What will be the closest Senate race?
       |           

Welcome, Guest. Please login or register.
Did you miss your activation email?
May 01, 2024, 12:45:59 AM
News: Election Simulator 2.0 Released. Senate/Gubernatorial maps, proportional electoral votes, and more - Read more

  Talk Elections
  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion
  Congressional Elections (Moderators: Brittain33, GeorgiaModerate, Gass3268, Virginiá, Gracile)
  What will be the closest Senate race?		 « previous next »
Pages: [1]
Poll
Question: What will be the closest Senate race?
#1
North Carolina		  
#2
Georgia		  
#3
Lousiana		  
#4
Oregon		  
#5
Minnesota		  
#6
New Hampshire		  
#7
Alaska		  
#8
Kentucky		  
Show Pie Chart
Partisan results
Total Voters: 30

Author Topic: What will be the closest Senate race?  (Read 1541 times)
Brittain33
brittain33
Moderator
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 21,974


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« on: November 03, 2008, 10:05:06 AM »
« edited: November 03, 2008, 12:18:03 PM by brittain33 »
Update: Georgia is for the 1st round only!

I'm voting for Georgia because of the potential for an unexpected turnout model and Chambliss's weak record combined with a high Republican floor in that state. Minnesota is too volatile and Klobuchar's 20-point win prevent me from agreeing with Lewis Trondheim.

I included several options here that may get few or no votes but I wanted to cast as wide a net as possible without reaching as far as Virginia or Texas.
Logged
Brittain33
brittain33
Moderator
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 21,974


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #1 on: November 03, 2008, 10:21:14 AM »
I don't understand how threads like this end up with 5x as many views as votes.
Logged
Keystone Phil
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 52,607


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #2 on: November 03, 2008, 10:23:16 AM »
Tough one. I'm going to say it's between GA, MN and OR. I'll say MN will be the closest.
Logged
minionofmidas
Lewis Trondheim
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 58,206
India


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #3 on: November 03, 2008, 10:33:59 AM »
GA is an option too.

Should that go to a runoff, are we counting the first or the second round of balotting?
Logged
Brittain33
brittain33
Moderator
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 21,974


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #4 on: November 03, 2008, 10:45:21 AM »
Quote from: grow wise, grow ill, and die on November 03, 2008, 10:33:59 AM
GA is an option too.

Should that go to a runoff, are we counting the first or the second round of balotting?

I'm only considering the first round.
Logged
© tweed
Miamiu1027
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 36,562
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #5 on: November 03, 2008, 10:47:50 AM »
Quote from: brittain33 on November 03, 2008, 10:21:14 AM
I don't understand how threads like this end up with 5x as many views as votes.

google bots and the like
Logged
Sam Spade
SamSpade
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 27,547


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #6 on: November 03, 2008, 11:10:07 AM »
Probably MN or GA.  GA is going to a runoff, methinks.

Basically, Democrats need to sweep what's contested to reach 60 because I think KY and MS are gone.
Logged
BM
BeccaM
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 1,261
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #7 on: November 03, 2008, 11:52:42 AM »
Minnesota.

Georgia will be close too, but Saxby will easily win in the runoff.
Logged
minionofmidas
Lewis Trondheim
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 58,206
India


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #8 on: November 03, 2008, 01:39:23 PM »
Quote from: BeccaM on November 03, 2008, 11:52:42 AM
Minnesota.

Georgia will be close too, but Saxby will easily win in the runoff.
I would think he might be damaged goods if he's forced to a runoff (although if it's seat no.60, possibly not). I'm guessing he'll narrowly avoid one, though.
Logged
Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 58,156
Austria


Political Matrix
E: -6.06, S: -4.84

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #9 on: November 03, 2008, 01:40:09 PM »
I guess it will be Georgia ...
Logged
perdedor
Sr. Member
****
Posts: 2,638


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #10 on: November 03, 2008, 07:01:47 PM »
Probably MN. Might be Georgia though.
Logged
Lunar
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 30,404
Ireland, Republic of
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #11 on: November 03, 2008, 07:05:45 PM »
Quote from: John Zogby on November 03, 2008, 11:10:07 AM
Probably MN or GA.  GA is going to a runoff, methinks.

I was going to say the same.

Minnesota is hard to name because of the strong third party.  If Coleman pulls ahead Georgia could get a % or two closer.

I'll say Georgia will be the closest in raw percentages, but Minnesota will be closest in actuality.
Logged
Pages: [1]  
« previous next »
Jump to:  


Login with username, password and session length

Terms of Service - DMCA Agent and Policy - Privacy Policy and Cookies

Powered by SMF 1.1.21 | SMF © 2015, Simple Machines

Page created in 0.038 seconds with 13 queries.