Georgia
       |           

Welcome, Guest. Please login or register.
Did you miss your activation email?
April 29, 2024, 03:20:34 AM
News: Election Simulator 2.0 Released. Senate/Gubernatorial maps, proportional electoral votes, and more - Read more

  Talk Elections
  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion
  U.S. Presidential Election Results
  2008 U.S. Presidential Election Results (Moderator: Dereich)
  Georgia		 « previous next »
Pages: [1]
Author Topic: Georgia  (Read 5039 times)
??????????
StatesRights
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 31,126
Political Matrix
E: 7.61, S: 0.00

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« on: November 05, 2008, 12:20:09 AM »
Obama got destroyed in Georgia. What the hell happened?
Logged
tokar
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 503
United States


Political Matrix
E: -9.87, S: -6.87

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #1 on: November 05, 2008, 01:01:45 AM »
« Edited: November 05, 2008, 01:11:49 AM by tokar »
Quote from: StatesRights on November 05, 2008, 12:20:09 AM
Obama got destroyed in Georgia. What the hell happened?

Not sure...
Looks like he lost the male vote big... (57-40)
Looks like he also did not carry the young vote as impressively as in other states (lost 18-29 age group 50-49)

He also got slaughtered in the white vote.  He won the black vote 98-2, but lost the white vote 74-23.

His performance among last day deciders was poor too.  Lost that group 53-43.




Edit:
This would be the major thing:
Party ID:
DEM - 37%
GOP - 35%
IND - 28%

DEM went 92-8 for Obama
GOP went 94-5 for McCain
IND went 54-41 for McCain


Looks like the independents killed him...
Logged
Eleanor Martins
RedefiningForm
Rookie
**
Posts: 203


Political Matrix
E: 2.52, S: -7.22

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #2 on: November 05, 2008, 01:17:51 AM »
WTF, a single-digit loss in a state like Georgia and that's being destroyed now?
Logged
Storebought
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 4,326
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #3 on: November 05, 2008, 01:22:40 AM »
No, the question you should be asking is what the hell happened to McCain in Pennsylvania? It was a state he camped out in, but lost by New Jersey margins.
Logged
Lief 🗽
Lief
Atlas Legend
*****
Posts: 44,939


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #4 on: November 05, 2008, 01:27:54 AM »
Some of the margins are very interesting, if they hold. Big swings to Obama in blue states, with big swings to McCain in some red states.
Logged
??????????
StatesRights
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 31,126
Political Matrix
E: 7.61, S: 0.00

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #5 on: November 05, 2008, 01:29:07 AM »
Quote from: Eleanor Martins on November 05, 2008, 01:17:51 AM
WTF, a single-digit loss in a state like Georgia and that's being destroyed now?

It's tightened since I made this thread. McCain was up by 11% earlier.
Logged
Bacon King
Atlas Politician
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 18,833
United States


Political Matrix
E: -7.63, S: -9.49

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #6 on: November 05, 2008, 01:37:54 AM »
McCain at only 53% is actually a rather poor showing.
Logged
12th Doctor
supersoulty
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 20,584
Ukraine


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #7 on: November 05, 2008, 01:40:52 AM »
Quote from: StatesRights on November 05, 2008, 12:20:09 AM
McCain got destroyed in Pennsylvania. What the hell happened?
Logged
Edu
Ufokart
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 7,869
Argentina


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #8 on: November 05, 2008, 01:43:25 AM »
lol this thread
Logged
bullmoose88
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 14,515


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #9 on: November 05, 2008, 01:46:33 AM »

Suburban Philadelphia happened.  McCain can maybe take solace in that he ran ahead of his state numbers in Bucks.  (The Lehigh Valley wasn't kind either).
Logged
TheresNoMoney
Scoonie
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 7,907


Political Matrix
E: -3.25, S: -2.72

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #10 on: November 05, 2008, 01:51:00 AM »
This was my biggest surprise of the night. Please feel free to bash me, but I thought for sure his race would be within 2% or 3%.

