onward to 2010 (because it's never too early)

[Holmes]

Really dumb to bump a 10 year old thread but laughed at the OP having Arkansas as solid D. “Arkansas GOP LOL”

[OSR stands with Israel]

Really dumb to bump a 10 year old thread but laughed at the OP having Arkansas as solid D. “Arkansas GOP LOL”

Sometimes its fun to do this, as the election is almost two years away and its fun to look back at these threads.

VA 2006 predictions in late 05 early 2006 look hilarious as well

[OBD]

wow

[YE]

Can the political landscape of 2008 come back?

[_]

beep boop  haha dem wrong

[OSR stands with Israel]

Really dumb to bump a 10 year old thread but laughed at the OP having Arkansas as solid D. “Arkansas GOP LOL”

Sometimes its fun to do this, as the election is almost two years away and its fun to look back at these threads.

VA 2006 predictions in late 05 early 2006 look hilarious as well

Go back to the RRH prediction thread in 2012 for a real laugh

Also if anything, OP’s predictions were fairly good all things considered. Who else would have thought WI, ND and IL would be potential Democratic losses right after Obama’s landslide

I get WI ,IL but ND made no sense at all .

ND has been a solidly Republican state since 1940 (Only voted Dem in 1964)

And even at the state level the GOP controlled  the Governor Mansion for the previous 20/28 years before 2008 so in a midterm environment that would be the first state to go


I even get the AR prediction since with the exception of Huckabee the state gop was a joke even in 2008

[OSR stands with Israel]

Really dumb to bump a 10 year old thread but laughed at the OP having Arkansas as solid D. “Arkansas GOP LOL”

Sometimes its fun to do this, as the election is almost two years away and its fun to look back at these threads.

VA 2006 predictions in late 05 early 2006 look hilarious as well

Go back to the RRH prediction thread in 2012 for a real laugh

Also if anything, OP’s predictions were fairly good all things considered. Who else would have thought WI, ND and IL would be potential Democratic losses right after Obama’s landslide

I get WI ,IL but ND made no sense at all .

ND has been a solidly Republican state since 1940 (Only voted Dem in 1964)

And even at the state level the GOP controlled  the Governor Mansion for the previous 20/28 years before 2008 so in a midterm environment that would be the first state to go


I even get the AR prediction since with the exception of Huckabee the state gop was a joke even in 2008

There was little reason to assume at that point in time that polarization would be so strong in states like ND to wipe him out in even a bad D midterm. In the last bad D midterm before that, Democratic Senators won re-election in states like Nebraska and North Dakota.

Well out of all the seats they held it was by far the most likely of the ones they would have lost(unless Huckabee ran in 2010)

[S019]

The fact that they AR as Safe D is laughable, because the last time you could accurately assess an AR senate race was in 2004, when it was still D-downballot

Also not considering Dorgan’s retirement is laughable

Also the idea that Arlen Specter was required to win in PA is laughable

[OSR stands with Israel]

The fact that they AR as Safe D is laughable, because the last time you could accurately assess an AR senate race was in 2004, when it was still D-downballot

Also not considering Dorgan’s retirement is laughable

Also the idea that Arlen Specter was required to win in PA is laughable

AR was still super D-Downballot in 2006 and 2008, the GOP got obliterated in both those years in AR. Dems I believe had control of over 70% of both house of the state legislature, every state wide office , both seante seats and 3 of the 4 house seats.


The GOP didnt run anyone in the 2008 senate race because no Republican thought they had a shot of coming close to winning(even when polling showed McCain crushing Obama there) .

[Roll Roons]

The fact that they AR as Safe D is laughable, because the last time you could accurately assess an AR senate race was in 2004, when it was still D-downballot

Also not considering Dorgan’s retirement is laughable

Also the idea that Arlen Specter was required to win in PA is laughable

Predictions made two years out are always laughable. Honestly AR was somewhat reasonable considering that Mark Pryor didn't even have a Republican opponent in '08. Plus retirements are often unpredictable, and Arlen Specter was an institution in the state - how often do longtime incumbents like him lose reelection/renomination when not involved in a scandal?

Go back to March 2017 - NO ONE could have possibly predicted that an unknown congressman and former punk rocker from a safe D district would come within three points of beating Ted Cruz in Texas, and then be one of the top Democratic presidential contenders.

[S019]

The fact that they AR as Safe D is laughable, because the last time you could accurately assess an AR senate race was in 2004, when it was still D-downballot

Also not considering Dorgan’s retirement is laughable

Also the idea that Arlen Specter was required to win in PA is laughable

Predictions made two years out are always laughable. Honestly AR was somewhat reasonable considering that Mark Pryor didn't even have a Republican opponent in '08. Plus retirements are often unpredictable, and Arlen Specter was an institution in the state - how often do longtime incumbents like him lose reelection/renomination when not involved in a scandal?

Go back to March 2017 - NO ONE could have possibly predicted that an unknown congressman and former punk rocker from a safe D district would come within three points of beating Ted Cruz in Texas, and then be one of the top Democratic presidential contenders.

When they switch parties for political convenience

[Obama-Biden Democrat]

I was watching a old clip from spring 2009 after a streak of Democratic special election victories and Mitch McConnell said that the GOP got beat down big time in 2006, 2008, and very likely 2010 as well. He said that the GOP were looking at 3 straight loses.

[S019]

Why did they have Dodd as safe, did they ignore the scandal that forced him into retirement

[Continential]

Why did they have Dodd as safe, did they ignore the scandal that forced him into retirement

The prediction was from 2008

[MassBlueDog]

I would have loved to see a Dorgan-Hoeven race.  That would be one for the ages.

[Holmes]

I would have loved to see a Dorgan-Hoeven race.  That would be one for the ages.

In 2010 the outcome would have been really predictable.

[Progressive Pessimist]

Can the political landscape of 2008 come back?

[Starry Eyed Jagaloon]

Love the Dino Rossi reference!

[Southern Senator North Carolina Yankee]

Also the idea that Arlen Specter was required to win in PA is laughable

The assumption was that Philly burbs trending D was happening but the rest of the state would not shift Republican. Thus for a Republican to win, their only path was the old path, win the Philly burbs counties, which Specter did in 2004.

[Southern Senator North Carolina Yankee]

And man does seeing my posts from 2008 make me feel old. I was only on the forum three months at that point.