Virginia 2009 Megathread
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Author Topic: Virginia 2009 Megathread  (Read 170502 times)
JohnnyLongtorso
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« Reply #1175 on: November 03, 2009, 09:49:26 PM »
And HD-51.
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Kaine for Senate '18
benconstine
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« Reply #1176 on: November 03, 2009, 09:51:34 PM »
Will we still hold a majority?
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JohnnyLongtorso
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« Reply #1177 on: November 03, 2009, 09:52:54 PM »
Um, dude, in case you haven't noticed the Republicans control the House of Delegates.
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JohnnyLongtorso
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« Reply #1178 on: November 03, 2009, 09:53:30 PM »
32nd falls to the Republicans as well. Exurban Dems are getting screwed but good.
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JohnnyLongtorso
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« Reply #1179 on: November 03, 2009, 10:11:34 PM »
And I'm projecting the 67th to go Republican as well.
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tmthforu94
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« Reply #1180 on: November 03, 2009, 10:12:50 PM »
What does it look like the numbers will be in the House?
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Alexander Hamilton
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« Reply #1181 on: November 03, 2009, 10:13:32 PM »

LMAO
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JohnnyLongtorso
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« Reply #1182 on: November 03, 2009, 10:19:00 PM »
Quote from: Senator Tmthforu94 on November 03, 2009, 10:12:50 PM
What does it look like the numbers will be in the House?

Right now, it's a net +4 for the Republicans, but there are 2 or 3 Dem seats that are in doubt. 59-41 for the Republicans if the Dems manage to hold onto the rest of their seats.
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Frodo
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« Reply #1183 on: November 03, 2009, 10:45:44 PM »
It really shows just how badly Creigh Deeds did tonight when even Fairfax County (w/ nearly 95% of the vote in) looks like it is narrowly going for Bob McDonnell.  Tongue 
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JohnnyLongtorso
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« Reply #1184 on: November 03, 2009, 10:47:48 PM »
House of Delegates pickups:

Republican pickups - 3rd, 23rd, 32nd, 34th, 51st, 67th, 83rd
Democratic pickups - 52nd, 93rd

The 21st District is the only one I think still might flip; incumbent Democrat Bobby Mathieson is up by 39 votes with the mystery absentee precinct left.
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Meeker
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« Reply #1185 on: November 03, 2009, 10:49:47 PM »
I met Mathieson doorbelling while down in Virginia Beach. I hope he pulls it out.
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Fmr. Pres. Duke
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« Reply #1186 on: November 03, 2009, 10:53:26 PM »
McDonnell is won Fairfax City and is clinging to a small lead in Fairfax County. Wow. Crossed 60% in Loudon County too. What a massacre.
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muon2
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« Reply #1187 on: November 03, 2009, 10:57:07 PM »
Quote from: AHDuke99 on November 03, 2009, 10:53:26 PM
McDonnell is won Fairfax City and is clinging to a small lead in Fairfax County. Wow. Crossed 60% in Loudon County too. What a massacre.

Fairfax Co is 100% and is 50.7% for McDonnell.
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Meeker
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« Reply #1188 on: November 03, 2009, 10:57:31 PM »
Deeds did in fact end up doing the worst amongst the statewide candidates.

Last time I ever say this: Should've nominated McAuliffe.
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JohnnyLongtorso
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« Reply #1189 on: November 03, 2009, 10:59:29 PM »
I've been so focused on the House that I haven't looked at the statewide map.

It looks strikingly similar to this one:



Don McEachin's 60-40 loss to Jerry Kilgore for Attorney General in 2001.

I will never question Survey USA again.
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Sam Spade
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« Reply #1190 on: November 03, 2009, 11:17:05 PM »
Quote from: JohnnyLongtorso on November 03, 2009, 10:59:29 PM
I've been so focused on the House that I haven't looked at the statewide map.

It looks strikingly similar to this one:



Don McEachin's 60-40 loss to Jerry Kilgore for Attorney General in 2001.

I will never question Survey USA again.

SUSA is very good at VA for some reason or another, historically.
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Lincoln Republican
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« Reply #1191 on: November 03, 2009, 11:19:47 PM »
What a GLORIOUS night for the GOP!
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JohnnyLongtorso
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« Reply #1192 on: November 03, 2009, 11:21:08 PM »
I was wrong about turnout (I predicted 2.1 million); it looks to have been almost exactly the same as 2005. There were 1,983,778 votes for Governor in 2005. Currently it's at 1,953,146, with 99.32% of precincts in.
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Psychic Octopus
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« Reply #1193 on: November 03, 2009, 11:22:03 PM »

Indeed. While I don't expect this to have much forebearing for Obama and 2010, this is a good sign and great results!
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Vepres
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« Reply #1194 on: November 03, 2009, 11:22:55 PM »
Quote from: AHDuke99 on November 03, 2009, 10:53:26 PM
McDonnell is won Fairfax City and is clinging to a small lead in Fairfax County. Wow. Crossed 60% in Loudon County too. What a massacre.

It's inhumane!
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JohnnyLongtorso
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« Reply #1195 on: November 03, 2009, 11:23:49 PM »
Also, I predicted the right margin, but for the wrong race. I said 56.5 - 43.5 or thereabouts for Governor... It is, in fact, the margin for Lt. Governor, though.
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Tender Branson
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« Reply #1196 on: November 04, 2009, 04:19:39 AM »
VA Exit Poll:

http://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2009/11/04/us/politics/1104-va-exit-poll.html
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Franzl
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« Reply #1197 on: November 04, 2009, 07:11:40 AM »
Shocked by McDonnell's win in Fairfax, also very surprised by his amazing strength in Appalachia.

Ah well, not much anybody could have done to stop this.
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JohnnyLongtorso
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« Reply #1198 on: November 04, 2009, 07:50:34 AM »
It looks like SWVA is completing its realignment to the Republicans, kicking out one of its three Democratic Delegates (the other two probably would have lost as well had the Republicans put up an opponent -- Bud Phillips was unopposed, but write-ins got 9% of the vote).

I'm betting after this result, Terry Kilgore gets into the race against Rick Boucher.
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Filuwaúrdjan
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« Reply #1199 on: November 04, 2009, 07:55:02 AM »
Looking at the turnout figures there, I suspect that it's more of an, er, dealignment away from the Democrats. Though in practice there might not be a massive amount of difference.
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