Black voting percentage seems like it really dropped off on Election Day. Obama's early voting numbers looked great.
Logged
12th Doctor
supersoulty
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 20,584
Ukraine


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #11 on: November 05, 2008, 01:52:58 AM »
What I am having trouble with is how, exactly, McCain is managing to maintain 47% in the popular vote.  I guess it makes sense but it seems like he should be alot worse off.
Logged
??????????
StatesRights
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 31,126
Political Matrix
E: 7.61, S: 0.00

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #12 on: November 05, 2008, 01:53:51 AM »

Sorry but all the polls had this as a much closer state then it ended up being.
Logged
Eleanor Martins
RedefiningForm
Rookie
**
Posts: 203


Political Matrix
E: 2.52, S: -7.22

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #13 on: November 05, 2008, 01:59:56 AM »
This is why:

http://www.ajc.com/metro/content/metro/stories/2008/11/04/georgia_presidential_voting.html
Quote
You must be logged in to read this quote.


http://www.wsbtv.com/news/17894973/detail.html
Quote
You must be logged in to read this quote.

If none of those are being counted yet, then the 7 point game it currently stands at will definitely contract. I expect a 4 point McCain win in the end.
Logged
12th Doctor
supersoulty
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 20,584
Ukraine


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #14 on: November 05, 2008, 02:00:40 AM »
Quote from: bullmoose88 on November 05, 2008, 01:46:33 AM

Suburban Philadelphia happened.  McCain can maybe take solace in that he ran ahead of his state numbers in Bucks.  (The Lehigh Valley wasn't kind either).

It would seem so, since Obama's share of the vote in the Southwest seems to have gone down as compared to Kerry.
Logged
Eraserhead
Atlas Legend
*****
Posts: 44,509
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #15 on: November 05, 2008, 02:02:37 AM »
Quote from: StatesRights on November 05, 2008, 01:53:51 AM

Sorry but all the polls had this as a much closer state then it ended up being.

"Much closer"? No, not really (unless you take garbage like InsiderAdvantage seriously).
Logged
TheresNoMoney
Scoonie
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 7,907


Political Matrix
E: -3.25, S: -2.72

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #16 on: November 05, 2008, 02:27:09 AM »
Apparently a bunch of the early votes haven't been counted yet.  I just read on Kos that Martin is now within .3% of Chambliss.
Logged
kevinatcausa
Rookie
**
Posts: 196
United States


Political Matrix
E: -1.94, S: -5.04

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #17 on: November 05, 2008, 02:42:47 AM »
I think the Senate race is 0.3% away from a runoff instead of 0.3% from a tie (you need 50% in Georgia, and a third party candidate is getting about 3% of the vote). 
Logged
Nutmeg
thepolitic
Sr. Member
****
Posts: 2,921
United States Minor Outlying Islands


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #18 on: November 05, 2008, 03:50:19 AM »
Per fivethirtyeight.com: "Some very weird things are going on in Georgia, as the total vote is much, much lower than expected. Some speculation has the early vote not being counted"

The site (currently) provides no evidence for this speculation; however, only about 3.6 million votes comprise the current tally.
Logged
exopolitician
MATCHU[D]
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 6,892
United States


Political Matrix
E: -5.03, S: -6.26

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #19 on: November 05, 2008, 03:52:55 AM »
Quote from: Nutmeg the Voter on November 05, 2008, 03:50:19 AM
Per fivethirtyeight.com: "Some very weird things are going on in Georgia, as the total vote is much, much lower than expected. Some speculation has the early vote not being counted."

The site (currently) provides no evidence for this speculation; however, only about 3.6 million votes comprise the current tally.

Fail.
Logged
Pages: [1]  
« previous next »
Jump to:  


Login with username, password and session length

Terms of Service - DMCA Agent and Policy - Privacy Policy and Cookies

Powered by SMF 1.1.21 | SMF © 2015, Simple Machines

Page created in 0.045 seconds with 12 queries.