2009 State and Federal elections in Germany

[Filuwaúrdjan]

NRW locals for the sheer hell of it:

[Filuwaúrdjan]

Sauerland (CDU) probably reelected in Duisburg.

Oh wow, Cologne city council (733 out of 800 precincts in):

SPD 28.9 (-2.1)
CDU 26.8 (-5.9)
Greens 22.0 (+5.4)
FDP 9.1 (+1.7)
"pro Köln" (Nazis) 5.3
Left 5.0 (+2.0)

Now I want borough results! EDIT: Found them. Greens topped the poll in Innenstadt, but not in Ehrenfeld (1.odd behind the SPD) or Lindenthal (0.1 behind the SPD and 7 points behind the CDU), as I would have considered possible on that citywide result.

Any chance of links so that maps can be made?

[Tender Branson]

Brandenburg votes on the same day as the federal election, but there are no recent polls whatsoever.

Yeah, the last poll is from May by Infratest dimap and they completely blew it:

EU vote intention for Brandenburg:

SPD: 37
CDU: 23
Left: 23
FDP: 6
Greens: 6
Others: 5

Actual Result:

Left: 26
SPD: 23
CDU: 23
Greens: 8
FDP: 7
Others: 13

Doesn't have anything to do with state elections though ...

[minionofmidas]

New Forsa poll... weird things that I don't fully believe...

CDU 35 (-1)
SPD 21 (-1)
FDP 14 (0)
Left 14 (+4)
Green 10 (-2)

Compared to last week, mind you. Sure, there's events in Afghanistan. And SPD and Green conduct after the state elections. But this looks a little... excessive.

[minionofmidas]

Sauerland (CDU) probably reelected in Duisburg.

Oh wow, Cologne city council (733 out of 800 precincts in):

SPD 28.9 (-2.1)
CDU 26.8 (-5.9)
Greens 22.0 (+5.4)
FDP 9.1 (+1.7)
"pro Köln" (Nazis) 5.3
Left 5.0 (+2.0)

Now I want borough results! EDIT: Found them. Greens topped the poll in Innenstadt, but not in Ehrenfeld (1.odd behind the SPD) or Lindenthal (0.1 behind the SPD and 7 points behind the CDU), as I would have considered possible on that citywide result.

Any chance of links so that maps can be made?

http://wahlen.stadt-koeln.de/kommunalwahl/2009/wahlpraesentation/index.html

Boroughs, Stadtteile, direct constituencies, precincts...

No base map except for boroughs, though. Wiki has a not very good Stadtteile map.

[Hans-im-Glück]

New Polls from Allensbach and Emnid, compared to last week

Allensbach:

CDU/CSU   35,0 %  (-0,5)
SPD   22,5 %   (-0,5)
GREEN   13,0 %  (-0,5)
FDP   13,0 %  (-1)
LEFT    11,5 %  (+2)

Black/Yellow   48
Red/Red/Green   47

Emnid:

CDU/CSU   35 %  (+1)
SPD   24 %   (-2)
GREEN   12 %  (+1)
FDP   13 %  (-1)
LEFT    12%  (+1)

Black/Yellow   48
Red/Red/Green   48

[Franzl]

Well that's just great....Germany is about to chicken out of a sensible coalition yet again.

[Hans-im-Glück]

Maybe Black/Yellow get the majority, but i don't think that the most people want that the FDP is in government. Heiner Geissler don't trusts the FDP too

[Franzl]

Well then say hello to another grand coalition....

[Hans-im-Glück]

Well then say hello to another grand coalition....

I like a grand coalition more than Black/yellow, but the slowly death of the SPD continues.

[Filuwaúrdjan]

[minionofmidas]

Fairly predictable. Left map is a bit odd. (Now, a map by Stadtteile would be a lot more valuable to me. )

[Filuwaúrdjan]

(Now, a map by Stadtteile would be a lot more valuable to me. )

Working on that at the moment. Two questions:

1. on the wiki base map, there's a small area marked (I think) "No". Wtf?
2. some of the Stadtteile results on the election site have candidate names - so are municipal elections in NRW run like state ones?

[Tender Branson]

Brandenburg votes on the same day as the federal election, but there are no recent polls whatsoever.

When we speak about the Devil ...

Infratest-dimap out with 2 new polls in Brandenburg and Berlin:

 


 


 

 



 

[Tender Branson]

Pretty interesting how Platzeck demolishes both of his challengers in a direct vote, despite the SPD being only a few points ahead of the Left.

Is the SPD running their campaign exclusively based on his popularity in the state ?

Because that's what happens here in the state elections. We have 2 ÖVP-governors with 80% approval ratings on the local campaign posters and there's just the names of the 2 governors on, but not even the party name ...

[minionofmidas]

(Now, a map by Stadtteile would be a lot more valuable to me. )

Working on that at the moment. Two questions:

1. on the wiki base map, there's a small area marked (I think) "No". Wtf?
2. some of the Stadtteile results on the election site have candidate names - so are municipal elections in NRW run like state ones?

Yes. Only in NRW, to my knowledge (like NRW state ones, btw - no vote splitting). It's already mentioned in this thread, btw.
Results by constituency are also under the link ("Kommunalwahlbezirke"), but I don't have a map so... no bother.

The area marked "o.N." ("not numbered") appears to be Finkenberg. It's a 60s built high rise slum and used to be part of another Stadtteil until 2007 (Porz I suppose, though I couldn't find confirmation in a quick search).

[Shilly]

Fairly predictable. Left map is a bit odd. (Now, a map by Stadtteile would be a lot more valuable to me. )

Here is my attempt at a map.

I'm sure Al can make something nicer, though.

[Filuwaúrdjan]

Different, yes, which may not be the same thing as better. Btw, you probably saved me about half an hour messing with the keys

[Filuwaúrdjan]

[Verily]

There's a pretty strong correlation between SPD and pro-Koln, isn't there?

[jeron]

New Wahlomat is online.

There's an English version.

Here are my results:

1. Grunen
2. FDP
3. SPD
4. Linke
5. CDU

[Jens]

My Wahlomat results:

1. Linke 78 of 88
2. Grüne 70 of 88
3. DKP 68 of 88
4. Piraten 56 of 88
5. SPD 55 of 88
6. NDP 55 of 88
7. FDP 37 of 88
8. CDU 21 of 88

[freek]

My Wahlomat results:

1. FDP 54 of 76
2. CDU/CSU 50 of 76
3. SPD 42 of 76
4. Grüne 36 of 76
5. Linke 28 of 76

[minionofmidas]

Nippes, Ehrenfeld, Lindenthal (especially Lindenthal!), Kalk maps speak for themselves. Can't really comment on Porz and Chorweiler.
Greens winning Deutz is a little surprising, I'd have expected the SPD here. Green distribution in Mülheim borough is perfectly as expected, though I would have expected CDU and FDP stronger in Delbrück - indeed, I certainly wouldn't have expected the CDU to win Holweide without winning Delbrück first. In Rodenkirchen, inner city Zollstock versus posh suburbs near Rodenkirchen proper comes out well, but wth Sürth? I actually know that area a little bit, and most overgrown-village-cum-inner-suburbs are worse, but big Green win wtf?

[Filuwaúrdjan]

but wth Sürth? I actually know that area a little bit, and most overgrown-village-cum-inner-suburbs are worse, but big Green win wtf?

Did seem a little far from the city centre for the Green result. FDP did well there as well. Rich people who like trees?