll showed said state had a 68% approval rating of Obama. I took 68 - 62= 6. So, that state polled 6% higher then the national average on Obama's approval ratings.

Key is:
Dark Red: 10% higher
Medium Red: 7-9% higher
Light Red: 4-6 higher
Green: Any were from 3% higher to 3% lower
Light Blue: 4-6% lower
Medium Blue: 7-9% lower
Dark Blue: 10% or below

Feb 2009

March 2009

April 2009

May 2009

[Devilman88]

I love that Obama will win VA by 10 points or more. Dude, your "system" sucks.

Uh, he won by 6.3 points only several months ago. So you're incredulous about Obama improving by at least 3.7 points nationally, let alone in one of the most aggressively Democratic shifting states?

I don't think it's his analysis that sucks here.

Hmm, his approval rating there is 52%, lower than his 2008 vote total. So yeah, I have a hard time believing it.

After a 52% approval rating for Obama in Virginia, I cut the estimate down from a 10% margin to a 5% margin. That is the line, and does that put Virginia in the "bare" or "weak" category? The 2008 election makes the decision. Such is my judgment, as I am in no position to judge a poll.

I like my way better

[Devilman88]

I love that Obama will win VA by 10 points or more. Dude, your "system" sucks.

Uh, he won by 6.3 points only several months ago. So you're incredulous about Obama improving by at least 3.7 points nationally, let alone in one of the most aggressively Democratic shifting states?

I don't think it's his analysis that sucks here.

Hmm, his approval rating there is 52%, lower than his 2008 vote total. So yeah, I have a hard time believing it.

After a 52% approval rating for Obama in Virginia, I cut the estimate down from a 10% margin to a 5% margin. That is the line, and does that put Virginia in the "bare" or "weak" category? The 2008 election makes the decision. Such is my judgment, as I am in no position to judge a poll.

I like my way better

National polls are a good control, but let's remember: the States elect the President; the people don't.

Huh?

[Devilman88]

I know favorable ratings aren't the same thing as approval ratings, but they go hand in hand.

Anyway, Obama's favorable ratings in NC: 61% favorable, 29% unfavorable

http://www.nccivitas.org/media/poll-results/june-2009-poll-results

I wouldn't read to much into that poll.

[Devilman88]

http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/general_state_surveys/minnesota/toplines/toplines_minnesota_july_15_2009
Obama:
F-47
U-46

No where on that link does it have the question of Obama's approval rating.

[Devilman88]

Virginia:

44% Approve (-15)
49% Disapprove (+13)

Who the hell did they call to get an (unrealistic) swing like that?

Or just maybe their VA poll before this one was unrealistic. Anywho, this seems close to right.

[Devilman88]

Virginia:

44% Approve (-15)
49% Disapprove (+13)

Who the hell did they call to get an (unrealistic) swing like that?

Or just maybe their VA poll before this one was unrealistic. Anywho, this seems close to right.

Not in a state which Obama carried by 6.3% it doesn't

Yes right now Obama's approval rating is 50-53 national, so VA would be somewhere in the 48-50 range. Like I said it is close to right, not right on the money.

[Devilman88]

PPP: http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/pdf/PPP_Release_VA_805513.pdf

Do you approve or disapprove of President
Barack Obama's job performance? If you
approve, press 1. If you disapprove, press 2.
If you're not sure, press 3.
Approve .......................................................... 42%
Disapprove...................................................... 51%
Not Sure.......................................................... 7%

[Devilman88]

Do you think Barack Obama was born in the United States?

54% Yes, 26% No

That's pretty embarassing considering the "Yes" is only a few points higher than the percentage that voted for him.

Actually not. Only the electorate of the Republican Party is embarrassing.

Not all of us are loons.

Well then you should be embarassed by those poll numbers.

It's the rural Republicans who say he isn't born in the US A.K.A the backwood Hillbillies.

[Devilman88]

The Rasmussen poll of Virginia is on the heel of another poll, so I call the state a tie. Arkansas? A matter of time.

Obama must in Pennsylvania about 53-47 to have a reasonable chance to win in view of the state being about D+3.

You didn't change NC, new PPP poll is out, look on the page before this one to see it.

[Devilman88]

Florida adjusted with a non-junk poll.

Rassy isn't a juck poll, but whatever.

[Devilman88]

Florida adjusted with a non-junk poll.

Rassy isn't a junk poll, but whatever.

The reference was to the poll in Alabama commissioned by a teachers' union.

Oh ok, the way you wrote it, it read as if you was talking about the Rassy poll.

[Devilman88]

NJ should be yellow!!

[Devilman88]

Green- Has positive approval rating
Red- Has negative approval rating
White- Tie
Orange- Out of date poll
Gray- No Data

[Devilman88]

Well, that NJ poll was added very quickly, despite including only 2009 likely voters.

Probably low, but the direction makes sense.

No way is New Jersey more R than America as a whole!

Isn't this map supposed to be just a compilation of polls coming out on Obama's job approvals? It seems like you're just picking which polls you agree with and adding them. NJ is not more R than America, but that doesn't mean you shouldn't add it. Likewise, Maine is not D+20 compared to America, yet you added the ridiculous poll showing Obama at 70% there. I just want consistency, not a map that you want to see.

You have to remember, you are talking an Obama hack. In his mind any poll that shows his savior unpopular is just the work of the evil right wing terrorists that are trying to destroy America.

Duh!!

[Devilman88]

you can't tell a hack anything.

[Devilman88]

I'm guessing this is what the a polling map would look like if the election was held this November..

[Devilman88]

Minnesota (Rasmussen)

51% Approve
48% Disapprove

lol, k

Heaven forbid your savior is unliked.

[Devilman88]

Not good for Obama...

[Devilman88]

WI:

Q1 Do you approve or disapprove of President
Barack Obama’s job performance? If you
approve, press 1. If you disapprove, press 2.
If you’re not sure, press 3.
Approve .......................................................... 47%
Disapprove...................................................... 47%
Not Sure.......................................................... 6%

link

Also, this is bad for the democrats too, but they don't care about what the people think..

Do you support or oppose President Obama’s
health care plan, or do you not have an
opinion? If you support it, press 1. If you
oppose it, press 2. If you don’t have an opinion,
press 3.
Support ........................................................... 37%
Oppose ........................................................... 52%
No Opinion...................................................... 11%

[Devilman88]

pbrower must be a climate change scientist.

HAHAHA, that was funny

[Devilman88]

I updated it with the SUSA numbers...

[Devilman88]

I'm not a climate change denier, I don't believe in Global Warming. Our Climate is very unstable and has been from the start. I watched a TV show they other day on the Science channel talking about how in the Earth's history the climate went in cycle of unstable climate changes, up until about 10 thousands years ago. They also said that they believe that we are getting ready to come out of the clam climate stage, where the climate will change alot from year to year.

[Devilman88]

I'm not a climate change denier, I don't believe in Global Warming. Our Climate is very unstable and has been from the start. I watched a TV show they other day on the Science channel talking about how in the Earth's history the climate went in cycle of unstable climate changes, up until about 10 thousands years ago. They also said that they believe that we are getting ready to come out of the clam climate stage, where the climate will change alot from year to year.

What you saw on TV does not contradict global warming, even if Rush Limbaugh says it does.

I don't listen to Rush Limbaugh, I hate him, alot.

I'm not saying there isn't global warming, but I don't believe it is mostly caused by humans, some of it is, but not all of it. But of course I could be wrong, but I really don't care that much..

[Devilman88]

Just because Obama is running higher the avg approval ratings in SC doesn't mean crap. SC has a high black population, so his approval ratings would be high.