Citizen James
James42
Sr. Member
Posts: 2,540
Political Matrix
E: -3.87, S: -2.78
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« on: October 31, 2008, 08:27:40 PM » |
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I'll take the cop-out of "narrow fail" (45-49.5% for).
Just because I've been waiting to toss out this observation - and I've been watching California returns for a couple of decades now - early returns tend to be more conservative than the overall results.
So it will reach it's highest 'pass' level at around 2-10% of the vote counted. If it's failing at that point it should go down, if it's over 60% it'll probably pass, inbetween may make for a long night.
Then again, heavy early voting for Obama might change the dynamics of the returns this time around.
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