GA-Rasmussen: It's still McCain by 5

[Tender Branson]

McCain - 52
Obama - 47

In the latest poll, Obama now leads 53% to 44% among unaffiliated voters in the state. Last week, McCain led those voters by an identical margin. McCain leads 73% to 26% among white voters in Georgia while Obama earns overwhelming support from black voters. While men favor McCain 55% to 45%, women are split between the candidates at 49% each.

...

This telephone survey of 500 Likely Voters was conducted by Rasmussen Reports on October 30, 2008. The margin of sampling error for the survey is +/- 4.5 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence.

http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/election_20082/2008_presidential_election/georgia/election_2008_georgia_presidential_election

[TheresNoMoney]

What is Obama's exact percentage among black voters and "other" (Hispanic/Asian/other) voters?

26% is actually the exact percentage I've been using in my calculations for obama's white support.

[Tender Branson]

What is Obama's exact percentage among black voters and "other" (Hispanic/Asian/other) voters?

26% is actually the exact percentage I've been using in my calculations for obama's white support.

Maybe SamSpade knows this.

Obama can only win GA if the following happens: Overall Black composition has to be 31% and Obama needs to win at least 98% of them. Obama needs to win 26% of Whites (who make up 65% of the vote) Then Obama needs to win at least 75% of Asians, Latinos etc. - who make up 4% of the voters.