2009 New Jersey Governor's Race

[Rowan]

Yeah sounds like Christie by 1 or 2.

[Aizen]

Republicans are certainly taking the gloves off.  

Christie is even taking his bib off

[East Coast Republican]

Republicans are certainly taking the gloves off.  

Christie is even taking his bib off

Classy!

[Rowan]

The RAS:

Christie 46%
Corzine 43%
Daggett 7%

http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/elections2/election_2009/new_jersey/election_2009_new_jersey_governor

[Rowan]

PPP

Christie 42%
Corzine 38%
Daggett 13%

http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/pdf/PPP_Release_NJ_10271205.pdf

[xavier110]

I love how unpredictable this race is!

And it seems like Daggett will (unfortunately) end up with <10%

[Vepres]

RCP average has it at Corzine +0.2. Very exciting race to say the least.

[Meeker]

Corzine still way head on Intrade, FWIW.

[Rowan]

RCP average has it at Corzine +0.2. Very exciting race to say the least.

And that's only because that ridiculous Suffolk poll is included.

[Eraserhead]

I was right about the PPP poll. Christie might pull this off after all. Corzine's GOTV machine better not let him down.

[Eraserhead]

Corzine still way head on Intrade, FWIW.

And hopefully people are seeing how meaningless that is.

[Rowan]

Quinnipiac is out with their poll tomorrow morning. I will predict a 42-39-12 Christie lead.

[Mr.Phips]

Democrats cannot afford to lose this race.  If they lose this race, panic is going to set off everywhere. 

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

I say this is a must win race, but I wouldn't say panic will be out there, I would say that there is buyers remorse out there beyond the more traditional states.

[Eraserhead]

Democrats cannot afford to lose this race.  If they lose this race, panic is going to set off everywhere. 

I don't think so. Corzine has trailed since the glory days of Obamamania. Drudge and Fox will be having respective field days though, for sure. That is to be expected.

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

The Dems are going to be more enthusiastic about this race and turnout more due to the Corzine's growth in the polls. Having failed to close out Corzine have more to say about Christie's chances than Corzine after having had a significant bounce in the polls in the summer.

[Eraserhead]

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

I was simply stating the obvious Corzine is going to win when the final poll is taken on election day.  He was counted out early, but made a comeback which made it close at the end.

[Rowan]

I was simply stating

You don't simply state anything.

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

I simply put it, the race will remain a statistical deadheat up to election days.  Polls showing leads outside the margin of error are simply misstating that fact.

[Small Business Owner of Any Repute]

The Dems are going to be more enthusiastic about this race and turnout more due to the Corzine's growth in the polls. Having failed to close out Corzine have more to say about Christie's chances than Corzine after having had a significant bounce in the polls in the summer.

You do know that Corzine moved backwards in the past week, according to today's Rasmussen and PPP, right?

[cinyc]

I love how unpredictable this race is!

And it seems like Daggett will (unfortunately) end up with <10%

Christie is hammering Daggett in his ads now, too, trying to prevent leakage of voters who otherwise would support Christie to Daggett.  Daggett=Corzine, or so the script goes.

[War on Want]

Yeah I'm thinking Christie is going to win this one.

[Vepres]

My gut feeling is that Daggett will lose at least 2% of his support to Christie, probably far more. The undecideds will probably break for Christie as well considering undecideds usually have an anti-incumbent bias.

[Sewer]

Poor Daggett