The Official Obama Approval Ratings Thread

[Eraserhead]

Since Bin Ladden is dead, his ratings will improve.

Ya think?

[Eraserhead]

Anyone know when we should expect a Gallup (non-tracking) poll? Or anything else?

[Eraserhead]

While his bounce will likely fade, I do think the "I'm the guy who had bin Laden killed" argument will be a powerful one when the next election comes around.

[Eraserhead]

First non-tracking poll I've seen post-killing:

Washington Post/Pew Research gives him a 9 point bounce to 56%.

http://www.washingtonpost.com/politics/osama-bin-laden-killing-gives-obama-quick-but-limited-ratings-boost/2011/05/03/AFhxjegF_story.html

His approval for handling the threat of terrorism is now a ridiculously high 69% but he is still being held back to some extent by his economic numbers.

I would have expected a bigger bounce but let's see what some of the other polls say. I imagine he'll at least break 60% in some.

[Eraserhead]

Found another one from SUSA which somewhat bizarrely records no bounce at all (may have been done before much about what happened could sink in I suppose):

Obama at 46%-42%

People now believe the U.S. is winning the "war on terror" 60%-18%.

http://www.surveyusa.com/client/PollReport.aspx?g=6fce1396-62b0-46d6-b453-f9da4e5a5063&utm_source=twitterfeed&utm_medium=twitter

[Eraserhead]

I think we really have to wait a few more days. I agree with Chuck Todd on that.

https://twitter.com/#!/chucktodd/status/65454560709316608

By the way, Newsweek polls tend to be trash, Krazen.

[Eraserhead]

http://politicalwire.com/archives/2011/05/03/huge_audience_for_obama_speech.html

56.5 million watched Obama's speech on Sunday night... making it his highest rated speech ever (unsurprisingly).

[Eraserhead]

CBS/New York Times checks in with their generally less than stellar poll:

Approve: 57%
Disapprove: 37%

Approval is +11% and disapproval is -8% from their last poll.

http://graphics8.nytimes.com/2011/05/05/us/politics/0505poll-data.pdf

[Eraserhead]

Rasmussen Obama (National)

Approve 48%, -1.

Disapprove 51%, +1.

"Strongly Approve" is at 24%, -2.  "Strongly Disapprove" is at 37%, +1.

WTF?

Margin of error?

I'd expect a solid post OBL death number in that sample, much more pro Obama.  Bad sample maybe.

Maybe people are starting to miss Osama.

[Eraserhead]

Gallup:

Approve: 50 (+3)
Disapprove: 42 (-2)

Hardly earth-shattering.

Is that the tracking poll? If so, that is quite a bit of movement.

[Eraserhead]

New Quinnipiac:

Approve: 52%
Disapprove: 40%

Approval is +6% and disapproval is -8% from before the killing.

The poll shows a huge positive shift among men but not much of a change among women.

It does look like the bounce is going to be a lot smaller than I initially thought it would be... still kind of early to say for sure though.

http://www.quinnipiac.edu/x1284.xml?ReleaseID=1596&What=&strArea=;&strTime=0

[Eraserhead]

There isn't exactly a lot of room for improvement among Democrats. The 19% that disapprove of him are probably mostly Dixiecrats who think he was born in Kenya and leftists who are unlikely to be impressed with his ability to murder people overseas.

[Eraserhead]

Obama hits 60% in new AP-GfK poll:

WASHINGTON — President Barack Obama's approval rating is at its highest point in two years.

That's according to a new Associated Press-GfK poll. It shows that 60 per cent now approve of the job Obama is doing. And more than half now say he deserves to be re-elected.

The poll was taken a week after U.S. forces killed al-Qaida leader Osama bin Laden. And it comes on the heels of a strong jobs report that showed American businesses are on a hiring spree.

The president's standing has improved not just on foreign policy but also on the economy. Independents, a key voting bloc in the 2012 presidential election, caused the overall uptick in support by sliding back to Obama after deserting him for much of the past two years.

http://www.google.com/hostednews/canadianpress/article/ALeqM5gAHf_gbcSVotL-FHJnEvdb1vMQiw?docId=6815592

I knew he had to hit 60% in something... even if it's just a crap poll!

[Eraserhead]

So, what did Obama do last week that would cause this supposed Approvalgeddon?  Did I miss something or is this statistical noise?

He didn't do anything specifically. It's just the awful economic numbers.

[Eraserhead]

...in a Zogby poll.

[Eraserhead]

Obama's trough pales in comprison to J.J.'s romantic trough which has lasted 49 years.

Zing!

[Eraserhead]

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=MYcqToQzzGY&feature=related

[Eraserhead]

What we see is almost Hitlerian.

...What?

I know that when I think Hitler, I think mediocre but stable approval ratings.

Hitler was actually popular in the 1930's.

I tend to disagree to that statement. The time he "took" office was accompanied by large riots and people fleeing the country, despite the polling probably not being at todays standards.

Anyways, I don't think this has anything to do with the actual topic.

All threads require at least a random sprinkle of Nazi talk. It's the law.

[Eraserhead]

J.J., I need to know what your plans are for Valentine's Day.

Seconded.

[Eraserhead]

Also, Dems lead the generic congressional ballot in Rasmussen for the first time in two and a half years.

Even Scottie has given up on the Republicans.

[Eraserhead]

He'll probably get a slight boost from the employment data.

[Eraserhead]

Gallup's approval numbers don't match up well with their head-to-head numbers at all.

[Eraserhead]

http://www.gallup.com/poll/124922/Presidential-Job-Approval-Center.aspx

Approve: 50%, -1


Disapprove: 44%, +1

Head to head, Obama 50% (u), Romney 44% (u).

Finally, the approval rating and the vote match up.

[Eraserhead]

Did Gallup switch over to a Likely Voter model yet or what?

[Eraserhead]

One bit of good news is that the right direction/wrong track number on Rasmussen is 37/55.  37 is tied for the highest position in about 6 months.

Yeah that is some great news!

Well, if you are being sarcastic, that is about as good as the news gets today.

Actually, I'd say Obama being at 54% on Gallup is pretty good news for him.