SurvyUSA 2012 Polls: Obama far ahead of Romney, Palin

[Tender Branson]

In an early look at 2012, SurvyUSA has polled Obama vs. Romney and Obama vs. Palin in 15 states:

Obama vs. Romney:

Alabama: 42-50
California: 68-28
Iowa: 59-36
Kansas: 45-48
Kentucky: 43-49
Massachusetts: 66-25
Minnesota: 61-33
Missouri: 51-45
New Mexico: 61-31
New York: 72-22
Ohio: 55-37
Oregon: 51-42
Virginia: 54-41
Washington: 67-22
Wisconsin: 64-29

Obama vs. Palin:

Alabama: 30-58
California: 69-20
Iowa: 60-34
Kansas: 40-54
Kentucky: 38-55
Massachusetts: 72-20
Minnesota: 65-28
Missouri: 46-41
New Mexico: 67-21
New York: 78-14
Ohio: 61-32
Oregon: 50-44
Virginia: 48-47
Washington: 66-24
Wisconsin: 61-28

SurvyUSA also tested Obama vs. Michele Bachmann in the Minneapolis suburb county of Sherburne:

Obama - 82
Bachmann - 10
Lizard People - 2

http://www.surveyusa.com/50StateTracking.html

[Brittain33]

What does Zobgy predict?

[Purple State]

How did you come up with the title of the thread? It doesn't look anything like Obama has any chance of facing a close race or losing with those numbers.

[Tender Branson]

How did you come up with the title of the thread? It doesn't look anything like Obama has any chance of facing a close race or losing with those numbers.

Fixed.

[jamestroll]

Tender, these numbers are a fable.

[Meeker]

ROFL

Can we vote now, please?

[RI]

Obama vs. Palin:

Oregon: 50-44
Virginia: 48-47

WTF?

[Person Man]

Obama vs. Palin:

Oregon: 50-44
Virginia: 48-47

WTF?

I guess theres a big throbbing mob in these light-blue states.

[Alcon]

The gap between the Oregon and Washington polls may be the least believable thing in the history of ever.  Obama +45 vs. Romney in WA and +9 in OR?  Obama +42 vs. Palin in WA and +6 in OR?  Um, yeah

[Person Man]

There are a sh**t load of hicks in Oregon. Then again, there are a lot of 'em in Washington. Then again, Eastern Washington is beginning to modernize as Seattle fills up.

[Brittain33]

[Alcon]

There are a sh**t load of hicks in Oregon. Then again, there are a lot of 'em in Washington. Then again, Eastern Washington is beginning to modernize as Seattle fills up.

Outside of a few spots in Okanogan and Chelan County, and around Snoqualmie Pass, there really isn't that much "Westernization" in Eastern Washington, in the "Seattle people moving East en masse" sense.  It's not exactly close enough in to be anything but vacationland/retirementworld.

Over 60% of Eastern Washington is in three counties (Benton, Spokane, Yakima).  "Hicks" maybe, but that doesn't really make sense; Obama won Oregon by 16 with "hicks" in full force.  They don't love Palin that much, and they aren't that numerous.

If Washington is going to swing 25 points to the Democrats, Oregon is going to swing 10 points to the Republicans?  It doesn't make any sense.

[Person Man]

Yes. That was a bit of a stretch. I'm just running through some remote possibilities. Could this just be a trash poll?

[Keystone Phil]

Was anyone really expecting different results just week before the guy is sworn in?

[I spent the winter writing songs about getting better]

There are a sh**t load of hicks in Oregon. Then again, there are a lot of 'em in Washington. Then again, Eastern Washington is beginning to modernize as Seattle fills up.

Outside of a few spots in Okanogan and Chelan County, and around Snoqualmie Pass, there really isn't that much "Westernization" in Eastern Washington, in the "Seattle people moving East en masse" sense.  It's not exactly close enough in to be anything but vacationland/retirementworld.

Over 60% of Eastern Washington is in three counties (Benton, Spokane, Yakima).  "Hicks" maybe, but that doesn't really make sense; Obama won Oregon by 16 with "hicks" in full force.  They don't love Palin that much, and they aren't that numerous.

If Washington is going to swing 25 points to the Democrats, Oregon is going to swing 10 points to the Republicans?  It doesn't make any sense.

So Oregon is the 1-in-20.

[Alcon]

There are a sh**t load of hicks in Oregon. Then again, there are a lot of 'em in Washington. Then again, Eastern Washington is beginning to modernize as Seattle fills up.

Outside of a few spots in Okanogan and Chelan County, and around Snoqualmie Pass, there really isn't that much "Westernization" in Eastern Washington, in the "Seattle people moving East en masse" sense.  It's not exactly close enough in to be anything but vacationland/retirementworld.

Over 60% of Eastern Washington is in three counties (Benton, Spokane, Yakima).  "Hicks" maybe, but that doesn't really make sense; Obama won Oregon by 16 with "hicks" in full force.  They don't love Palin that much, and they aren't that numerous.

If Washington is going to swing 25 points to the Democrats, Oregon is going to swing 10 points to the Republicans?  It doesn't make any sense.

So Oregon is the 1-in-20.

The thing about 1-in-20s is that, it's not like 1-in-20 polls just randomly explodes like this.  The chance that a poll is off by like 20 points is much, much greater than 1-in-20.  I'm not saying it's statistically impossible but it's a result to be extremely skeptical of.

[Holmes]

I'd be willing to bet Portland was under-represented in that Oregon poll just as much that Montgomery was over-represented in Alabama in the Romney poll. Seriously, -8 in Alabama.

[Brittain33]

it's a result to be extremely skeptical of.

Yes, it is.

[phk]

Its also useless to conduct a 2012 poll this soon.

[Aizen]

these poll numbers aren't on susa's site you clowns

[Lief 🗽]

Haha, Kentucky. So racist.

[humder]

 Can I have a link to these polls please?

[Associate Justice PiT]

Its also useless to conduct a 2012 poll this soon.

     Useless, but fun!

[RI]

I've never heard of SurvyUSA

[Alcon]

it's a result to be extremely skeptical of.

Yes, it is.

Well, if this is all just a weird unfunny set-up for the Bachmann joke at the bottom, they're all results to be skeptical of.