Predict Pennsylvania
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Author Topic: Predict Pennsylvania  (Read 8644 times)
Iosif
Jr. Member
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Posts: 1,609


Political Matrix
E: -1.68, S: -3.65

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« on: November 02, 2008, 02:25:06 PM »
Obama by 7.5%.
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Lunar
Atlas Superstar
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Ireland, Republic of
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« Reply #1 on: November 02, 2008, 02:29:24 PM »
Obama 6.58%
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TheGlobalizer
Sr. Member
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Posts: 3,286
United States


Political Matrix
E: 6.84, S: -7.13

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« Reply #2 on: November 02, 2008, 02:29:36 PM »
Obama +3
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exopolitician
MATCHU[D]
Junior Chimp
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Posts: 6,892
United States


Political Matrix
E: -5.03, S: -6.26

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« Reply #3 on: November 02, 2008, 02:30:10 PM »
Obama by about 4 or 5.
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Jacobtm
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« Reply #4 on: November 02, 2008, 02:30:21 PM »
Obama by 5, +/- 4
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Ronnie
Junior Chimp
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United States
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« Reply #5 on: November 02, 2008, 02:36:30 PM »
Obama by 4
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Meeker
meekermariner
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« Reply #6 on: November 02, 2008, 02:38:51 PM »
Obama by 23, ±31%
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MarkWarner08
Junior Chimp
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« Reply #7 on: November 02, 2008, 02:39:46 PM »
Obama: 53%
McCain: 46%
Other: 1%
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I spent the winter writing songs about getting better
BRTD
Atlas Prophet
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Posts: 113,128
Ukraine


Political Matrix
E: -6.50, S: -6.67

P P
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« Reply #8 on: November 02, 2008, 02:40:15 PM »
It'll come tomorrow once I finish No Country For Old Men.
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War on Want
Evilmexicandictator
Junior Chimp
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Posts: 7,643
Uzbekistan


Political Matrix
E: -6.19, S: -8.00

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« Reply #9 on: November 02, 2008, 02:40:33 PM »
Obama by 5 or 6
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SPC
Chuck Hagel 08
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« Reply #10 on: November 02, 2008, 02:41:16 PM »
Brain: Obama +5
Gut: McCain +2

Usually my brain wins over my gut.
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Boris
boris78
Junior Chimp
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Posts: 7,098
United Kingdom


Political Matrix
E: -1.55, S: -4.52

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« Reply #11 on: November 02, 2008, 02:42:19 PM »

yep
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Franzl
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Germany


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« Reply #12 on: November 02, 2008, 02:42:58 PM »
Obama +3
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J. J.
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United States


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« Reply #13 on: November 02, 2008, 02:45:25 PM »
Obama 1.5 +/- 3.5.  Welcome to FL 2000.  Smiley
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Associate Justice PiT
PiT (The Physicist)
Atlas Politician
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« Reply #14 on: November 02, 2008, 02:48:19 PM »
     Obama +6.2
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Meeker
meekermariner
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« Reply #15 on: November 02, 2008, 02:50:16 PM »
Quote from: J. J. on November 02, 2008, 02:45:25 PM
Obama 1.5 +/- 3.5.  Welcome to FL 2000.  Smiley

So Obama could get anywhere from 48% to 55%.

In other groundbreaking prognosticating, I believe that the sun will rise tomorrow. And that it will set.
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Lunar
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Ireland, Republic of
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« Reply #16 on: November 02, 2008, 02:51:54 PM »
Discussion of letting your prediction fall anywhere on a 7% spread:

https://uselectionatlas.org/FORUM/index.php?topic=87400.0
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Sbane
sbane
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« Reply #17 on: November 02, 2008, 02:52:22 PM »
Obama +4-5
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Lief 🗽
Lief
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« Reply #18 on: November 02, 2008, 02:54:56 PM »
Obama 53%
McCain 46%
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Likely Voter
Moderators
Junior Chimp
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Posts: 8,344


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« Reply #19 on: November 02, 2008, 02:55:25 PM »
Obama +5.75
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Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
Atlas Institution
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Posts: 58,179
Austria


Political Matrix
E: -6.06, S: -4.84

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« Reply #20 on: November 02, 2008, 02:56:18 PM »
Quote from: Tender Branson on October 31, 2008, 04:20:47 AM
Pennsylvania: Obama 53.2, McCain 46.0, Others 0.8
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War on Want
Evilmexicandictator
Junior Chimp
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Posts: 7,643
Uzbekistan


Political Matrix
E: -6.19, S: -8.00

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« Reply #21 on: November 02, 2008, 02:57:41 PM »
Actually to make my prediction more concrete:Pennsylvania- Obama 52.8%, McCain 47.1%
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TheGlobalizer
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Posts: 3,286
United States


Political Matrix
E: 6.84, S: -7.13

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« Reply #22 on: November 02, 2008, 02:58:51 PM »
Quote from: PPTE Meeker on November 02, 2008, 02:50:16 PM
In other groundbreaking prognosticating, I believe that the sun will rise tomorrow. And that it will set.

MoE +/- 50%
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Brittain33
brittain33
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« Reply #23 on: November 02, 2008, 03:01:00 PM »
Obama +8%
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Moooooo
nickshepDEM
Junior Chimp
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Posts: 6,909


Political Matrix
E: -0.52, S: 3.65

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« Reply #24 on: November 02, 2008, 03:08:13 PM »
O +5 right now....

O+8 when JJ reports astronomical turnout at his polling place at 3:00pm ET.
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