OH-2010/PPP: Portman (R) in good shape
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  OH-2010/PPP: Portman (R) in good shape
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Author Topic: OH-2010/PPP: Portman (R) in good shape  (Read 2299 times)
Tender Branson
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« on: January 20, 2009, 12:44:01 AM »

Rob Portman (R) - 41%
Lee Fisher (D) - 39%

Rob Portman (R) - 40%
Tim Ryan (D) - 34%

Rob Portman (R) - 42%
Jennifer Brunner (D) - 34%

Favorable Ratings:

Fisher: 40% favorable, 32% unfavorable
Portman: 28% favorable, 23% unfavorable
Ryan: 26% favorable, 27% unfavorable
Brunner: 34% favorable, 36% unfavorable

PPP surveyed 578 Ohio voters on January 17th and 18th. The survey’s margin of error is
+/-4.1%. Other factors, such as refusal to be interviewed and weighting, may introduce
additional error that is more difficult to quantify.

http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/pdf/PPP_Release_Ohio_119.pdf
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Lunar
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« Reply #1 on: January 20, 2009, 12:45:48 AM »

Portman probably has higher name recognition because he's actually announced his candidacy
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Ronnie
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« Reply #2 on: January 20, 2009, 12:47:46 AM »

I agree with Lunar, other than Portman, no one announced their candidacies.  The campaign hasn't even started yet.
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Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
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« Reply #3 on: January 20, 2009, 12:48:23 AM »

Portman probably has higher name recognition because he's actually announced his candidacy

Yes, that, and according to this poll the Democrats are only getting 50-60% of Democratic voters while Portman already receives 80% of Republicans ...
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Padfoot
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« Reply #4 on: January 20, 2009, 03:37:04 AM »

Portman probably has higher name recognition because he's actually announced his candidacy

I disagree, of those 4 candidates Brunner probably has the highest name recognition followed by Fisher, and then Portman.  Ryan's name recognition is naturally the lowest since he's never been elected to statewide office nor has he announced he's running.

The Democrats are fools if they run Brunner or Fisher.  Brunner is too controversial because of her own idiocy and the unfortunate fact that being Secretary of State in Ohio basically guarantees you will have no political future.  Virtually every decision you make as SoS will be screamed down as partisanship by the opposing party.  Fisher, on the other hand, has done virtually nothing worth noting since he became Lt. Gov.  He was appointed by Gov. Strickland as leader of some sort of economic improvement task force but I have yet to hear of any major accomplishments Fisher and his task force have achieved. 

Plus, the success of both these candidates will be heavily tied up with the Strickland administration's achievements which have been few and far between.  After two years in office he has yet to produce a single idea on education reform which was his biggest campaign promise.  Strickland himself said he should be viewed as a failure if he didn't manage to enact significant education reform.  Additionally, Strickland's popularity has been slipping as of late IIRC.  He's not in deep trouble yet but his honeymoon is definitely over.

Ryan is by far the best candidate the Democrats could run IMO.  He's young but he has a decent amount of experience.  He's also an ideal fit for the Ohio Democratic Party and would cement the Northeast base.  I could easily see him engineering a Brown 2006 style win in an open seat race against Portman. 

The only other House member more qualified than him is Kaptur and at this point in her career, she's probably better off remaining in the House.  She's the most senior woman there and she's 30th in seniority overall.  Some of the guys ahead of her will surely be retiring (or dying, not to sound crass) in the near future which will only increase her seniority.  Plus, at the end of her first hypothetical Senate term she'd be 70 and the Democrats would probably have to search for another candidate in 2016.
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Holmes
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« Reply #5 on: January 20, 2009, 08:04:39 AM »

Portman: 28% favorable, 23% unfavorable
Ryan: 26% favorable, 27% unfavorable
No one knows who these people are. Hardly 50%.
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Sam Spade
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« Reply #6 on: January 20, 2009, 12:34:52 PM »

Polls at this point in the game are worse than useless.
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Southern Senator North Carolina Yankee
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« Reply #7 on: January 22, 2009, 02:06:39 PM »

Absolutely pointless at this point.
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