Early voting returns

[Fritz]

Question: are there actual early voting returns posted on the  web somewhere?  If not (I don't think there are) what is the most similar thing out there (i.e., exit polls)?

[pepper11]

http://elections.gmu.edu/early_vote_2008.html

[humder]

http://www.earlyvoting.net/blog/
http://www.dailykos.com/storyonly/2008/11/1/183811/930/671/649210
http://edition.cnn.com/2008/POLITICS/10/27/voting.wrap/index.html?eref=rss_topstories

[Alcon]

Question: are there actual early voting returns posted on the  web somewhere?  If not (I don't think there are) what is the most similar thing out there (i.e., exit polls)?

Do you mean the actual votes?  It's illegal to count any votes until polls have closed.  Outside of that, pepper11's GMU link has the best collection of information I know of. 

[Jeff from NC]

pepper11 beat me to it, but here are some highlights as of Sunday evening.  I think:

Colorado
   
Dem 37.7%
Rep 35.9%
No/Oth 26.4%

Turnout as a portion of 2004 tally: 68.8%

---

Florida
(in-person & absentee returned)    
   
4,107,894
        2008      2004   
Dem
   45.5%    40.7%
Rep
   37.6%    43.5%
No/Oth
   16.9%    15.8%

Fraction of 2004: 53.8%

---

Georgia
   
Race
   
White
   60.2%
Black
   35.1%
Other/Unk
   2.2%
   
Men
   40.4%
Women
   56.2%
Unk
   0.9%

Ratio of 2004: 60.1%

---

Nevada

Clark Cnty
   
Dem
   52.0%
Rep
   30.6%
No/Oth
   17.4%

Washoe Cnty
   
Party
   
Dem
   47.1%
Rep
   35.3%
No/Oth
   17.5%

Nevada 2004 ratio: 67.3%

---

[Jeff from NC]

North Carolina

    2008     2004
Party
      
Dem
   51.5%    48.6%
Rep
   30.1%    37.4%
None
   18.4%    14.1%

Ratio of 2004: 72.5%

--

No other good stats to report.

[TheresNoMoney]

Those NC numbers look really good.

[Lief 🗽]

Um... I am reading that right? Nearly 70% of 2004 turnout has already turned out in Colorado, and over 70% in North Carolina? Jesus H. Christ.

[Moooooo]

pepper11 beat me to it, but here are some highlights as of Sunday evening.  I think:

Colorado
   
Dem 37.7%
Rep 35.9%
No/Oth 26.4%

Turnout as a portion of 2004 tally: 68.8%

I don't understand CO. Those early voting numbers look tight... yet, the pundits are all over TV claiming Obama has a big advantage in CO early voting.

[kevinatcausa]

Don't the North Carolina numbers come with a big caveat because of the primary? 

North Carolina's primary was open only to Democrats/unaffiliated voters, and there was no real Republican race by the time the registration deadline rolled around (April 11).   So it could be that a lot of the "decrease" in Republican turnout is really just Republicans who changed their official registration so they could vote in the primary. 

[Verily]

pepper11 beat me to it, but here are some highlights as of Sunday evening.  I think:

Colorado
   
Dem 37.7%
Rep 35.9%
No/Oth 26.4%

Turnout as a portion of 2004 tally: 68.8%

I don't understand CO. Those early voting numbers look tight... yet, the pundits are all over TV claiming Obama has a big advantage in CO early voting.

He does... in in-person voting. Colorado has a very strong absentee voting tradition, and absentee ballots tend to be overwhelmingly Republican. 75% of the "early" vote in Colorado has been absentee rather than in-person. About the same number of absentee ballots have been cast in Colorado as in 2004 while in-person early voting is up substantially. Almost half of Colorado's vote was cast early in 2004.

It's also worth noting that Republicans had a substantial (IIRC 9-point) partisan registration advantage as of Election Day 2004 in CO and still have a 2-point registration advantage in the state. So having the Democrats ahead in partisan ID in Colorado is a pretty big deal.

[TheresNoMoney]

I don't understand CO. Those early voting numbers look tight... yet, the pundits are all over TV claiming Obama has a big advantage in CO early voting.

Republicans still have a registration advantage in Colorado and it should also be noted that all the polls show Obama leading independents by a noticeable margin.  So for Democrats to have an advantage in early voting is a very good sign.

[J. J.]

You might want to look at Alcon's early voting thread or here: 
http://elections.gmu.edu/early_vote_2008.html