GA-PPP: McCain leads by 2%

[TheresNoMoney]

10/31-11/2, 1,253 Likely Voters, MOE +/- 2.8%

McCain   50%
Obama   48%
Barr          2%

Link

Analysis: Black voters make up 30% of this poll and whites make up 66%. Obama leads by 5% among early voters surveyed (57% of poll). This poll has Obama receiving only 91% of the black vote, but also 28% of the white vote.

If Obama actually receives 28% of white voters in Georgia, he'll have a good shot to win tomorrow. I also think he will receive closer to 95% of the black vote.

[The Ex-Factor]

Wow, 42% Democrats and 41% Republicans. Basically the more voters turnout tomorrow, the better McCain does. We knew that already.

And Bob Barr surge!!

[Lief 🗽]

Well, it's time for Obama and the Georgia Democratic Party to brutally, brutally suppress the white male vote in Georgia.

Seriously though, I think this is the final margin, though Obama might be lucky and squeak by with a win.

[Tender Branson]

This looks about right, SUSA is probably underestimating the Black vote.

With Blacks making up 30% of the vote and Obama receiving 25% of Whites, it's McCain by 1-3% overall.