Early voting vs. election day voting.

[Jacobtm]

The general assumption is that Obama supporters, whoever they may be, are extra energized this election, and thus turn out in higher proportions during early voting than they will on election day. So even though Obama likely has a lead in early votes in Georgia, those who turn up on election day will skew more hevily Republican and McCain will pull off the win.

Why? Not talking about Georgia specifically, but why is the assumption that voters on election day will be less prone to vote for Obama than early voters?

[Moooooo]

The general assumption is that Obama supporters, whoever they may be, are extra energized this election, and thus turn out in higher proportions during early voting than they will on election day. So even though Obama likely has a lead in early votes in Georgia, those who turn up on election day will skew more hevily Republican and McCain will pull off the win.

Why? Not talking about Georgia specifically, but why is the assumption that voters on election day will be less prone to vote for Obama than early voters?

The more voters who turnout early, the less that can show up on election day.... unless of course you're a Republican in Philly and you do both.

[J. J.]

The general assumption is that Obama supporters, whoever they may be, are extra energized this election, and thus turn out in higher proportions during early voting than they will on election day. So even though Obama likely has a lead in early votes in Georgia, those who turn up on election day will skew more hevily Republican and McCain will pull off the win.

Why? Not talking about Georgia specifically, but why is the assumption that voters on election day will be less prone to vote for Obama than early voters?

The more voters who turnout early, the less that can show up on election day.... unless of course you're a Republican in Philly and you do both.

Much as I'd like to, no.  Now a Democrat .... 

[Mr.Jones]

1,994,990 voters have already voted in GA. this represents 60.1 % of total voters in 2004.

Statistics of this already voted segment

Race

White   60.2%
Black   35.1%
Other/Unk   2.2%

Sex   
Men   40.4%
Women   56.2%
Unk   0.9%

Ballot   
Absentee   11.1%
In-person   88.9%

Source: http://elections.gmu.edu/early_vote_2008.html