The Official Obama Approval Ratings Thread

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This may be more relevant:

http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/pdf/PPP_Release_National_1120.pdf

(Basically, how would you vote, given the choices?)  :

Obama 49
Huckabee 44

Obama 51
Palin 43

Obama 46
Paul 38

Obama 48
Romney 43

Significantly the sample showed that there was only a 2% difference in the number of voters found who had voted for Obama and for McCain in 2008, indicating that this sample is likely more R-leaning than the average. The potential Republican candidate was shown first in the PDF.

All four potential opponents seem to do less well against Obama than did McCain. I could play little games by trying to adjust the mutual ratings by arbitrary factors... but such would be imprecise. Huckabee and Romney both have serious weaknesses of regional support, and both Palin and Paul have such serious nationwide weaknesses that either would be crushed in LBJ-style landslides.  

Paul would get crushed, but even though I dispise the Gov. I gotta say, I think she'd atleast hit 150-175 electoral votes.

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Arizona(Rasmussen)

Approve 40%
Disapprove 60%

http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/elections2/election_2010/election_2010_governor_elections/arizona/election_2010_arizona_governor_election

Bad, but nationwide-8, so not that bad I suppose.

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Utah (Dan Jones)

38% Approve
60% Disapprove

http://www.deseretnews.com/article/705348448/Most-Utahns-unhappy-with-Obama.html

Well he can't be doing that bad then, it's better than the '08 results.

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CNN/opinion research (crap poll)

approve: 48 % (-7 compared to mid november poll)
disapprove: 50 % (+8)

No information on the party id.

Well, he definately is in quite a bad state then.

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Virginia(Rasmussen)

Approve 50%
Disapprove 50%

http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/general_state_surveys/virginia/54_in_virginia_oppose_health_care_plan

Another good state poll, considering the national Rass number. Does anyone have any regional breakdowns for the last few of Rasmussen's national poll?

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Has the Rass IL poll been added yet? :S

http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/elections2/election_2010/election_2010_senate_elections/illinois/toplines/toplines_2010_illinois_senate_december_9_2009

58%/42%

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Mrs. P's Kindergarden class poll of Obama's Oklahoma Approval rating:

57% Approve
31% Applesauce
12% Bananas/ Don't know

Turnin' OK green, oh yeeeeeah.

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I think Obama will lose Michigan in 2012. 

If he loses Michigan, then it's a pretty easy win for the Republican whoever it is.

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I'm pretty shocked he's netting a negative in New Hampshire, but I'll take it

Call me a hack, but I think that's probably an outlier. I'd prefer to see some more companies poll NH. :/

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Found a source:
http://archives.chicagotribune.com/2009/dec/17/news/chi-ap-mi-obama-granholmpol

Pretty old poll...

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Connecticut - 54-38

PPP - http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/pdf/PPP_Release_CT_106925424.pdf

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Just an FYI for everyone, I'm not putting the ND one on my map because it measures favorability and not approval.

Good judgement. Favourability ≠ Approval

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http://blog.pos.org/2010/01/western-states-update-gop-back-on-top/

"President Obama’s job approval numbers have plummeted in the West. A majority of voters (53%) in Western states disapprove of the job he’s doing while 45% approve. Compare this to the 100-day mark in his term when Obama’s job approval in the West was 59% approve/33% disapprove."

States mentioned:

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What a way to sensationalise a headline. :S

Of course Obama's Western approvals will drop if you take out Cali, one of the most Dem states in the country which also happens to be the biggest state in the country/region. That's like saying "Oh, let's look at Obama's approvals in the North-East, but let's ignore New York".

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A new Rass poll from MA has Obama at 57-41.

http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/elections2/election_2010/election_2010_senate_elections/massachusetts/toplines/toplines_massachusetts_special_senate_election_january_11_2010

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Nevada(Rasmussen)

Approve 49%
Disapprove 50%

http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/elections2/election_2010/election_2010_senate_elections/nevada/toplines/toplines_2010_nevada_senate_january_11_2010

Color stays the same. Date gets updated.

Sort of a counter to the Mason/Dixon(?) favourability poll from a few days ago. Pretty good numbers considering the national number for Obama, considering it's Rasmussen.

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Again, why is no one polling Indiana?  Idaho, Oklahoma, and Utah have more freakin` polls than Indiana, and McCain won by a lot in those states. Indiana was the most interesting state in the election.

An approval poll would be pretty pointless just for Indiana atm. Also, it looks like Bayh will easily get re-elected, so a senatorial poll (which also include a Presidential approval question as a side note) would be a waste of money.

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New York: 56/41

http://www.pollster.com/blogs/ny_2010_sen_marist_11314.php

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I think that New Mexico needs to be updated. When will the pollsters be out?

Has either Mississippi or Vermont ever been polled?

I definately don't recall Vermont getting polled.

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Texas(Rasmussen)

Approve 44%
Disapprove 54%

http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/elections2/election_2010/election_2010_governor_elections/texas/toplines/toplines_texas_governor_s_race_january_17_2010

Rather impressed with that tbh, considering it's Texas..

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Pollster's trendline appears to be showing a slight national bounce, although it could just be the ABC poll (outlier).

UPDATE: 50/40 nationwide in CBS poll (with 25% of the GOP approving... lol)
http://www.pollster.com/blogs/us_national_survey_cbs_11417.php

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He's back over 50% nationally at Pollster and Rasmussen has given him the best he's had in a while today.

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Pennsylvania (F & M)

38% Excellent/Good
61% Fair/Poor

http://edisk.fandm.edu/FLI/keystone/pdf/keyjan10_1.pdf

lol POLLFAIL!

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A reminder: interactive polls are worthless.

Many people do not have internet connections,  nobody is able to screen participants for age, and nobody is able to screen away multiple votes.

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PPP(D) Alaska

Obama 37/56

Let's just say that Obama won't get a more favorable sample than what PPP(D) gave him.

Begich's approval was also about the same level which was unsuprising, I gotta say.

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Rhode Island (Fleming & Associates)

51% Excellent/Good
48% Fair/Poor

The poll was conducted by phone January 27 through January 31, 2010. Reflecting the political canvas of the state; 39 percent of those polled considered themselves Democrat, 17 percent Republican and 41 percent Independent. Statewide statistics -- 500 registered voters -- comes with a 4.4 percent margin of error.

http://www.wpri.com/generic/news/politics/local_politics/campaign-2010-eyewitness-news-poll-barack-obama-

Lol, doubtful.