Martin Co. KY 1996 (backwards?) (user search)
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  Martin Co. KY 1996 (backwards?) (search mode)
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Author Topic: Martin Co. KY 1996 (backwards?)  (Read 3821 times)
Alcon
Atlas Superstar
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Posts: 30,866
United States


« on: January 15, 2009, 07:46:51 PM »

Just as I think Knott County was backwards in 2008, I think Martin County was backwards in 1996.

Dude I called the county, and unless they transposed all of the precincts (virtually impossible) it's not backwards.  Not only that, but the swing was comparable to surrounding counties.  Don't be ridiculous.

Martin County was only GOP +6% in 1992, and then GOP +21% in 2000.  So, it swung 11 points Democratic and then 26 points Republcian.

I'll concede that a GOP +5% result would look a little more normal than a DEM +5% one.  But DEM +5% is not really unreasonable in '96.  And Kentucky is a state that is very good about not flipping numbers because of the way they report their results.

You're being a little too apt to jump on this assumption, methinks.
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